TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Lamar Cardinals vs. New Orleans Privateers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
New Orleans Privateersof Lamar Cardinals, New Orleans Privateers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$999,523
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$999,996

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $999,523 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 162 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Lamar Cardinals52c576,010$299,517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299,517.2435945.1%162 W · 197 L-24.4wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed New Orleans Privateers48c355,071$169,883 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185,187.739860.2%59 W · 39 L+9.9wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+23%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Lamar Cardinals52c297,794$155,361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155,360.8721754.8%119 W · 98 L+15.3wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+15.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked New Orleans Privateers48c280,000$134,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145,60089645.9%411 W · 485 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c16…09cbbacked New Orleans Privateers48c150,000$72,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78,0009050%45 W · 45 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed New Orleans Privateers48c75,000$36,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39,00021262.3%132 W · 80 L+34.7wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+37%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked New Orleans Privateers47c45,000$21,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,75090645.4%411 W · 495 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52b4…34a8backed Lamar Cardinals52c22,603$11,664 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,663.9835452.3%185 W · 169 L+17.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed New Orleans Privateers48c15,000$7,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,799.988946.1%41 W · 48 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked New Orleans Privateers47c13,128$6,189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,938.995,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Lamar Cardinals52c11,123$5,833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,833.311,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Lamar Cardinals52c10,000$5,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,20010441.3%43 W · 61 L-8.7wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-18.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x24d3…30abbacked Lamar Cardinals53c5,972$3,141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,140.6316954.4%92 W · 77 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x19a0…ac39backed Lamar Cardinals53c5,000$2,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,65018654.3%101 W · 85 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed New Orleans Privateers48c4,000$1,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,08042246.2%195 W · 227 L-9.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Lamar Cardinals53c4,000$2,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,12011555.7%64 W · 51 L+8.1wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+16.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbdc3…c0eabacked New Orleans Privateers59c3,706$2,187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,519.461553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed New Orleans Privateers48c3,000$1,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,56017050.6%86 W · 84 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed New Orleans Privateers47c3,000$1,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,589.9339744.8%178 W · 219 L+9.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed New Orleans Privateers54c2,739$1,471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,267.32,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f08…ed44backed New Orleans Privateers67c2,030$1,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$669.8546446.8%217 W · 247 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Lamar Cardinals1c2,026$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.0920548.8%100 W · 105 L+13.1wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+35.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd89e…35fabacked Lamar Cardinals38c2,000$757 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$757.091428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.8wins-0.20per pick48cpaid-45.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe248…f293backed Lamar Cardinals40c1,898$759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$759.3778155.6%434 W · 347 L+38.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Lamar Cardinals51c1,785$910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$910.351,07447%505 W · 569 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8738…222bbacked Lamar Cardinals42c1,768$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75025556.1%143 W · 112 L+12.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked New Orleans Privateers60c1,704$1,022 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$681.4821646.8%101 W · 115 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked New Orleans Privateers47c1,682$793 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$888.792,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x938e…3fb0backed Lamar Cardinals31c1,500$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4652025%5 W · 15 L-3.8wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-52.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8791…4c9abacked Lamar Cardinals57c1,294$739 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$739.4821443.9%94 W · 120 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Lamar Cardinals51c1,278$652 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$651.7715851.9%82 W · 76 L-8.4wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed New Orleans Privateers65c1,246$813 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432.642,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed New Orleans Privateers48c1,203$575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$627.733,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x28b9…9719backed Lamar Cardinals43c1,163$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5005831%18 W · 40 L-7.3wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-33.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked New Orleans Privateers51c1,076$547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$528.64,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Lamar Cardinals53c999.98$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529.9941752.5%219 W · 198 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xea81…eeaebacked New Orleans Privateers49c999$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.491,22727.8%341 W · 886 L-0.9wins0.00per pick28cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbce0…5cb9backed New Orleans Privateers48c971.74$466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505.31030%3 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.19per pick49cpaid-37.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed Lamar Cardinals53c943.09$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.8418844.7%84 W · 104 L-10.4wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-18.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked New Orleans Privateers76c846.89$641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.41,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked New Orleans Privateers50c780.6$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.9512,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Lamar Cardinals53c772.99$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.153,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xec6c…23c7backed Lamar Cardinals53c769$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.5738343.6%167 W · 216 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd098…8c03backed New Orleans Privateers47c755.72$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.535858.6%34 W · 24 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6e3…6dfebacked Lamar Cardinals66c720.3$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47527450%137 W · 137 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8046…a845backed New Orleans Privateers49c700$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35710047%47 W · 53 L+8.7wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+24%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked New Orleans Privateers67c675$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.9261446.1%283 W · 331 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f02…12f5backed Lamar Cardinals24c670.43$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1587646.1%35 W · 41 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Lamar Cardinals49c613.03$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.3874051.5%381 W · 359 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40a2…19c9backed Lamar Cardinals41c521.85$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-67.