TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x57a4…f0c0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
688
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Asian League, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Asian League at 58 out of 100; worst Australian A League at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT10759.8%64 W · 43 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+14.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 107 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Malmo FF win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$244.44
Degerfors IF vs. Malmo FF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Degerfors IF vs. Malmo FF: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Celtic FC vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$53.85
Hibernian FC vs. Motherwell FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Rangers FC win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+70.1%+$70.08
Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Telstar 1963 vs. FC Groningen: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$96
Telstar 1963 vs. FC Groningen: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Sporting CP vs. CD Santa Clara: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+26.1%+$25.77
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-04-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$62.25
Sporting CP vs. CD Santa Clara: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$17.93
Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+75.5%+$754.56
Will Rams Başakşehir FK win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-03-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$728.57
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FC Porto: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$314Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+59.4%+$186.28
Will Sparta Rotterdam vs. PEC Zwolle end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+61.2%+$122.36
Will PSV win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+133.3%+$533.28
PSV vs. AZ: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+29.1%+$116.52
SC Braga vs. Sporting CP: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+95.5%+$190.9
SC Braga vs. Sporting CP: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+78.6%+$78.57
Will FC Utrecht win on 2026-03-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Heracles Almelo vs. FC Utrecht: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$210
Gil Vicente FC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$364Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+92.5%+$336.31
Gil Vicente FC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$900Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+31.6%+$284.21
Showing 25 of 107 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT9154.9%50 W · 41 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 91 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$144.83
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$97
Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Queens Park Rangers FC vs. Bristol City FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Norwich City FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+37%+$147.95
Manchester City FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$704Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$704.48
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$92.31
Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-04-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+90.4%+$104.42
Everton FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$188.24
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$612.9
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+54.3%+$326.03
Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Newcastle United FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+185.7%+$168.71
Newcastle United FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+54.3%+$325.61
Newcastle United FC vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+49.5%+$495.36
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$400
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+63.5%+$761.72
Newcastle United FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+61.3%+$919.35
Aston Villa FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+78.6%+$785.71
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$2,000
Aston Villa FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+31.6%+$315.79
Showing 25 of 91 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT8556.5%48 W · 37 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 85 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-07-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+94.3%+$188.54
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,074Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$377.36
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$972Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$828.34
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.36
FC Barcelona vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$610Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$609.85
FC Barcelona vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$987Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$278.33
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$386Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$533.16
Sporting CP vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
Liverpool FC vs. Galatasaray SK: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
FC Bayern München vs. Atalanta BC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+60.3%+$602.95
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$639.34
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$666.67
Manchester City FC vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$470.59
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+46.1%+$921.31
Chelsea FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$449.28
Manchester City FC vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$724.14
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Sporting CP: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+150%+$750
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,450Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,450
Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$486.44
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$2,500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+59.2%+$1,479.1
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Showing 25 of 85 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT6448.4%31 W · 33 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-15.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 64 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$303Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$149.3
VfL Wolfsburg vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$117.39
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$294Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$293.52
Will SpVgg Greuther Fürth win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.73
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
VfB Stuttgart vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.66
FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+38.4%+$383.75
RB Leipzig vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,000
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$5,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,000
Hannover 96 vs. SpVgg Greuther Fürth: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$81.82
Karlsruher SC vs. SG Dynamo Dresden: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$150.88
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+63.9%+$191.8
RB Leipzig vs. FC Augsburg: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+63.9%+$383.61
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. VfB Stuttgart: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+104.1%+$208.16
SC Freiburg vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+69.5%+$208.47
1. FC Heidenheim 1846 vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+53.8%+$161.54
1. FC Nürnberg vs. TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$300
SV 07 Elversberg vs. 1. FC Magdeburg: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$600
Hamburger SV vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+138.4%+$276.8
Hamburger SV vs. RB Leipzig: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,180Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+69.5%+$820
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$5,279Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+116.4%+$6,142.74
Showing 25 of 64 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT6061.7%37 W · 23 L+4.9wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
La Liga — the 60 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Villarreal CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$44.93
Valencia CF vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$53.85
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-05-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$31.97
