Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-01-02?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd12b5d8653c6f11de5d794e82995dc189d649a5df9aaa2d542c60669d0425481
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $540,954
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $616,283
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $540,954 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 380 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 56c | 85,988$47,963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47,963.16 | 236 | 33.5%79 W · 157 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed No | 45c | 63,405$28,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,055.51 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18d1…dbcbbacked No | 46c | 55,560$25,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,894.26 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +115.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed No | 45c | 20,000$9,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,999.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Yes | 55c | 18,188$10,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,011.26 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 50c | 14,185$7,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,041.65 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed No | 45c | 13,629$6,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,495.82 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x07c8…2696backed Yes | 55c | 13,265$7,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,295.61 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed No | 45c | 10,000$4,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,449.96 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a5…7c26backed No | 45c | 9,100$4,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,004.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Yes | 53c | 9,034$4,798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,798.47 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked Yes | 2c | 7,822$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.27 | 41 | 4.9%2 W · 39 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 3cpaid | +100.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 65c | 7,718$4,986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,731.97 | 5,910 | 46.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L | +50.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Yes | 44c | 7,458$3,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,305.9 | 201 | 32.3%65 W · 136 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 42c | 7,073$2,993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,080.16 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Yes | 46c | 7,000$3,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,187.36 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11e2…26ccbacked No | 43c | 6,217$2,673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,543.92 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd89e…35fabacked Yes | 54c | 6,000$3,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,241.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 35c | 5,064$1,789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,788.83 | 2,499 | 42.3%1,057 W · 1,442 L | +52.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…b3b7backed Yes | 51c | 4,637$2,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,351.14 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 55c | 4,584$2,514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,513.99 | 267 | 49.4%132 W · 135 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24da…9561backed No | 45c | 4,000$1,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,220 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c9…4b20backed Yes | 55c | 3,867$2,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,126.84 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -64%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9d…e6c3backed Yes | 54c | 3,733$2,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,033.92 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -22%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Yes | 53c | 3,600$1,896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,896 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2511…98f4backed Yes | 57c | 3,480$1,984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,983.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 36c | 3,399$1,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,239.86 | 135 | 33.3%45 W · 90 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a4e…3309backed Yes | 54c | 3,386$1,843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,843.2 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 54c | 3,287$1,764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,763.67 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…a3d6backed Yes | 42c | 2,912$1,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,210 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9acb…d2c7backed Yes | 46c | 2,804$1,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,297.49 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa21a…c0c6backed Yes | 55c | 2,712$1,492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,491.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Yes | 57c | 2,563$1,451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,451.37 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…1914backed No | 45c | 2,391$1,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,325.8 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.5wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x176e…8f96backed Yes | 53c | 2,281$1,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,218.32 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…5176backed No | 44c | 2,165$952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,212.19 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 42c | 2,135$887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$887.38 | 922 | 35.1%324 W · 598 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4f…3aa5backed No | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Yes | 36c | 1,817$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.18 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3457…0161backed Yes | 4c | 1,804$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.81 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a53…cc07backed No | 46c | 1,800$828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$972 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd3bb…c8acbacked Yes | 54c | 1,800$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$972 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0113…6f26backed Yes | 46c | 1,688$774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 45c | 1,595$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$881.43 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…079ebacked Yes | 34c | 1,568$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 51c | 1,512$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$737.31 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | -7.8wins | -0.14per pick | 38cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7104…afefbacked Yes | 60c | 1,407$842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$842.14 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b6d…58f6backed Yes | 13c | 1,394$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.86 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed No | 44c | 1,390$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$784.33 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…02aabacked No | 43c | 1,348$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$767.91 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…5513backed Yes | 4c | 1,258$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.65 | 118 | 12.7%15 W · 103 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked No | 80c | 1,225$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdea1…5a65backed Yes | 20c | 1,222$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Yes | 54c | 1,200$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -5.2wins | -0.40per pick | 48cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Yes | 36c | 1,193$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.22 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed No | 45c | 1,181$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.06 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34c1…7d67backed Yes | 56c | 1,156$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.11 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…e793backed No | 68c | 1,132$769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.1 | 168 | 58.3%98 W · 70 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Yes | 49c | 1,128$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.3 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7969…c2c6backed Yes | 2c | 1,105$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.1 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70db…05c8backed Yes | 53c | 1,077$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.45 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0082…e801backed Yes | 11c | 1,024$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.1wins | +0.28per pick | 54cpaid | +57%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Yes | 59c | 1,023$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x842e…d9f5backed Yes | 28c | 1,000$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8da…cad3backed No | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed No | 53c | 999.98$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.99 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc4…079fbacked Yes | 28c | 999.48$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 43c | 950.18$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.64 | 487 | 68%331 W · 156 L | +69.2wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 58c | 935.37$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.91 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a22…c3b5backed Yes | 16c | 931.25$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 42 | 26.2%11 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38f8…95c0backed Yes | 22c | 913.93$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.1 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8886…3913backed Yes | 33c | 860.61$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 16c | 855.17$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -39%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae7…cf61backed Yes | 56c | 848.31$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.93 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 48c | 844.55$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.24 | 110 | 59.1%65 W · 45 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 12c | 804.94$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.49 | 29 | 13.8%4 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c29…1478backed Yes | 43c | 800$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e16…9719backed Yes | 63c | 793.65$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x858d…9d9fbacked Yes | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…391ebacked No | 39c | 749.37$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.23 | 45 | 73.3%33 W · 12 L | +7.3wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a0…35cdbacked Yes | 27c | 742$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.34 | 91 | 58.2%53 W · 38 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x645e…1bd3backed Yes | 40c | 741.98$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb693…cfc9backed Yes | 48c | 724.02$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.95 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c89…36aebacked Yes | 59c | 722.19$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x237e…a5f0backed Yes | 54c | 703.81$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.06 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cee…0ad1backed Yes | 55c | 703.61$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 4c | 698.64$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.53 | 87 | 6.9%6 W · 81 L | -21.4wins | -0.25per pick | 31cpaid | -77.7%equal weight | 29-0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…298cbacked Yes | 15c | 669.01$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 42c | 666.96$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.84 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked No | 55c | 662.78$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.46 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x941f…acfabacked Yes | 26c | 649.43$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.44 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa311…a4ebbacked Yes | 32c | 630.86$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.84 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x856f…617dbacked Yes | 33c | 611.81$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c38…a15abacked Yes | 15c | 609.82$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.85 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Yes | 47c | 600$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Yes | 54c | 554$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.71 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3999…90cfbacked Yes | 48c | 547.54$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a83…195bbacked Yes | 56c | 535.65$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.97 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed No | 46c | 525.97$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.02 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +6.9wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…f012backed Yes | 57c | 524.22$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.21 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-01-02?this page
- Will Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club end in a draw?No won
- Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2026-01-02?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.