TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Parma Calcio 1913 end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$82,954
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$94,237

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $82,954 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x84cb…28adbacked Yes44c29,936$13,031 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,905.164566.7%30 W · 15 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No42c17,151$7,173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,172.651,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No60c10,116$6,061 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,061.022,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed No71c6,900$4,899 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,8994247.6%20 W · 22 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+20.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Yes29c6,030$1,768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,262.0921058.6%123 W · 87 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No59c3,645$2,162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,162.3196942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed No70c2,384$1,673 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,672.513548.6%17 W · 18 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+13.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe8f2…22a3backed Yes72c2,000$1,431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569.431566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ba4…c08bbacked Yes30c1,670$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1695747.4%27 W · 30 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb875…68a8backed No54c1,371$741 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$740.563759.5%22 W · 15 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Yes69c1,311$901 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.5718858.5%110 W · 78 L+16.6wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+12.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Yes29c1,166$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$832.4619549.7%97 W · 98 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes30c1,000$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70024939.4%98 W · 151 L-12.9wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed No17c999.97$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17011837.3%44 W · 74 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0801…35cbbacked No59c842.37$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4971250%6 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2da0…2f48backed No61c819.67$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004656.5%26 W · 20 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed Yes29c682.96$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$484.914142.6%60 W · 81 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes29c678.47$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481.7568750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x24d8…e8a8backed No32c651.84$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.472657.7%15 W · 11 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x873a…2066backed Yes29c607.82$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43213639.7%54 W · 82 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed No77c599.99$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460.1311667.2%78 W · 38 L+10.9wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+14.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No32c575.23$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.3459240.7%241 W · 351 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked No71c500$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3558058.8%47 W · 33 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-3.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed No70c399.98$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.9822947.6%109 W · 120 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a4e…3309backed Yes51c392.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.162650%13 W · 13 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed No70c378.17$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.7220841.8%87 W · 121 L-10.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc706…faedbacked No72c372.22$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfaa5…7cc9backed No60c364$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.411153.2%59 W · 52 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5f7…f247backed No72c336.11$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24210%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6a2…9874backed Yes30c333.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.337830.8%24 W · 54 L+0.2wins0.00per pick31cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Yes29c322$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.629556.8%54 W · 41 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes34c294.12$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.1213658.8%80 W · 56 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick60cpaid+2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No45c266.23$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.4524849.2%122 W · 126 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed No70c240$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16816851.2%86 W · 82 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d44…3838backed No72c237.5$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick65cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5bab…50aabacked Yes68c235.19$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.263961.5%24 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf717…7323backed No72c233.33$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf236…6d09backed No72c231.94$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No45c191.21$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.1743058.6%252 W · 178 L+15.8wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe889…d0c3backed Yes30c181.37$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.966428.1%18 W · 46 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc35…2329backed No72c176.39$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0252…38d7backed No30c170.09$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.16616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick21cpaid-22.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad2f…f350backed Yes36c166.67$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.671338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No70c160$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.1229862.4%186 W · 112 L+34.5wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+31.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x14fa…73f0backed No31c159.22$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503345.5%15 W · 18 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6467…7cadbacked Yes78c153.85$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.85875%6 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+20.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes29c150$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.519652%102 W · 94 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x268f…92e3backed No59c149.02$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.8460%0 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6310…0d90backed Yes71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.852250%11 W · 11 L-3.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-25.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcfad…dae2backed No72c140.28$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01a8…aec0backed No72c138.89$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2269…6b01backed Yes44c136.36$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.36475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+43.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12cc…3587backed Yes70c133.4$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.1250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-28.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57a6…44edbacked Yes30c133.33$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.335955.9%33 W · 26 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Yes24c126$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.1620431.4%64 W · 140 L+0.2wins0.00per pick31cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02c5…1f4cbacked No72c125$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes30c120$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8448144.1%212 W · 269 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Yes29c113.95$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.937250.5%188 W · 184 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc348…78dfbacked No72c112.5$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8110%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f84…67efbacked Yes35c109.98$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.4912422.6%28 W · 96 L-7.5wins-0.06per pick29cpaid-32.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed No75c100.27$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.4423244%102 W · 130 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39ad…887abacked Yes57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked No63c95.42$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.7515045.3%68 W · 82 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7dfe…cf7dbacked No72c94.44$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick70cpaid-51%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf19…3f61backed No72c88.89$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6420%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No42c87.51$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.3452748%253 W · 274 L-35.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0181…7a68backed No72c83.33$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4be7…8e91backed No71c81.56$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.911040%4 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-42.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ed8…8de5backed No14c79.15$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.92326.1%6 W · 17 L-3.1wins-0.13per pick40cpaid-46.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8e4c…37a3backed Yes56c76.16$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.512100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+80.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x05bc…2c3cbacked No72c75$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-26.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b29…c45bbacked No72c75$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5410%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde4d…bc25backed No72c70.83$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5110%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x604d…4608backed Yes37c67.57$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.573946.2%18 W · 21 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4985…fe74backed Yes27c64.48$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.1250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+85.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fc7…55f6backed No61c63.25$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.744854.2%26 W · 22 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+14.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9438…3d6abacked No67c63$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.212369.6%16 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcba6…bb05backed No51c60.88$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.799754.6%53 W · 44 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb95e…c6d6backed No70c60$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427948.1%38 W · 41 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c9b…e74abacked No37c59.46$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226036.7%22 W · 38 L-6.5wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-30.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x58ca…0672backed No70c54.79$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.221353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+20.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2249…3005backed Yes65c53.85$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.85683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.29per pick54cpaid+98.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x87a4…953ebacked Yes76c52.33$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.331776.5%13 W · 4 L+2.7wins+0.16per pick61cpaid+30.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5404…5e58backed Yes40c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307439.2%29 W · 45 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No71c50$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.540447.3%191 W · 213 L+0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed No55c50$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.515450%77 W · 77 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d0a…3389backed Yes52c48.08$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.084100%4 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+74.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7b9d…269dbacked No65c48$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.2119.1%1 W · 10 L-2.6wins-0.24per pick33cpaid-74.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9e70…14babacked Yes27c47$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.311915.8%3 W · 16 L-4.2wins-0.22per pick38cpaid-60.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd743…59bdbacked No26c46$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.962334.8%8 W · 15 L-3.6wins-0.16per pick51cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x96f1…b6d8backed Yes44c45.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.36580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.31per pick49cpaid+70.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes25c45$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.6614549.7%72 W · 73 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xddd7…1596backed Yes28c43.33$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.232150.2%161 W · 160 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No70c43.02$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.1118459.2%109 W · 75 L+12.8wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+14.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1812…0db6backed Yes48c41.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.671040%4 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-21.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c33…07fdbacked No72c41.67$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x47d6…9920backed No72c40.28$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2910%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeb01…2783backed No70c40$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288552.9%45 W · 40 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed No53c38.47$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.2517529.1%51 W · 124 L-14.6wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-52.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6b38…4d61backed Yes29c36.92$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.212759.3%16 W · 11 L+2.9wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+28.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.