TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd89e…35fa

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
154
Categories scored
21
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: College Football, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category College Football at 60 out of 100; worst Ncaa Basketball at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT4544.4%20 W · 25 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 45 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$131.05
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+588.6%+$398.49
Lakers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,760Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$1,760
Clippers vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$2,400Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+66.7%+$1,600
Pacers vs. Pistonsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Hornets vs. Clippers: O/U 222.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$12.35
Lakers vs. Kings: O/U 230.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$8,927Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$8,926.83
Nets vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,800Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+66.7%+$1,200
Heat vs. Thunder: O/U 233.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$8,460Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+77.3%+$6,540
Pelicans vs. Bulls: O/U 248.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,080Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$2,080
Pistons vs. Clippersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$7,670Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$7,670
Celtics vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 226.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$10,720Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$10,720.36
Celtics vs. Trail Blazersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$7,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$7,100
Spread: Knicks (-5.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12,019Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$12,019.43
Spread: Spurs (-14.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,950Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$1,950
Nets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 227.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$2,177Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$2,176.86
Nets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 224.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$5,397Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$5,397.04
Nets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 223.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$4,997Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$4,997
Pacers vs. Heat: O/U 230.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$10,564Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$10,563.79
Pacers vs. Heat: O/U 231.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,638Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$1,638.24
Suns vs. Pelicans: O/U 236.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11,262Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+77.6%+$8,737.59
Suns vs. Pelicans: O/U 238.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12,166Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+92.9%+$11,302.51
Mavericks vs. Kings: O/U 229.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12,088Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$12,087.72
Mavericks vs. Kings: O/U 228.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$426Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$426.14
Mavericks vs. Kings: O/U 227.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$124
Showing 25 of 45 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST2045%9 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texans vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,260Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+58.7%+$740
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,060Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+88.7%+$940
Spread: Patriots (-6.5)backed Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$723Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$723.15
Spread: Eagles (-3.5)backed 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,254Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+91.6%+$1,148.63
Spread: Eagles (-4.5)backed 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,972Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+78.1%+$1,541.22
49ers vs. Eaglesbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+354.5%+$342.42
Spread: Rams (-7.5)backed Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$4,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$4,000
Bears vs. 49ers: O/U 50.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$4,993Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$4,992.53
Bears vs. 49ers: O/U 51.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$7,022Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$7,022.44
Eagles vs. Billsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$771Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$771.4
Jaguars vs. Coltsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$4,402Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+45.4%+$1,998
Spread: Patriots (-12.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12,091Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+81.9%+$9,902.35
Texans vs. Chargers: O/U 40.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$9,396Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$9,395.73
Texans vs. Chargersbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$5,240Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+33.6%+$1,760.25
Texans vs. Chargers: O/U 39.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,608Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$2,607.6
Broncos vs. Chiefs: O/U 36.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13,286Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$13,285.5
Broncos vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$6,757Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$6,757.13
Lions vs. Vikings: O/U 43.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$3,161Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$3,160.78
Lions vs. Vikings: O/U 44.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$2,710Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$2,710.06
Lions vs. Vikingsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$13,065Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+103.7%+$13,550.01
All 20 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST1428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.8wins-0.20per pick48cpaid-45.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UTSA Roadrunners vs. North Texas Mean Green: O/U 138.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$69.07
Lamar Cardinals vs. New Orleans Privateersbacked Lamar Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$757Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$757.09
Providence Friars vs. Marquette Golden Eaglesbacked Providence Friars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$600
Providence Friars vs. Marquette Golden Eagles: O/U 165.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$686Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$685.58
Saint Joseph's Hawks vs. VCU Rams: O/U 152.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,060Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+88.7%+$940
Texas A&M Aggies vs. Texas Longhorns: O/U 165.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,020Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$1,020
Duke Blue Devils vs. Stanford Cardinal: O/U 146.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,060Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$1,059.84
Spread: Columbia Lions (-3.5)backed Columbia Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,025Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$1,025.27
Holy Cross Crusaders vs. Lafayette Leopardsbacked Holy Cross Crusaders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,034Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$1,034
Eastern Michigan Eagles vs. Bowling Green Falcons: O/U 141.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,040Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$1,040
Marquette Golden Eagles vs. DePaul Blue Demonsbacked Marquette Golden Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$1,179.99
Spread: Kent State Golden Flashes (-5.5)backed Toledo Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,060Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+88.7%+$940
Spread: Norfolk State Spartans (-5.5)backed Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$5,021Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+99.6%+$5,002.85
Spread: North Carolina Central Eagles (-2.5)backed North Carolina Central Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$3,240Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+85.2%+$2,760
All 14 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 8, 2026, EST1275%9 W · 3 L+2.7wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+51.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Premier League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$3,205Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+161.6%+$5,179.65
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-01-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,012Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$2,012.44
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+79.1%+$73.09
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$2,100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+233.3%+$4,900
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-01-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$2,114Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$2,114.4
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$2,050Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+143.9%+$2,950
Will Everton FC win on 2026-01-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$2,002Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+66.7%+$1,334.4
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-01-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,064Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+108.3%+$2,235.8
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$2,212Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$2,212.47
Will Stoke City FC vs. Preston North End FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$3,321Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+49.3%+$1,635.82
Will Middlesbrough FC vs. Blackburn Rovers FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$3,350Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+49.3%+$1,650
Will Portsmouth FC vs. Queens Park Rangers FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,920Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+30%+$576.69
All 12 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST1080%8 W · 2 L+3.2wins+0.32per pick48cpaid+56.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
College Football — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Indiana (-8.5)backed Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,050Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+90.5%+$950.08
O/U 42.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,220Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+63.9%+$780
Miami vs. Ohio Statebacked Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+53.8%+$700
Arizona State vs. Dukebacked Arizona State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,402Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$1,401.85
USC vs. TCUbacked TCU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,080Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+177.8%+$1,920
Florida International vs. UTSA Roadrunnersbacked Florida International · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$353Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$353.02
New Mexico vs. Minnesotabacked Minnesota · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$2,800Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+78.6%+$2,200
Spread: Hawaii (-1.5)backed Hawaii · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$4,694Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+100.2%+$4,702
Spread: Hawaii (-1.5)backed Hawaii · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,199Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+108.3%+$1,298.96
California vs. Hawaiibacked Hawaii · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$5,100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+96.1%+$4,900
All 10 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST825%2 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-52.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
NHL — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.19per pick38cpaid+52.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick17cpaid-38.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick38cpaid-67.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST50%0 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Dec 24, 2025, EST40%0 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-52.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,400Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+42.9%+$600
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,080Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$1,080
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-01-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,141Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$1,141.34
All 3 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Burgos CF vs. SD Huesca: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$1,180
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,486Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$1,485.65
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$2,190Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$2,190
All 3 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 8, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-01-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$3,245Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$3,245.15
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-01-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$3,242Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$3,241.79
All 2 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$14,534Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$14,533.85
Will Eight die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$586Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$586.42
All 2 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.86per pick14cpaid+614.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$783Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+614.1%+$4,807.11
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AZ win on 2025-12-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+163.5%+$130.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Melbourne City FC win on 2026-01-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$4,032Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+122%+$4,918.01
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+116.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$930Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+116.1%+$1,079.43
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$211.81
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Battle of the Sexes: Aryna Sabalenka vs Nick Kyrgiosbacked Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$1,716Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$1,715.77
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.