Bundesliga · resolved market
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-01-31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd7ec48a8962cb82f5788d8e1473262fd124488b61da4d1266b85c9b3d4257177
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $683,228
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $825,289
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $683,228 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 269 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1ff2…dbbdbacked Yes | 53c | 109,756$58,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51,585.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 47c | 70,403$33,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,089.56 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4408…1b6abacked No | 47c | 35,515$16,692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,692.04 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Yes | 53c | 35,284$18,701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,583.62 | 271 | 38.4%104 W · 167 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 25c | 26,301$6,671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,670.93 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 51c | 21,958$11,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,715.73 | 339 | 45.7%155 W · 184 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d11…c449backed No | 47c | 21,553$10,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,057.16 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed No | 47c | 20,000$9,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,400 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb5c…36f0backed Yes | 52c | 17,308$9,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,307.69 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed No | 47c | 15,254$7,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,212.01 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca1…ddcdbacked Yes | 54c | 14,679$7,915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,764.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Yes | 62c | 13,346$8,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,071.83 | 77 | 57.1%44 W · 33 L | +10.5wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 47c | 13,315$6,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,240.16 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38fe…a923backed No | 38c | 13,040$4,955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,955.2 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed No | 48c | 12,870$6,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,177.6 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 48c | 12,591$6,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,026.16 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed No | 49c | 11,205$5,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,490.44 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 55c | 8,000$4,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,600 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…41aebacked No | 48c | 7,569$3,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,632.97 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 18c | 7,391$1,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,365.94 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 48c | 6,533$3,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,125.94 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed Yes | 52c | 6,000$3,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,880 | 98 | 31.6%31 W · 67 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked No | 9c | 6,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 332 | 44.6%148 W · 184 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No | 49c | 5,896$2,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,889.17 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 8c | 5,776$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.8 | 762 | 34.8%265 W · 497 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…3fa1backed No | 2c | 4,442$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.55 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 5cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b62…2e59backed Yes | 52c | 4,000$2,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,940 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 37c | 3,987$1,467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,466.53 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Yes | 54c | 3,582$1,944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,638.47 | 176 | 52.3%92 W · 84 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad15…ee7fbacked No | 50c | 3,270$1,635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,635 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -3.7wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440 | 230 | 46.5%107 W · 123 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc2b…4564backed No | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,349.98 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 70c | 2,961$2,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$890.2 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…9762backed No | 31c | 2,886$891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$891.39 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +7.0wins | +0.16per pick | 32cpaid | +260.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x585c…f0a7backed Yes | 51c | 2,552$1,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,256.59 | 59 | 23.7%14 W · 45 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8627…5382backed Yes | 44c | 2,224$986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,238.65 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Yes | 54c | 2,222$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,022.22 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12c6…0691backed No | 49c | 2,170$1,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,056.62 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7256…30c9backed No | 49c | 2,152$1,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.12 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed No | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 155 | 40.6%63 W · 92 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 18c | 1,871$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.49 | 131 | 39.7%52 W · 79 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb8…753bbacked Yes | 50c | 1,816$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$915.58 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc16d…39a2backed Yes | 55c | 1,726$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$776.91 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed No | 48c | 1,600$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760.16 | 358 | 56.4%202 W · 156 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9698…de01backed Yes | 51c | 1,569$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768.63 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked No | 26c | 1,292$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.81 | 71 | 29.6%21 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed No | 50c | 1,158$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.75 | 99 | 51.5%51 W · 48 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes | 75c | 1,067$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.96 | 117 | 62.4%73 W · 44 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x486f…b325backed No | 48c | 1,034$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.34 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes | 61c | 1,005$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.95 | 106 | 41.5%44 W · 62 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40b9…b002backed No | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…625dbacked Yes | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 240 | 50.4%121 W · 119 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4160…e42dbacked No | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c38…de5abacked Yes | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86f4…40d5backed Yes | 54c | 999.98$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.99 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x176e…8f96backed Yes | 54c | 999.92$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.96 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +96.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d46…cf8bbacked Yes | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.39 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57a4…f0c0backed Yes | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.39 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…1914backed No | 50c | 886$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -3.4wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 51c | 858.62$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.38 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…f2f2backed Yes | 53c | 754.72$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.72 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 43c | 734.64$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.57 | 511 | 36.8%188 W · 323 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb023…f142backed No | 49c | 700$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 79c | 662.32$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.97 | 407 | 44.5%181 W · 226 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0315…5eb3backed Yes | 48c | 647$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.44 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked No | 48c | 626$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.48 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked No | 48c | 599.94$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.97 | 194 | 46.4%90 W · 104 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 76c | 559.22$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.36 | 226 | 69%156 W · 70 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c29…1478backed Yes | 45c | 530$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.5 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Yes | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 158 | 47.5%75 W · 83 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 636 | 45.1%287 W · 349 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba5a…344cbacked Yes | 54c | 462.96$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.96 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked No | 8c | 419.44$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed No | 47c | 400$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e6…84a8backed Yes | 62c | 400$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf439…bf9cbacked Yes | 51c | 400$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9030…4a23backed Yes | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7be1…200ebacked Yes | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 4c | 389.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.23 | 446 | 55.4%247 W · 199 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b94…d008backed Yes | 51c | 384.67$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1577…a02abacked Yes | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +105.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf2a…0c85backed Yes | 51c | 358.82$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.82 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +102.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 53c | 350$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.5 | 380 | 55.8%212 W · 168 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…99aebacked Yes | 50c | 344$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x898d…ddb7backed Yes | 51c | 339.22$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a57…1d29backed Yes | 51c | 301.96$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Yes | 54c | 300$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…bd5bbacked Yes | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 138 | 51.4%71 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked Yes | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed No | 11c | 298.98$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.99 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x170e…aa0dbacked Yes | 54c | 277.78$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.78 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f85…87d5backed No | 8c | 268.9$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.32 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dde…2c06backed Yes | 54c | 268.52$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.52 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 47c | 255.98$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.31 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 35c | 255.56$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.96 | 85 | 41.2%35 W · 50 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed No | 48c | 250$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.83 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed No | 49c | 250$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Yes | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34f6…eab4backed Yes | 45c | 209.02$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.96 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-01-31?this page
- Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-01-31?No won
- Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. 1. FC Union Berlin end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.