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$287Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$287.04
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$245Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+68.3%+$167.44
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$299Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$298.54
RCD Mallorca vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+76.1%+$74.11
RCD Mallorca vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$78.4
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-04-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+103%+$69.89
Will Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa win on 2026-04-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
SD Huesca vs. Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Will FC Andorra win on 2026-04-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
Will FC Andorra vs. Málaga CF end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Burgos CF vs. AD Ceuta FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+31.8%+$63.55
SD Huesca vs. Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+37%+$73.97
Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$520.41
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-03-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Getafe CF vs. Real Betis Balompié: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Villarreal CF vs. Elche CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$127.87
Villarreal CF vs. Elche CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+93.9%+$187.72
Athletic Club vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$400
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+70%+$559.66
Showing 25 of 60 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT5354.7%29 W · 24 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 53 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AS Roma win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+37%+$51.78
Bologna FC 1909 vs. FC Internazionale Milano: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$33.33
Bologna FC 1909 vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$39.29
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$192.32
SSC Napoli vs. SS Lazio: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$447Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$447.48
ACF Fiorentina vs. SS Lazio: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$294Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$294.32
Cagliari Calcio vs. US Cremonese: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$391Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$390.87
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$73.28
Hellas Verona FC vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$454Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$453.51
Genoa CFC vs. Udinese Calcio: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$653Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$652.96
FC Internazionale Milano vs. Atalanta BC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$2,030Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$1,469.99
SS Lazio vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+40.7%+$406.67
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+56.3%+$196.97
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-03-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+56.3%+$281.25
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-03-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$784Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+104.1%+$816
AS Roma vs. Juventus FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$5,200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+92.3%+$4,800
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000
US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Atalanta BC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+73.5%+$220.47
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-02-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$380Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+63.9%+$242.94
AS Roma vs. US Cremonese: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+96.1%+$192.16
Will AC Milan win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$650Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$650
Atalanta BC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+132.6%+$132.56
Atalanta BC vs. SSC Napoli: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+92.3%+$92.31
Showing 25 of 53 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT4949%24 W · 25 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-12.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 49 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
RC Celta de Vigo vs. SC Freiburg: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$292Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$248.5
Will FC Porto win on 2026-04-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,260Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,260.34
FK Shakhtar Donetsk vs. AZ: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$291Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$302.69
SC Freiburg vs. RC Celta de Vigo: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$971Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$971.2
SC Freiburg vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$785Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$369.24
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$491Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+42.8%+$210.35
FC Porto vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$588Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+47.4%+$278.64
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. AEK: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$581Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$581.42
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Samsunspor: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
FC Porto vs. VfB Stuttgart: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,000
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
FC Porto vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$282.05
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. SK Sigma Olomouc: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+30.2%+$302.23
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
KRC Genk vs. SC Freiburg: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Ferencvárosi TC vs. SC Braga: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
NK Celje vs. AEK: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,001Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000.55
Panathinaikós AO vs. Real Betis Balompié: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$516Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$515.66
AZ vs. AC Sparta Praha: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+80%+$400.22
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+132.9%+$398.79
VfB Stuttgart vs. FC Porto: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,990Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+71.6%+$1,425.16
Samsunspor vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+99.6%+$696.97
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-02-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$600
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-02-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+69.5%+$416.95
Showing 25 of 49 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT4852.1%25 W · 23 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 48 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lionel Messi: 1+ assistsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.58
Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,200
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$77
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$700
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+80.8%+$242.33
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$366.67
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
England vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$345Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+48.1%+$165.97
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$504Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$504
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$388.89
Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Canada leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$52.81
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$112.77
Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$85.19
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Ismael Saibari: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+465%+$69.75
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$112.77
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$49.25
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+56.4%+$62.06
United States vs. Germany: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$94.12
