TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa596…8d92

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
88
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
14

Best Category: Us Politics, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Us Politics at 53 out of 100; worst NHL at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT2236.4%8 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$30.22
Spurs vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$19.6
Jazz vs. Hawksbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$40.5
Bulls vs. Raptorsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$30.8
Nets vs. Magicbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Spread: Magic (-8.5)backed Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$57.5
Pelicans vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+316.7%+$98.8
Timberwolves vs. Raptorsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+100%+$90
Celtics vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$103.23
Timberwolves vs. Grizzliesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$266Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$265.74
Rockets vs. Pacersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$209Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+58.5%+$122.25
Thunder vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$82.72
Spread: Rockets (-10.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$73
Nets vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$62.7
Spread: Celtics (-11.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$56
Grizzlies vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+96.1%+$48.04
Raptors vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+185.7%+$74.29
Hornets vs. Grizzliesbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+85.2%+$48.56
Raptors vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$115.99
Thunder vs. Bucks: O/U 224.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+88.7%+$51.58
Nets vs. Knicksbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$81
Lakers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$60
All 22 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Delhi Capitalsbacked Delhi Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+121.6%+$42.1
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Kolkata Knight Ridersbacked Kolkata Knight Riders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.14
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Royal Challengers Bangalorebacked Royal Challengers Bangalore · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+66.3%+$61.49
T20 World Cup: India vs Pakistan (Game 1)backed Pakistan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$32.4
T20 World Cup: Australia vs Zimbabwe (Game 1)backed Australia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$57.91
T20 World Cup: Afghanistan vs South Africa (Game 1)backed South Africa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+73.4%+$42.58
International T20 Series: Pakistan vs Australia (Game 3)backed Australia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$70
Big Bash League: Hobart Hurricanes vs Melbourne Stars (Game Eliminator)backed Melbourne Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$14.17
Big Bash League: Perth Scorchers vs Sydney Sixers (Game Qualifier 1)backed Perth Scorchers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+140.1%+$98.32
All 9 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.25per pick47cpaid-53.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
NHL — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick21cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.17per pick29cpaid-65.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Commodities — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+38.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-72.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-67.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$385Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$115
Lamar Cardinals vs. New Orleans Privateersbacked Lamar Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$47.04
Providence Friars vs. Marquette Golden Eaglesbacked Providence Friars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$100.84
Spread: Arkansas State Red Wolves (-4.5)backed Arkansas State Red Wolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$99
All 4 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-48.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$39
Spread: Patriots (-3.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$104
Rams vs. Bearsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+53.8%+$57.75
All 3 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the DHS shutdown end after March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+163.9%+$132.86
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+125.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kanye release BULLY by March 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$893Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+125.1%+$1,117.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Brugge KV win on 2026-01-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$53
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.24
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Indiana (-7.5)backed Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$35.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.