Serie A · resolved market

Will Parma Calcio 1913 win on 2026-01-03?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x484a06ce12c019c919210af11c404bcfa87c30eb63258678be6b5508746b8969

Rebuilt 21 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jan 3, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $42,071
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $45,254

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,071 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Serie A
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x8e68…d99bbacked No	77c	7,790$5,998 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,791.72	91	50.5%46 W · 45 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes	20c	6,578$1,309 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,308.52	2,538	45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L	+13.8wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes	20c	3,864$766 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$765.78	969	42.3%410 W · 559 L	-13.0wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17cd…7423backed Yes	22c	2,717$598 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$597.74	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	+2.8wins	+0.20per pick	37cpaid	+64.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed No	77c	2,500$1,933 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$567	229	47.6%109 W · 120 L	-7.7wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x06a8…2927backed Yes	25c	2,060$515 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$515	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.28per pick	22cpaid	+166.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed No	78c	2,000$1,560 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$440	142	49.3%70 W · 72 L	+5.0wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes	19c	1,316$246 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$245.5	592	40.7%241 W · 351 L	-15.8wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed No	77c	1,242$956 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$285.67	82	51.2%42 W · 40 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xec32…1634backed No	78c	1,000$780 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$220	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.06per pick	61cpaid	-9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa99a…388ebacked Yes	22c	972.73$214 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$214	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	+1.9wins	+0.16per pick	43cpaid	+25.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcd43…88d7backed Yes	25c	800$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	12	8.3%1 W · 11 L	-2.0wins	-0.17per pick	25cpaid	-80.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked No	77c	800$616 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$184	101	52.5%53 W · 48 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Yes	13c	711.16$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.76	175	29.1%51 W · 124 L	-14.6wins	-0.08per pick	37cpaid	-52.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No	77c	400$308 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92	285	56.1%160 W · 125 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No	77c	300$231 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69	184	59.2%109 W · 75 L	+12.8wins	+0.07per pick	52cpaid	+14.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed No	77c	300$231 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69	136	48.5%66 W · 70 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed Yes	14c	300$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	26	26.9%7 W · 19 L	-2.1wins	-0.08per pick	35cpaid	-46.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes	23c	288$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.16	277	37.2%103 W · 174 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0801…35cbbacked No	75c	266.67$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.67	12	50%6 W · 6 L	-0.8wins	-0.07per pick	57cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed No	77c	240$185 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.2	168	51.2%86 W · 82 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x873a…2066backed Yes	22c	206.16$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.45	136	39.7%54 W · 82 L	-4.5wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x739d…d2ffbacked Yes	25c	200$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	61	36.1%22 W · 39 L	+5.8wins	+0.09per pick	27cpaid	+35.6%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed No	77c	200$154 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46	115	50.4%58 W · 57 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdd3a…9993backed No	77c	196.83$152 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.27	104	51%53 W · 51 L	-2.9wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b6c…5ab5backed No	78c	180.57$141 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.73	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.22per pick	78cpaid	+28.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed No	77c	180$139 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.4	158	47.5%75 W · 83 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed No	77c	180$139 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.4	141	55.3%78 W · 63 L	+3.9wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed No	77c	180$139 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.4	122	53.3%65 W · 57 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No	77c	180$139 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.4	284	58.1%165 W · 119 L	+12.6wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0157…d8dcbacked Yes	23c	177.65$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.86	77	53.2%41 W · 36 L	+5.6wins	+0.07per pick	46cpaid	+19.3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x57a6…44edbacked Yes	23c	173.91$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	59	55.9%33 W · 26 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6aa…8882backed Yes	14c	173.79$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.33	37	24.3%9 W · 28 L	+1.4wins	+0.04per pick	21cpaid	+47.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c9b…e74abacked Yes	15c	166.68$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	60	36.7%22 W · 38 L	-6.5wins	-0.11per pick	48cpaid	-30.8%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Yes	25c	166$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.58	188	58.5%110 W · 78 L	+16.6wins	+0.09per pick	50cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed No	77c	164.45$127 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.82	120	48.3%58 W · 62 L	-3.9wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x20fb…e5fabacked Yes	23c	150$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.5	10	20%2 W · 8 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	19cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Yes	16c	135.57$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.22	204	31.4%64 W · 140 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	31cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6884…517cbacked Yes	15c	133.33$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.22per pick	22cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No	78c	129.41$101 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.47	932	52%485 W · 447 L	+11.4wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa408…d831backed No	78c	128.35$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.24	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+0.9wins	+0.09per pick	51cpaid	+12.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Yes	24c	126.92$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.5	63	23.8%15 W · 48 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-26.