Will Cayman Islands win on 2026-06-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Portugal leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Wales leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Wales win on 2026-06-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Showing 25 of 48 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT4463.6%28 W · 16 L+4.7wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+24.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Asian League — the 44 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Beijing Guoan FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$107.69
Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+59%+$176.89
Will Chongqing Tonglianglong FC win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$47.06
FC Anyang vs. Pohang Steelers FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$51.52
Will Yunnan Yukun FC win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+62.4%+$149.71
Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Henan FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+69.4%+$55.55
Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$235Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$235
Will Beijing Guoan FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+150%+$75
Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$63.93
Henan FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Henan FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$96.08
Will Beijing Guoan FC win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Dalian Yingbo FC win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$63.64
Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+43.1%+$43.07
Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-04-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$197.01
Will Yunnan Yukun FC win on 2026-04-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+34.7%+$69.4
Will Chongqing Tonglianglong FC win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$104.08
Will Shanghai Shenhua FC win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$216.67
Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$94.12
Shandong Taishan FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Showing 25 of 44 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT3644.4%16 W · 20 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$71.95
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-04-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$679Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$679
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+272.3%+$272.26
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$31.58
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-03-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$184.62
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+29.1%+$291.26
Toulouse FC vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$600
Toulouse FC vs. Olympique de Marseille: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$1,500
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. AS Monaco FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$268Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+61.7%+$165.23
Paris FC vs. OGC Nice: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$3,018Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+94.3%+$2,845.05
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-02-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-02-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$203.07
RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$300
RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+92.3%+$230.78
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+85.2%+$85.19
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+143.9%+$143.9
Angers SCO vs. Lille OSC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$200
AJ Auxerre vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+96.1%+$288.24
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Racing Club de Lens vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+58.7%+$58.73
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT1435.7%5 W · 9 L-3.2wins-0.23per pick58cpaid-39.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Auckland FC vs. Sydney FC: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$53.85
Auckland FC vs. Sydney FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Newcastle United Jets FC win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Newcastle United Jets FC vs. Adelaide United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$102
Adelaide United FC vs. Auckland FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$347Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$148.65
Will Sydney FC win on 2026-04-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Brisbane Roar FC vs. Sydney FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$113.98
Brisbane Roar FC vs. Sydney FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$231Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$230.99
Will Newcastle United Jets FC win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+92.3%+$55.38
Newcastle United Jets FC vs. Macarthur FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Perth Glory FC vs. Auckland FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Perth Glory FC vs. Auckland FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Melbourne Victory FC win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$400
Will Auckland FC win on 2026-01-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,050Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+108.3%+$1,137.5
All 14 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT1361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will New York City FC win on 2026-07-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$200.82
Chicago Fire FC vs. Nashville SC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$460Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$459.72
Will FC Cincinnati win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
Will San Diego FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+78.7%+$118.08
Will FC Cincinnati win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Will New York Red Bulls win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+63.9%+$127.87
Orlando City SC vs. New York Red Bulls: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$186Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+92.3%+$171.36
Orlando City SC vs. New York Red Bulls: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+31.6%+$63.16
Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Real Salt Lake: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+56.4%+$169.25
Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Real Salt Lake: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+25.4%+$126.76
Will FC Cincinnati win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+127.3%+$63.64
FC Cincinnati vs. Atlanta United FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+81.8%+$40.91
Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$15
All 13 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+30.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
National Bank Open: Lucrezia Stefanini vs Camila Osoriobacked Camila Osorio · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$30
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Cristian Garin vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$5,702Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$1,515.72
Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open, Qualification: Renata Zarazua vs Vera Zvonarevabacked Zarazua · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+117.4%+$58.7
Australian Open Women's: Anna Kalinskaya vs Iga Swiatekbacked Kalinskaya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Australian Open Women's: Linda Noskova vs Xinyu Wangbacked Noskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$936Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$936.41
Adelaide International: Tereza Valentova vs Madison Keysbacked Keys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+63.9%+$159.84
Adelaide International: Mirra Andreeva vs Marie Bouzkovabacked Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+88.7%+$88.68
Adelaide International: Victoria Mboko vs Anna Kalinskayabacked Mboko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+106.2%+$127.42
All 8 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.29per pick42cpaid-79.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Middle East — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+31.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Saski Baskonia vs. Maccabi Tel Avivbacked Maccabi Tel Aviv · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$194.73
ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne vs. Maccabi Tel Avivbacked Maccabi Tel Aviv · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+87.2%+$174.31
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
EC Bahia vs. CA Paranaense: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.44
Will EC Bahia win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$391Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$391
All 2 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C or higher on March 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.