TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Will Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$69,942
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$79,308

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,942 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Yes12c6,850$812 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$812.032,52242.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L+54.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked No79c5,756$4,566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,189.798046.3%37 W · 43 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No76c4,852$3,688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,164.465,94646.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L+50.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a22…c3b5backed Yes23c4,194$964 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9644226.2%11 W · 31 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-21.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No73c1,994$1,459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$534.681,09843.8%481 W · 617 L-14.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b6d…58f6backed Yes16c1,966$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.261020%2 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick26cpaid+1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No79c1,856$1,466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.721,25451.4%644 W · 610 L+9.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2575…bf1ebacked Yes21c1,333$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2802119%4 W · 17 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick27cpaid-26.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes30c1,248$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.865724.6%14 W · 43 L-7.8wins-0.14per pick38cpaid-26.8%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0x1f19…f012backed Yes21c1,135$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.341540%6 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No78c1,057$828 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.9762349.1%306 W · 317 L-6.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95b8…47c9backed Yes3c1,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdea1…5a65backed Yes17c976.55$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.8620%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x74cd…2319backed Yes30c975.89$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.552213.6%3 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick15cpaid-28.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes30c866.95$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26011059.1%65 W · 45 L0.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6ee…5513backed Yes6c799.99$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4611812.7%15 W · 103 L-0.5wins0.00per pick13cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa311…a4ebbacked Yes26c764.81$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20030%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No75c763.41$575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.1739655.8%221 W · 175 L+31.2wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+18.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdc30…85c6backed Yes28c723.07$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70db…05c8backed Yes21c631.66$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.651338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes21c602.99$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.6379435.1%279 W · 515 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed No80c534$427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.932055%11 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+23.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Yes20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010228.4%29 W · 73 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa7c8…e4f7backed Yes18c500$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a2…9874backed Yes22c454.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004427.3%12 W · 32 L0.0wins0.00per pick27cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9f1…23eebacked Yes20c449.99$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.257338.4%28 W · 45 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c81…4e8dbacked Yes9c435.45$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.141030%3 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick23cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed No76c410.14$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.1414153.2%75 W · 66 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26dc…95c4backed Yes23c400$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5df1…2da7backed Yes18c380.02$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.1425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-62.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Yes14c358.86$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011441.2%47 W · 67 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8aa1…26e5backed Yes27c355.56$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96560%3 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.25per pick35cpaid+69.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7e66…0d3abacked Yes21c332.19$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-36.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x65a0…ebecbacked Yes24c322.17$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.32250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7969…c2c6backed Yes7c306.43$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.9830%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5944…bd5bbacked Yes20c304.54$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.737948.1%38 W · 41 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6c8…dd64backed Yes29c295.75$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$873246.9%15 W · 17 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-18.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc5d8…ab9abacked Yes31c290.32$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.23per pick36cpaid-82.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes22c290$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.6323633.5%79 W · 157 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb1a9…d58bbacked Yes28c286.79$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8070%0 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No76c278.49$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.169141.8%38 W · 53 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-28.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc357…3684backed Yes18c277.78$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-54.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbbaf…2833backed Yes23c250$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5710%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14f5…eb92backed Yes25c247.78$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-35.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x004e…90f8backed Yes26c238.28$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.822630.8%8 W · 18 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf95a…d895backed Yes30c233.33$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x804d…078cbacked No80c214.14$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.95771.4%5 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick75cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed No78c201$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.221163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick55cpaid-9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x878c…529ebacked Yes21c200$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-45.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48bc…ac79backed Yes26c192.31$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5a3…4605backed Yes27c185.26$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-53%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Yes21c183.5$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.5327540.7%112 W · 163 L+0.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41da…0b58backed Yes22c181.82$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes21c169.78$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.6526749.4%132 W · 135 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Yes15c168.54$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.44886.8%6 W · 82 L-22.0wins-0.25per pick32cpaid-78%equal weight28-0.19 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked No77c162.99$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.117945.6%36 W · 43 L-0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6cd…e027backed Yes15c160$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.81844.4%8 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20fb…e5fabacked Yes19c159.89$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.38616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-26.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70b0…cfbebacked Yes20c153.65$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f99…db70backed Yes29c150$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes23c150$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.529917.4%52 W · 247 L-13.0wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-26.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7f67…a1d7backed Yes19c147.59$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.55616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.24per pick40cpaid-73.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4929…b9f9backed Yes22c136.36$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303145.2%14 W · 17 L-4.7wins-0.15per pick60cpaid-18.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3829…dea6backed Yes21c119.04$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25633.3%2 W · 4 L0.0wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+46.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e41…36f2backed Yes21c119$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.997558.7%44 W · 31 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Yes22c113.99$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.833452.7%176 W · 158 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83c8…a521backed Yes18c108.36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd92b…f80bbacked Yes30c105.73$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.21838.9%7 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-20.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xccc0…31f8backed Yes25c104.63$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.520%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb2b7…37d5backed Yes24c104.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-35.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x444e…31c1backed Yes21c100$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-45.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39a5…87f2backed Yes26c100$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6479…5e64backed Yes30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309652.1%50 W · 46 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa65a…db86backed Yes22c100$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2230%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x38f8…95c0backed Yes25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0801…35cbbacked No70c98.57$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.57366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6aa…8882backed Yes31c97.52$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.234017.5%7 W · 33 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd094…271bbacked Yes21c95.24$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205121.6%11 W · 40 L-3.7wins-0.07per pick29cpaid-14.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes27c95.11$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.682528%7 W · 18 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick29cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd743…59bdbacked Yes18c90$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.62157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb14…0da7backed Yes20c75.84$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.841435.7%5 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.14per pick22cpaid+38.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6a19…d9cebacked Yes27c74.07$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+30.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1b9…215cbacked Yes20c72$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.41127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-29.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xac98…7281backed Yes18c71$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.963228.1%9 W · 23 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-31.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe199…3967backed Yes21c70.14$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7310%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x604d…4608backed Yes22c68.18$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154731.9%15 W · 32 L-4.4wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-40.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa870…2cd1backed No79c66.62$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.996786.6%58 W · 9 L+6.7wins+0.10per pick77cpaid+12.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3c9c…4f90backed Yes22c66.36$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7529…5cd7backed Yes30c65.87$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2040%0 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xde1e…c8b2backed Yes22c63.82$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf379…bd8cbacked Yes21c61.43$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed No75c60.31$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.973650%18 W · 18 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c38…a15abacked No71c59.89$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.44944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-33.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No80c59$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.9213533.3%45 W · 90 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-43.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xef78…6e1bbacked Yes21c58.52$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96f1…b6d8backed Yes26c57.69$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+37.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9ac7…597ebacked Yes30c55.2$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0633…355abacked Yes21c54.67$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.461861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a63…b752backed Yes23c52.61$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+36.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7408…cf2ebacked Yes27c52$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.83366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+78.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.