TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6ff9…46bb

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
62
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Europa Conference League, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Europa Conference League at 55 out of 100; worst Asian League at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weather Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST1010%1 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick21cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be at least 1,000 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$38.8
Will there be at least 800 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 11°C on February 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$38.79
Will there be at least 600 measles cases in the U.S. by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+733.3%+$176
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 10°C on January 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$10.99
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 9°C on January 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$23.45
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 8°C on January 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$56.42
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 9°C on January 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$11.6
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 7°C on January 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$19.37
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 6°C or below on January 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$13.1
All 10 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST1050%5 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+33.5%+$5.03
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$61.6
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+72.4%+$16.8
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+66.7%+$8
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+72.4%+$8.4
Club Brugge KV vs. Olympique de Marseille: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$13.2
FC Barcelona vs. FC København: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$32.3
Athletic Club vs. Sporting CP: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$13.8
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Newcastle United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+56.3%+$7.2
Liverpool FC vs. Qarabağ Ağdam FK: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$10.4
All 10 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+44.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+61.5%+$41.88
Will FC Midtjylland win on 2026-01-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+95.1%+$19.5
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-01-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$10.6
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-01-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+64.2%+$7.82
Will VfB Stuttgart vs. BSC Young Boys end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-01-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+57.5%+$14.6
Will FC Basel 1893 vs. FC Viktoria Plzeň end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will FK Crvena zvezda vs. RC Celta de Vigo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+284.6%+$29.6
FK Crvena zvezda vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+138.1%+$14.5
All 9 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hamburger SV vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+44.9%+$6.2
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$61
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+96.1%+$49
Will FC Augsburg vs. FC St. Pauli 1910 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will 1. FC Köln win on 2026-01-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+57.8%+$40.27
Will SV Werder Bremen vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$39
Will FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$19
Will FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. RB Leipzig end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+354.5%+$117
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$43.4
All 9 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST850%4 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.23per pick43cpaid-59.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Asian League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+60.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-25.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+48.5%+$9.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pelicans vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+47.1%+$32
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.