Bundesliga · resolved market
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-01-10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x58e630bc7bddda7a8e1dc226838e80994fe901e53f278b443db2476bd54b819d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $318,833
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $385,120
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $318,833 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 344 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x38fe…a923backed No | 20c | 29,894$6,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,127.42 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3926…7e9ebacked Yes | 50c | 15,400$7,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,700 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.35per pick | 49cpaid | +68.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 51c | 14,213$7,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,259.14 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed No | 23c | 11,188$2,531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,530.84 | 106 | 41.5%44 W · 62 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Yes | 78c | 10,785$8,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,422.69 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Yes | 74c | 9,404$6,917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,487.72 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked No | 50c | 8,460$4,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,229.99 | 70 | 62.9%44 W · 26 L | +8.9wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 48c | 6,900$3,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,327.21 | 271 | 38.4%104 W · 167 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 58c | 5,420$3,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,142.06 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48fe…b2b6backed Yes | 42c | 5,227$2,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,033.67 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf57e…bbd6backed Yes | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…e793backed No | 30c | 4,768$1,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,431.7 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 10c | 3,545$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.18 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +84.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…a0fbbacked No | 50c | 3,172$1,586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,586 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +26%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0c…bcebbacked No | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed No | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8566…c626backed Yes | 50c | 2,982$1,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,491.07 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Yes | 51c | 2,641$1,348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,293.54 | 176 | 52.3%92 W · 84 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x347c…525abacked Yes | 48c | 2,367$1,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,222.97 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade6…e948backed Yes | 48c | 2,367$1,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,230.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked No | 50c | 2,200$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.89 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed No | 1c | 2,142$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.28 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7256…30c9backed No | 53c | 2,035$1,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,070.05 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Yes | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed No | 52c | 1,845$951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$951.3 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19ff…d0d0backed Yes | 50c | 1,600$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58f4…764ebacked Yes | 50c | 1,423$712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.44 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e0…024ebacked No | 49c | 1,381$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.53 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes | 48c | 1,158$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.33 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 50c | 1,008$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…184fbacked Yes | 50c | 1,008$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.98 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 49c | 1,002$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.89 | 240 | 50.4%121 W · 119 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbffe…e4efbacked No | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Yes | 49c | 998.02$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.99 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Yes | 41c | 995.35$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.26 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 20c | 933$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.6 | 446 | 55.4%247 W · 199 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 2c | 859.06$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.18 | 131 | 39.7%52 W · 79 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d21…abc5backed Yes | 47c | 851.06$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.06 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -5.0wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x63ad…790cbacked No | 18c | 833.33$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 42c | 820$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.84 | 151 | 34.4%52 W · 99 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Yes | 48c | 800$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416 | 227 | 47.1%107 W · 120 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Yes | 51c | 800$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392 | 88 | 46.6%41 W · 47 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked No | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 87 | 64.4%56 W · 31 L | +10.2wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes | 76c | 789.74$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.44 | 117 | 62.4%73 W · 44 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked Yes | 49c | 693.88$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.88 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 50c | 692.69$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.35 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c29…1478backed Yes | 48c | 680$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.6 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 49c | 679.06$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.6 | 636 | 45.1%287 W · 349 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed No | 37c | 615.12$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.43 | 84 | 20.2%17 W · 67 L | -8.7wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 49c | 600$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 54c | 590$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.4 | 380 | 55.8%212 W · 168 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4844…32c9backed Yes | 48c | 589.58$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.58 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -4.2wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x20c7…50c9backed Yes | 74c | 577.95$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.37 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Yes | 53c | 569.04$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.49 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 55c | 546$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +8.6wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +31%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed No | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 168 | 50%84 W · 84 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…783bbacked Yes | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked No | 51c | 499.95$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.98 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…d0c3backed Yes | 49c | 489.8$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.8 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -4.0wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 46c | 462.56$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.91 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 50c | 450$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 228 | 54.8%125 W · 103 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No | 50c | 450$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 154 | 54.5%84 W · 70 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed No | 50c | 450$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 88 | 64.8%57 W · 31 L | +11.0wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed No | 50c | 444$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 143 | 64.3%92 W · 51 L | +14.8wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3f…894ebacked Yes | 51c | 440.5$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed No | 59c | 433.42$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.76 | 116 | 44%51 W · 65 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf439…bf9cbacked Yes | 48c | 420$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.4 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Yes | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +29%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 242 | 58.7%142 W · 100 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed No | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 121 | 62.8%76 W · 45 L | +15.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4588…d206backed Yes | 52c | 400$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…f2f2backed Yes | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…b56bbacked Yes | 50c | 376.06$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.03 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86b8…73b0backed Yes | 41c | 370.29$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b93…39cabacked No | 59c | 370.29$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Yes | 50c | 363.06$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.06 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed No | 50c | 360$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed No | 50c | 350$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 139 | 57.6%80 W · 59 L | +10.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e52…9078backed Yes | 52c | 350$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85a1…a640backed Yes | 71c | 346$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.34 | 89 | 59.6%53 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa92…15f4backed Yes | 50c | 327.44$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.44 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a53…8c81backed Yes | 47c | 319.15$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.15 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 75c | 307.81$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.66 | 226 | 69%156 W · 70 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked No | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +8.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x86f8…1655backed Yes | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed No | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 154 | 53.9%83 W · 71 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fcc…e083backed Yes | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 118 | 60.2%71 W · 47 L | +7.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed No | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 128 | 58.6%75 W · 53 L | +11.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a26…0498backed Yes | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +30%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9c…2a84backed No | 6c | 300$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 36cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc755…d0c4backed No | 12c | 300$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bf…231fbacked Yes | 48c | 299.99$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.49 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7abc…9ff7backed Yes | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x170e…aa0dbacked Yes | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.12 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e63…2d79backed Yes | 52c | 292.31$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.31 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed No | 50c | 280$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 127 | 57.5%73 W · 54 L | +11.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2109…55bfbacked Yes | 50c | 280$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +4.9wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6a10…7843backed Yes | 48c | 277.64$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.68 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-01-10?this page
- Will SV Werder Bremen vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim end in a draw?No won
- Will SV Werder Bremen win on 2026-01-10?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.