TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa64b…1e4b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
185
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Ncaa Basketball, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Ncaa Basketball at 58 out of 100; worst Other European Leagues at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST3655.6%20 W · 16 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Heat vs. Bullsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+52.7%+$30.84
Heat vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+57.4%+$28.01
Celtics vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+62.4%+$124.78
Pacers vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+42.4%+$61.46
Lakers vs. Spursbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$83.51
Pelicans vs. Hawksbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$28.31
Bulls vs. Pistons: O/U 234.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$57.73
Bulls vs. Pistons: O/U 233.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$28.92
Bulls vs. Pistons: O/U 232.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$57.92
Mavericks vs. Kings: O/U 233.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+102.7%+$89.15
Nuggets vs. 76ers: O/U 228.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+94.2%+$18.17
Spread: Rockets (-8.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$19.3
Trail Blazers vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$15.97
Spurs vs. Pacersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+37.3%+$5.25
Spread: Clippers (-12.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$57.9
Spread: Clippers (-11.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$28.78
Nuggets vs. Raptors: O/U 225.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+96.1%+$23.19
Nuggets vs. Raptorsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+222.6%+$35.02
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 234.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+81.8%+$12.69
Magic vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$16.79
Spread: Thunder (-15.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+122.2%+$21.3
Knicks vs. Pelicansbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+33.3%+$8.27
Cavaliers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$53.29
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$38.31
Spread: Thunder (-16.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+104.1%+$30.1
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST2653.8%14 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick58cpaid+0.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+26.1%+$5.11
Will Chelsea FC vs. West Ham United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$11.93
Will Bristol City FC vs. Derby County FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+33.6%+$10.32
Will Everton FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$12.69
Will Newcastle United FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+29.9%+$3.85
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+26.6%+$2.92
Will Queens Park Rangers FC win on 2026-01-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+41.9%+$8.95
Will Aston Villa FC vs. Everton FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+26.6%+$10.25
Will West Ham United FC vs. Queens Park Rangers FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$14.16
Will Sheffield United FC vs. Mansfield Town FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$37.34
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+25%+$4.56
Will Portsmouth FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$37.81
Will Derby County FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$11.63
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$16.36
Will Newcastle United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+431.9%+$122.1
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+316.7%+$89.93
Will Everton FC vs. Sunderland AFC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$38.93
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$46.94
Will Derby County FC vs. Wrexham AFC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+33.3%+$5.41
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$34.32
Will Fulham FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+124.5%+$35.71
Will Birmingham City FC win on 2026-01-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$54.21
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$44.53
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-01-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+33.1%+$3.91
Will Aston Villa FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+25.6%+$22.08
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST2055%11 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Andorra win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$11.44
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+40.8%+$4.62
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+29.3%+$17.23
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-01-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+51.5%+$25.16
Will Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$48.98
Will Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa win on 2026-01-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$47.65
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. CA Osasuna end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$93.21
Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-01-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$154.35
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-01-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+61.3%+$22.27
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+25%+$2.74
Will SD Huesca win on 2026-01-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$45.12
Will SD Huesca vs. Córdoba CF end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+49.4%+$40.67
Will Levante UD vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$12.7
Will Levante UD win on 2026-01-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$24.24
Will CD Mirandés vs. UD Almería end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+245.4%+$57.72
Will UD Almería win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$28.42
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+30.9%+$17.03
Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-01-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+57.4%+$16.86
Will CA Osasuna vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+43.1%+$9.3
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-01-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+54.4%+$29.78
All 20 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST1450%7 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-17.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Pisa SC vs. US Sassuolo Calcio end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+29.9%+$7.51
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-01-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$68.91
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-01-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$65.14
Will US Lecce vs. Parma Calcio 1913 end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+49.3%+$23.26
Will AC Milan vs. Genoa CFC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+117.4%+$13.2
Will AC Milan win on 2026-01-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+56.3%+$12.1
Will US Cremonese vs. Cagliari Calcio end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$29.57
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$42.05
Will Genoa CFC vs. Pisa SC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$14.29
Will Genoa CFC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$15.01
Will US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Parma Calcio 1913 end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$22.44
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+63.4%+$30.5
Atalanta BC vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+47.1%+$11.5
Bologna FC 1909 vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+88.7%+$21.43
All 14 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST1361.5%8 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NEOM SC vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+30.4%+$3.88
Will NEOM SC vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$10.83
Will Damac Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$65.15
Will Al Fateh Saudi Club win on 2026-01-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$49.3
Will Al Okhdood SC vs. Al Kholood Saudi Club end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+29.6%+$18.45
Will Al Okhdood SC win on 2026-01-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+52.7%+$36.47
Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Khaleej Saudi Club end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$24.37
Will Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+34.4%+$16.04
Will Al Hazem SC vs. Al Najmah Saudi Club end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+26%+$14.01
Will Al Taawoun Saudi Club win on 2026-01-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+104.1%+$30.76
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+29.9%+$8.83
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-01-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+81.8%+$8.44
Will Al Najmah Saudi Club vs. Al Khaleej Saudi Club end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$21.81
All 13 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST1330.8%4 W · 9 L-3.3wins-0.26per pick56cpaid-53.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Göztepe SK vs. Fatih Karagümrük SK end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$10.66
Will Heart of Midlothian FC vs. Celtic FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$11.42
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-01-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$15.64
Will Alanyaspor vs. Fenerbahçe SK end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+38%+$18.02
Will Samsunspor win on 2026-01-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+42.9%+$8.51
Will Aberdeen FC vs. Rangers FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+26.6%+$10.48
Will CD Nacional vs. CD Santa Clara end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$14.39
Will CD Nacional win on 2026-01-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$66.57
Will Go Ahead Eagles win on 2026-01-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$17.59
Will Go Ahead Eagles vs. Fortuna Sittard end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$127.86
Will SC Heerenveen vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$63.63
Will Hibernian FC vs. Motherwell FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+92.3%+$15.6
Will Motherwell FC win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$11.94
All 13 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST1163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+13.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rangers vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+78.1%+$9.31
Islanders vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$16.32
Devils vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$27.43
Jets vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+48.5%+$17.61
Wild vs. Maple Leafsbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+38.9%+$41.82
Wild vs. Krakenbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+63.9%+$55.96
Sabres vs. Rangersbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+117.4%+$33.87
Avalanche vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$16.9
Penguins vs. Red Wingsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+48.8%+$23.46
Kraken vs. Canucksbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+150.2%+$27.05
Wild vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$10.31
All 11 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST1030%3 W · 7 L-2.6wins-0.26per pick56cpaid-56.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Nantes vs. OGC Nice end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+31.6%+$3.95
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-01-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$19.17
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. FC Metz end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$13.57
Will Le Havre AC win on 2026-01-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$16.11
Will FC Lorient win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$10.19
Will OGC Nice vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$19.21
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$10.26
Will AS Monaco FC vs. Olympique Lyonnais end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$10.94
Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-01-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+42.9%+$5.03
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-01-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+58.1%+$10.93
All 10 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-24.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.26per pick45cpaid+36.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST6100%6 W · 0 L+2.2wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+68.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick71cpaid+18.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 29, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-26.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-67.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Commanders vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$14.73
Chargers vs. Broncosbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$24.14
1H Spread: 49ers (-1.5)backed Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$24.1
Patriots vs. Jets: 1H Moneylinebacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+29.9%+$5.88
All 4 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+36.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.5wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wake Forest vs. Mississippi Statebacked Wake Forest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+45.4%+$15.27
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$30.83
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.