Australian A League · resolved market
Will Perth Glory FC vs. Auckland FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd4780c061c3e6a52781af958ce8618c6e95f9925512ac599be365debd123c656
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,660
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,182
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,660 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 69c | 3,103$2,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$974.08 | 466 | 44.8%209 W · 257 L | -23.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked No | 30c | 1,500$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,049.98 | 93 | 36.6%34 W · 59 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 33c | 1,388$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.36 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Yes | 12c | 1,023$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.51 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 67c | 969$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.22 | 69 | 69.6%48 W · 21 L | +7.3wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5303…c177backed Yes | 27c | 740.74$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe486…0c26backed Yes | 15c | 648.09$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.21 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +84.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 66c | 572.01$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.94 | 110 | 63.6%70 W · 40 L | +9.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfabc…2134backed Yes | 23c | 570$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.4 | 140 | 60.7%85 W · 55 L | +19.7wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +31%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 53c | 515.48$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.29 | 334 | 44%147 W · 187 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3f…c7f3backed Yes | 62c | 500$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 69cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 70c | 464$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.8 | 235 | 51.5%121 W · 114 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf591…39c8backed Yes | 65c | 460.79$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 19c | 444.44$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.6 | 61 | 26.2%16 W · 45 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23d4…5607backed Yes | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Yes | 70c | 428.57$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 38c | 390.67$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.47 | 94 | 31.9%30 W · 64 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 76 | 31.6%24 W · 52 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd280…cf9dbacked Yes | 27c | 370.11$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.93 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 72c | 360.68$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.99 | 300 | 55.3%166 W · 134 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcae…39b1backed Yes | 28c | 358.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 41c | 351.76$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.23 | 148 | 43.9%65 W · 83 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57a4…f0c0backed Yes | 70c | 286.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -3.2wins | -0.23per pick | 58cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 44c | 237.65$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.84 | 305 | 36.1%110 W · 195 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed No | 32c | 205.87$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.93 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked No | 40c | 203$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.59 | 64 | 71.9%46 W · 18 L | +9.9wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…5fbbbacked Yes | 70c | 201.24$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 39cpaid | +62%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…391ebacked Yes | 64c | 156$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.18 | 17 | 88.2%15 W · 2 L | +5.0wins | +0.29per pick | 59cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc8…f45bbacked Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 73 | 34.2%25 W · 48 L | +6.6wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Yes | 26c | 119$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.94 | 101 | 60.4%61 W · 40 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…621fbacked Yes | 35c | 114.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 67c | 110$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.19 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -6.2wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5f…7e6fbacked Yes | 23c | 106$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.86 | 113 | 51.3%58 W · 55 L | +11.6wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x83d0…c927backed No | 39c | 102.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.56 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 65c | 102.1$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.05 | 121 | 56.2%68 W · 53 L | +9.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x710c…ee60backed Yes | 68c | 88.24$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 39c | 86$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.46 | 92 | 57.6%53 W · 39 L | +10.1wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Yes | 24c | 83.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked No | 39c | 78.5$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.55 | 63 | 73%46 W · 17 L | +19.0wins | +0.30per pick | 43cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 74+0.22 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 74c | 73.82$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.19 | 437 | 48.3%211 W · 226 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes | 21c | 68$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.41 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d89…d647backed No | 67c | 65$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x828c…fb4cbacked No | 31c | 59.64$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.97 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 64c | 54.11$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.63 | 478 | 50.8%243 W · 235 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d40…f95abacked Yes | 61c | 50.82$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.41per pick | 66cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Yes | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 83 | 27.7%23 W · 60 L | -10.2wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked Yes | 70c | 48$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 68c | 47.72$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.34 | 135 | 51.1%69 W · 66 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 63c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2d…a9b1backed Yes | 61c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…8528backed Yes | 70c | 35.71$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 74c | 35.18$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.15 | 168 | 58.3%98 W · 70 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa64b…1e4bbacked No | 77c | 33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.62 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 71cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Yes | 34c | 32.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +3.8wins | +0.17per pick | 37cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 67c | 31.94$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 107 | 57.9%62 W · 45 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed No | 73c | 29.56$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.85 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Yes | 43c | 29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.38 | 135 | 40.7%55 W · 80 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Yes | 62c | 28.8$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.96 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.22per pick | 43cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x14de…489cbacked Yes | 59c | 28.6$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1237…f312backed No | 76c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.26 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed Yes | 70c | 25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf7b…2e17backed Yes | 69c | 21.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf876…4bd8backed Yes | 70c | 15.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Perth Glory FC vs. Auckland FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Auckland FC win on 2026-01-31?No won
- Will Perth Glory FC win on 2026-01-31?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.