Bundesliga · resolved market
Will SV Werder Bremen vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x91b7259f19dd61c1fed7b76cb6b5bdd56e8575f3534d93be403c6a67ba38e797
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,234
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,816
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,234 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Yes | 27c | 24,293$6,551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,551.37 | 271 | 38.4%104 W · 167 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked No | 73c | 10,000$7,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,700 | 70 | 62.9%44 W · 26 L | +8.9wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No | 74c | 3,978$2,944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,034.27 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…de5abacked Yes | 26c | 3,387$883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$882.54 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed No | 73c | 3,000$2,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked No | 73c | 3,000$2,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fcc…e083backed Yes | 27c | 1,111$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 3c | 900$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 264 | 33.3%88 W · 176 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 27c | 822$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.17 | 151 | 34.4%52 W · 99 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked No | 73c | 799.98$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.99 | 87 | 64.4%56 W · 31 L | +10.2wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a9…d58bbacked Yes | 26c | 769.23$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 80c | 626.19$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.24 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +84.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 12c | 552.15$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.26 | 446 | 55.4%247 W · 199 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 73c | 450$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.5 | 228 | 54.8%125 W · 103 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No | 73c | 450$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.5 | 154 | 54.5%84 W · 70 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed No | 73c | 450$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.5 | 88 | 64.8%57 W · 31 L | +11.0wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 72c | 408.07$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.4 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 73c | 400$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 242 | 58.7%142 W · 100 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed No | 73c | 400$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 121 | 62.8%76 W · 45 L | +15.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8479…37f8backed Yes | 23c | 400$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -4.3wins | -0.19per pick | 28cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed No | 73c | 360$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.2 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed No | 73c | 350$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.5 | 139 | 57.6%80 W · 59 L | +10.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x23cd…2e45backed Yes | 32c | 340.63$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95ae…e344backed No | 75c | 301.33$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd604…cb5fbacked Yes | 19c | 300.8$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.12 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked No | 73c | 300$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +8.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed No | 73c | 300$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 154 | 53.9%83 W · 71 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed No | 73c | 300$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 128 | 58.6%75 W · 53 L | +11.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf720…7251backed No | 75c | 298.67$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 73c | 296.48$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.05 | 118 | 60.2%71 W · 47 L | +7.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56ff…81a0backed Yes | 7c | 282.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.77 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed No | 73c | 280$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.6 | 127 | 57.5%73 W · 54 L | +11.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x497a…883fbacked No | 76c | 255.66$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 73c | 250$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 256 | 59.4%152 W · 104 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 80c | 243.52$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.7 | 131 | 39.7%52 W · 79 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe73d…601abacked No | 75c | 209.33$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc16f…0f4fbacked No | 73c | 200$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 108 | 55.6%60 W · 48 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…402abacked Yes | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 91 | 23.1%21 W · 70 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed No | 73c | 200$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 132 | 56.1%74 W · 58 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 25c | 190$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 491 | 43.2%212 W · 279 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed No | 73c | 190$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.3 | 96 | 59.4%57 W · 39 L | +7.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 75c | 190$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.5 | 194 | 58.2%113 W · 81 L | +9.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +28%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed No | 73c | 180$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.6 | 123 | 56.9%70 W · 53 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed No | 73c | 170$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.9 | 114 | 58.8%67 W · 47 L | +10.9wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked No | 73c | 170$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.9 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed No | 73c | 170$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.9 | 138 | 59.4%82 W · 56 L | +12.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked No | 73c | 170$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.9 | 112 | 59.8%67 W · 45 L | +11.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked No | 73c | 170$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.9 | 124 | 58.9%73 W · 51 L | +12.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed No | 73c | 170$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.9 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +6.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed No | 73c | 170$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.9 | 123 | 58.5%72 W · 51 L | +11.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed No | 73c | 170$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.9 | 115 | 63.5%73 W · 42 L | +13.5wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xff82…80d6backed No | 75c | 164$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed No | 73c | 160$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 103 | 60.2%62 W · 41 L | +9.7wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5f…7e6fbacked Yes | 26c | 153.85$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed No | 73c | 150$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 82 | 61%50 W · 32 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x65ce…b90bbacked Yes | 8c | 150$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff9…46bbbacked Yes | 26c | 150$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed No | 73c | 150$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Yes | 27c | 148.15$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +18%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Yes | 8c | 147.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 106 | 42.5%45 W · 61 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Yes | 27c | 135.96$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.71 | 373 | 44.5%166 W · 207 L | -15.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d20…6911backed No | 75c | 121.33$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31ce…88cdbacked No | 73c | 120$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +6.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed No | 73c | 120$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 122 | 59%72 W · 50 L | +11.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7cae…bf8abacked No | 73c | 120$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +6.4wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked No | 73c | 120$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 126 | 57.9%73 W · 53 L | +9.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b82…2d2abacked No | 73c | 120$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked No | 73c | 120$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 132 | 54.5%72 W · 60 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed No | 73c | 120$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | +8.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 25c | 111.64$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.91 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfb…9f00backed No | 75c | 106.67$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 22 | 81.8%18 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 73cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf45…1f5fbacked No | 75c | 104$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1941…c47fbacked No | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46af…1f6abacked No | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 89 | 52.8%47 W · 42 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f35…95dabacked Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b5…798cbacked No | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c78…5a57backed No | 75c | 96$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2719…b81dbacked No | 75c | 93.33$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa204…e66fbacked No | 73c | 80$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd03b…856cbacked No | 73c | 80$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 27c | 73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.71 | 339 | 45.7%155 W · 184 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…c728backed No | 73c | 70$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 116 | 61.2%71 W · 45 L | +11.1wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7037…7cc8backed Yes | 26c | 69.23$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f2…f023backed No | 73c | 67.18$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.14 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb01…2783backed No | 73c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96f4…8081backed No | 73c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8bdf…8adabacked No | 73c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 113 | 60.2%68 W · 45 L | +10.1wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…3f2fbacked No | 73c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +5.9wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c2d…2570backed No | 73c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 64 | 64.1%41 W · 23 L | +8.0wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +26%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf99a…5487backed No | 73c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6afd…5cb1backed No | 73c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 117 | 59.8%70 W · 47 L | +10.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb95e…c6d6backed No | 73c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea2e…d695backed No | 73c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 110 | 63.6%70 W · 40 L | +13.6wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4edd…b1a1backed No | 73c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 98 | 61.2%60 W · 38 L | +9.9wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked Yes | 25c | 55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed No | 73c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 258 | 55.4%143 W · 115 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21e3…6e96backed Yes | 32c | 48.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…5fbbbacked Yes | 27c | 48.15$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb311…2b64backed Yes | 25c | 44.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…33b9backed No | 74c | 40.4$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SV Werder Bremen vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim end in a draw?this page
- Will SV Werder Bremen win on 2026-01-10?No won
- Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-01-10?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.