NBA · resolved market
Thunder vs. Bucks: O/U 224.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4c0aff6b6f99ce1d6090960b6477b307e29ad776d329a89a6889ea648172bd15
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $267,658
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $268,922
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $267,658 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Under | 52c | 60,000$31,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,799.97 | 483 | 43.7%211 W · 272 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Under | 51c | 53,697$27,612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,084.77 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Over | 51c | 32,407$16,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,496.15 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 52c | 30,110$15,647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,463.43 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Over | 48c | 30,000$14,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,399.98 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e6…d504backed Over | 50c | 29,392$14,743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,742.57 | 210 | 57.1%120 W · 90 L | +20.3wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Over | 49c | 20,000$9,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,700 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 50c | 18,770$9,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,440.09 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x360b…982fbacked Over | 51c | 13,849$7,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,000 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ac…88c9backed Over | 48c | 10,796$5,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,181.89 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +3.9wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Over | 48c | 10,417$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 443 | 52.4%232 W · 211 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,100 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Over | 51c | 9,130$4,657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,656.88 | 477 | 51.8%247 W · 230 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x011c…31dfbacked Over | 48c | 6,910$3,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,317 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf35…b5eabacked Over | 48c | 6,767$3,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,248.16 | 132 | 39.4%52 W · 80 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 46c | 6,008$2,764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,763.73 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x713d…53a9backed Under | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 181 | 51.4%93 W · 88 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Under | 54c | 5,516$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,516.02 | 160 | 42.5%68 W · 92 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 49c | 5,128$2,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,498 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Over | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Under | 49c | 4,735$2,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,422.32 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb48f…d015backed Over | 48c | 4,190$2,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,011 | 124 | 54.8%68 W · 56 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 48c | 3,300$1,584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,584 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 48c | 3,192$1,532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,532.16 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Over | 49c | 3,061$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 313 | 54.3%170 W · 143 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f63…a78dbacked Under | 53c | 1,868$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$877.92 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a0…35b6backed Under | 52c | 1,506$782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.22 | 153 | 48.4%74 W · 79 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Over | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe00f…c254backed Under | 52c | 1,086$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.56 | 191 | 47.1%90 W · 101 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2745…a5fbbacked Under | 53c | 1,037$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.25 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabde…d41fbacked Under | 52c | 1,001$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.92 | 419 | 47.7%200 W · 219 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…3fb0backed Under | 49c | 999.99$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb583…b0b3backed Over | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 232 | 56.9%132 W · 100 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed Over | 48c | 679.17$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326 | 179 | 53.1%95 W · 84 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c0…427bbacked Under | 53c | 643.78$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.91 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb364…f1e3backed Under | 53c | 627.71$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.81 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +8.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Over | 51c | 627.45$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0486…fbc2backed Under | 53c | 543.77$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.57 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +8.6wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 48c | 529.91$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.56 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Over | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 359 | 42.1%151 W · 208 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c64…348fbacked Over | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5c…9e02backed Under | 53c | 490.93$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.36 | 215 | 46.5%100 W · 115 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68a9…e73abacked Under | 48c | 468.75$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.75 | 210 | 45.2%95 W · 115 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dee…3d1bbacked Under | 54c | 455.56$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.56 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe65b…33e2backed Under | 53c | 412.22$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.77 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…e9b4backed Under | 54c | 407.41$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.41 | 253 | 47%119 W · 134 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Under | 48c | 400$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d35…e83ebacked Under | 53c | 399.92$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.92 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a17…5d26backed Under | 53c | 373.58$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.58 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab8…b5a6backed Under | 53c | 373.58$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.58 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8230…5121backed Under | 6c | 331.13$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.54 | 208 | 37.5%78 W · 130 L | +38.2wins | +0.18per pick | 19cpaid | +115.2%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…f23ebacked Under | 51c | 322.4$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.13 | 435 | 44.6%194 W · 241 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…5f3cbacked Under | 53c | 318.37$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.04 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde46…a7afbacked Over | 52c | 311.54$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade1…0493backed Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed4…620ebacked Under | 52c | 296.46$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.41 | 311 | 55%171 W · 140 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5995…3385backed Under | 52c | 288.66$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.67 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3277…be5fbacked Under | 53c | 281.58$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.34 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Over | 48c | 255.66$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.7 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…c20dbacked Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 170 | 35.9%61 W · 109 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 51c | 200.25$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.81 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d14…1eb4backed Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 373 | 52%194 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x628e…1d80backed Under | 52c | 175.96$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.88 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73d0…0013backed Under | 53c | 158.49$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.49 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e84…b7f6backed Under | 53c | 153.49$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.87 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf263…e9c1backed Under | 53c | 146.32$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.96 | 111 | 45%50 W · 61 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35f3…94febacked Under | 53c | 143.37$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.57 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…fb30backed Under | 53c | 141.72$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.79 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Under | 51c | 136.99$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.13 | 249 | 46.6%116 W · 133 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa33c…1b33backed Under | 52c | 132.79$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.26 | 628 | 44.9%282 W · 346 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a22…c4a5backed Under | 53c | 120.94$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.19 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.25per pick | 43cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe9c3…5ce1backed Under | 21c | 111.01$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.5 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.27per pick | 35cpaid | +188.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa596…8d92backed Under | 53c | 109.74$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.58 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a10…aa96backed Under | 53c | 101.78$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.88 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.32per pick | 46cpaid | +75.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x30ad…6a69backed Under | 53c | 101.44$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.82 | 201 | 49.8%100 W · 101 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa90…d716backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba3…8cb2backed Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 97 | 58.8%57 W · 40 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x985e…6894backed Under | 53c | 98.4$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.53 | 107 | 61.7%66 W · 41 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2af0…8473backed Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc164…55e7backed Under | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +4.4wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcc1d…ff17backed Under | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65b6…2108backed Under | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.33 | 358 | 44.1%158 W · 200 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 50c | 79.2$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb0…3182backed Under | 52c | 78.82$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.83 | 213 | 57.7%123 W · 90 L | +10.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3951…c5b2backed Under | 53c | 76.73$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.17 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +4.1wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8a41…145fbacked Under | 45c | 73.33$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.33 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e57…2bf6backed Under | 51c | 71.07$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.96 | 125 | 49.6%62 W · 63 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b41…95f9backed Under | 53c | 62.26$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Under | 52c | 58.17$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.9 | 327 | 43.4%142 W · 185 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd1…ae72backed Under | 52c | 57.9$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.9 | 149 | 51.7%77 W · 72 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Over | 46c | 57.04$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.09 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb44…ba15backed Under | 53c | 56.42$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.52 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6759…7611backed Under | 53c | 54.64$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.68 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Over | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 493 | 51.7%255 W · 238 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e21…a2b8backed Over | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…4287backed Over | 48c | 45$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -5.1wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…05d5backed Under | 53c | 43.55$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.47 | 197 | 48.2%95 W · 102 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Over | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 451 | 46.1%208 W · 243 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 216 | 37.5%81 W · 135 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Thunder vs. Bucks: O/U 224.5this page
- AJ Green: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Aaron Wiggins: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Giannis Antetokounmpo: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Giannis Antetokounmpo: Points O/U 28.5No won
- Myles Turner: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Spread: Thunder (-11.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-12.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-9.5)Thunder won
- Thunder vs. BucksThunder won
- Thunder vs. Bucks: O/U 223.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Bucks: O/U 225.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Bucks: O/U 226.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Bucks: O/U 227.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.