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed No	77c	120$92 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.6	88	52.3%46 W · 42 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed No	77c	120$92 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.6	111	54.1%60 W · 51 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked No	77c	120$92 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.6	81	48.1%39 W · 42 L	-2.8wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed No	77c	120$92 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.6	124	53.2%66 W · 58 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked No	77c	120$92 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.6	114	54.4%62 W · 52 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked No	77c	120$92 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.6	89	48.3%43 W · 46 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked No	77c	120$92 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.6	109	52.3%57 W · 52 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed No	77c	120$92 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.6	77	46.8%36 W · 41 L	-4.0wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed No	77c	120$92 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.6	102	52%53 W · 49 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed No	77c	120$92 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.6	119	53.8%64 W · 55 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed No	77c	120$92 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.6	94	47.9%45 W · 49 L	-3.5wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed No	77c	120$92 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.6	154	59.1%91 W · 63 L	+11.2wins	+0.07per pick	52cpaid	+19.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes	22c	103$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.66	481	44.1%212 W · 269 L	+6.6wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes	14c	102$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.13	467	42.8%200 W · 267 L	-1.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x644b…ec38backed Yes	11c	101.57$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-1.0wins	-0.10per pick	50cpaid	-28.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1941…c47fbacked No	77c	100$77 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23	64	43.8%28 W · 36 L	-4.5wins	-0.07per pick	51cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa2cc…55a0backed Yes	23c	100$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-0.8wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-18%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Yes	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	72	20.8%15 W · 57 L	-7.1wins	-0.10per pick	31cpaid	-32.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb95e…c6d6backed No	77c	100$77 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23	79	48.1%38 W · 41 L	-2.4wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3504…e042backed Yes	23c	100$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-0.5wins	-0.04per pick	27cpaid	-11%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes	14c	100$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.55	284	45.4%129 W · 155 L	+4.9wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes	27c	93$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.54	145	49.7%72 W · 73 L	+4.2wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa204…e66fbacked No	77c	80$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.4	73	53.4%39 W · 34 L	+1.9wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Yes	23c	80$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.35	115	46.1%53 W · 62 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe601…c728backed No	77c	70$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.1	124	54.8%68 W · 56 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e6f…c966backed Yes	22c	68.18$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	17	29.4%5 W · 12 L	+1.2wins	+0.07per pick	22cpaid	+76%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked No	77c	60$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.8	94	45.7%43 W · 51 L	-3.8wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed No	77c	60$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.8	115	51.3%59 W · 56 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xeb01…2783backed No	77c	60$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.8	85	52.9%45 W · 40 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96f4…8081backed No	77c	60$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.8	84	56%47 W · 37 L	+2.2wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+10.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8bdf…8adabacked No	77c	60$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.8	113	54%61 W · 52 L	+1.8wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked No	77c	60$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.8	92	52.2%48 W · 44 L	+1.8wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9adf…3f2fbacked No	77c	60$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.8	76	53.9%41 W · 35 L	+1.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf99a…5487backed No	77c	60$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.8	81	51.9%42 W · 39 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked No	77c	60$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.8	127	54.3%69 W · 58 L	+3.3wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed No	77c	60$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.8	116	55.2%64 W · 52 L	+3.6wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked No	77c	60$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.8	136	50.7%69 W · 67 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4edd…b1a1backed No	77c	60$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.8	110	60%66 W · 44 L	+7.8wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+16.3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x588b…8593backed Yes	20c	50.27$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.16	44	34.1%15 W · 29 L	-1.6wins	-0.04per pick	38cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c6b…81cbbacked Yes	26c	50$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.08per pick	57cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No	75c	44.44$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.11	430	58.6%252 W · 178 L	+15.8wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Yes	25c	40$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	143	51%73 W · 70 L	-10.8wins	-0.08per pick	59cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x42ce…d2cbbacked No	76c	40$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.6	27	63%17 W · 10 L	+1.2wins	+0.05per pick	58cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3058…5412backed No	78c	32.05$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.05	84	56%47 W · 37 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	58cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa870…2cd1backed No	78c	25.64$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.64	90	78.9%71 W · 19 L	+2.5wins	+0.03per pick	76cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed No	78c	22.73$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5	195	49.7%97 W · 98 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2bc8…f7b4backed No	80c	20$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4	7	85.7%6 W · 1 L	+1.3wins	+0.19per pick	67cpaid	+29.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x62ba…31dbbacked No	80c	12.5$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2.5	16	68.8%11 W · 5 L	+0.9wins	+0.06per pick	63cpaid	+15.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Parma Calcio 1913 win on 2026-01-03?this page
Will US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Parma Calcio 1913 end in a draw?Yes won
Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-01-03?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Parma Calcio 1913 win on 2026-01-03?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event