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked New Orleans Privateers68c519.58$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.711,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed New Orleans Privateers52c501.85$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.8999045.6%451 W · 539 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked New Orleans Privateers50c493.74$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.318843.2%38 W · 50 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+22.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed New Orleans Privateers68c456$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.962,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Lamar Cardinals41c443$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.631,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Lamar Cardinals50c442.4$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.27038.6%27 W · 43 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed New Orleans Privateers75c428.07$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.022,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked New Orleans Privateers48c413.93$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.2475447.1%355 W · 399 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c8c…237dbacked Lamar Cardinals53c410$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.217546.3%81 W · 94 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed New Orleans Privateers49c400$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20489146.2%412 W · 479 L+9.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x664b…00b3backed Lamar Cardinals53c384.76$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.8511159.5%66 W · 45 L+10.7wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+18.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8839…8a3ebacked Lamar Cardinals52c359.86$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.132040%8 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-12.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed New Orleans Privateers48c349.97$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.235050.3%176 W · 174 L+0.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf37c…3c74backed Lamar Cardinals48c301.29$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.5221830.7%67 W · 151 L-10.6wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x260c…7130backed Lamar Cardinals42c300$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1261915.8%3 W · 16 L-2.1wins-0.11per pick27cpaid-51.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4d48…48e0backed Lamar Cardinals52c298.79$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.7818046.7%84 W · 96 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed New Orleans Privateers54c293.2$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.332,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40da…0b85backed New Orleans Privateers47c283.52$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.2713444%59 W · 75 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf74a…a91cbacked Lamar Cardinals54c259.26$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1401353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a8e…b505backed New Orleans Privateers62c228.81$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.7148051%245 W · 235 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf01…b14cbacked Lamar Cardinals57c226.35$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.594055%22 W · 18 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x187b…f545backed Lamar Cardinals53c223.42$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.810049%49 W · 51 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf13b…9ef9backed Lamar Cardinals52c211.18$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11019657.1%112 W · 84 L+14.9wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x670b…2c75backed Lamar Cardinals44c204.02$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$902040%8 W · 12 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked New Orleans Privateers49c197$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.471,48743%639 W · 848 L+50.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc036…fba6backed New Orleans Privateers61c196.24$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.24540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-22.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed New Orleans Privateers47c191.49$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.4925544.3%113 W · 142 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x79df…277ebacked Lamar Cardinals53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006154.1%33 W · 28 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Lamar Cardinals41c175.5$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.9689850%449 W · 449 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Lamar Cardinals46c174.76$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.854833.3%16 W · 32 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa596…8d92backed Lamar Cardinals28c168$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.04425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-67.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc0ac…8427backed Lamar Cardinals20c160$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed New Orleans Privateers47c160$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.891848.9%449 W · 469 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19f8…98f9backed New Orleans Privateers63c159.6$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.648462.8%304 W · 180 L-0.5wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed New Orleans Privateers49c156.86$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.0897447.9%467 W · 507 L-2.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa966…208bbacked Lamar Cardinals53c150$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.515156.3%85 W · 66 L+8.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked New Orleans Privateers50c150$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7527048.1%130 W · 140 L+12.8wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4fb0…3182backed Lamar Cardinals52c148.89$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.6941354%223 W · 190 L+13.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x004e…90f8backed Lamar Cardinals34c138.07$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.0919237%71 W · 121 L+0.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Lamar Cardinals49c135.06$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.935,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6fe9…9c50backed Lamar Cardinals52c115.38$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607252.8%38 W · 34 L-5.0wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-12.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x30a0…a458backed Lamar Cardinals42c110$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.812617.5%22 W · 104 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-46.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b46…944cbacked Lamar Cardinals52c105.59$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5518656.5%105 W · 81 L+12.2wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6a72…f81dbacked Lamar Cardinals47c103.93$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.387047.2%411 W · 459 L-23.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc82…6421backed Lamar Cardinals53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5311147.7%53 W · 58 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc0f…bbfebacked Lamar Cardinals52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$526653%35 W · 31 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked New Orleans Privateers66c100$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.281,26043.3%545 W · 715 L+34.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked New Orleans Privateers49c99$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.4945953.8%247 W · 212 L-1.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d84…6df0backed Lamar Cardinals53c93.96$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.853646.5%249 W · 287 L-24.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x65b3…7fc9backed Lamar Cardinals52c92.06$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.3312341.5%51 W · 72 L-7.5wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-16.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.