TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x20fb…e5fa

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
162
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Crypto Milestones, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Crypto Milestones at 54 out of 100; worst La Liga at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT3821.1%8 W · 30 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick26cpaid-23.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12,911Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+73.3%+$9,469.34
Will Nottm Forest be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$155.81
Will AFC Bournemouth vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$28.5
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$49.5
Will Burnley FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$19.5
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Burnley FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$31.5
Will Sunderland AFC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+426.3%+$129.6
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$19.2
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$68.8
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$43.2
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$24
Will Leicester City FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$28.8
Will Queens Park Rangers FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$79.7
Will Southampton FC vs. Millwall FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+272.4%+$130.41
Will Charlton Athletic FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$36.9
Will Oxford United FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13.04
Will Ipswich Town FC vs. Oxford United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$28.71
Will Watford FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+132.8%+$90.2
Will Swansea City AFC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+202.5%+$107.1
Will Sheffield Wednesday FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20.8
Will Bristol City FC vs. Portsmouth FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$41.5
Will Blackburn Rovers FC vs. Wrexham AFC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$44.8
Will Wrexham AFC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+257.1%+$115.19
Will Manchester United FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+455.6%+$131.2
Will Burnley FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$35.2
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2711.1%3 W · 24 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick17cpaid-65.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$23,294Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$23,294.05
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$34,982Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+420.3%+$147,021.23
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$1,156Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,155.89
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$15,258Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15,257.69
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$44,348Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$44,348.13
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$3,501Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,500.91
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$55,238Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$55,237.98
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$1,300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,300
Will England win on 2026-07-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$518Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$518
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$1,589Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,589.47
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$4,755Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,755.26
Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,500
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$862Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$862.03
Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$1,202Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,202.38
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$1,505Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,505.15
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$3,597Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,596.55
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$1,701Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,701.12
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$750Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$750
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$159.99
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+100%+$500
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$460Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$540
Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000.11
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$700
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST1822.2%4 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Arouca win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$39
Will CF Estrela da Amadora vs. SC Braga end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+257.1%+$108
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Estoril Praia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$19.5
Will CF Estrela da Amadora win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$28.5
Will Heart of Midlothian FC vs. Livingston FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$24
Will Dundee United FC vs. Dundee FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$35.71
Will Vitória SC vs. CD Nacional end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$49.05
Will CD Nacional win on 2026-01-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$30.4
Will Gil Vicente FC win on 2026-01-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$19.2
Will Motherwell FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+354.5%+$124.79
Will Rangers FC vs. St Mirren FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$36.8
Will Aberdeen FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$36.8
Will Livingston FC vs. Dundee United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$44.8
Will Dundee FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+194.1%+$105.59
Will Sporting CP vs. Rio Ave FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$14.94
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$70.2
Will Vitória SC win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$60.04
Will FC Arouca vs. Gil Vicente FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+257.1%+$115.2
All 18 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT1717.6%3 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick26cpaid-74.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$800
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$770Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$230
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$2,240Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+34%+$760.4
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$280
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$7,112Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$7,112.48
Will the US next strike Iran on January 30, 2026 (ET)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will the US next strike Iran on January 29, 2026 (ET)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$47.41
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$458Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$457.5
Will the US next strike Iran on January 28, 2026 (ET)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$33.88
Will the US next strike Iran on January 24, 2026 (ET)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$25.34
Will the US next strike Iran on January 22, 2026 (ET)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will the US next strike Iran on January 21, 2026 (ET)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$15.96
Will the US next strike Iran on January 19, 2026 (ET)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will the US next strike Iran on January 18, 2026 (ET)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$26.94
US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$45.19
US strikes Iran by January 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$75.21
US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$83.47
All 17 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT1233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-32.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$86.72
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by April 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$220.26
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.69
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$741Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$741.2
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$4,417Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+55.5%+$2,450.54
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$272Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$271.52
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$74.16
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+28.5%+$16.59
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$162.1
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$12.32
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$110.68
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$28
All 12 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST1020%2 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Juventus FC vs. US Lecce end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+566.7%+$127.5
Will Genoa CFC vs. Pisa SC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+222.6%+$103.5
Will Pisa SC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$28.5
Will Parma Calcio 1913 win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$34.5
Will Cagliari Calcio vs. AC Milan end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$80
Will Genoa CFC win on 2025-12-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$22.4
Will Atalanta BC win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$37.5
Will US Cremonese win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$20.93
Will Hellas Verona FC win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$14.94
Will AC Milan vs. Hellas Verona FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$29.83
All 10 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-49.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Olympics — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Italy win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$3,653Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$3,653.19
Will the United States win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,495Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$1,495.35
Will the United States win the third most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$231Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$231
Will Germany win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$287Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$287
Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$742Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+30%+$222.46
Will the United States win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$312Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$311.99
Will Brazil record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$331Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+78.5%+$260.22
Will Lucas Pinheiro Braathen (BRA) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Alpine - Men's Slalom at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$3,219Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+49.9%+$1,606.13
Will Atle Lie McGrath (NOR) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Alpine - Men's Slalom at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$175.76
All 9 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-26.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST60%0 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid+353.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-58.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick20cpaid+35.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Midtjylland win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$396Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$395.54
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-03-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$555Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$945
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will OGC Nice win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$51
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-01-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+194.1%+$105.6
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-23.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+52.3%+$103
All 2 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sweden be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$251Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$251.1
Will Czechia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$1,610Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,610
All 2 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.87per pick13cpaid+669.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$1,300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+669.2%+$8,700
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+55.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$2,779Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+55.4%+$1,538.87
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,053Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+30.6%+$322.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$2,119Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$2,118.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.