NBA · resolved market
Thunder vs. Bucks: O/U 225.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8984d6d1f5d00b954c2c5250fddde8accdc8f7f9a3359b4e840a2f19f67d1aea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $112,451
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $114,007
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $112,451 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb8e6…d504backed Over | 48c | 56,560$27,227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,227.34 | 210 | 57.1%120 W · 90 L | +20.3wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Under | 53c | 30,000$15,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,100 | 483 | 43.7%211 W · 272 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 50c | 10,256$5,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,080.02 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Over | 46c | 10,000$4,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,599.99 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 52c | 9,479$4,919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,559.27 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Under | 54c | 3,704$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,703.7 | 443 | 52.4%232 W · 211 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 51c | 3,137$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,537.13 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x713d…53a9backed Under | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 181 | 51.4%93 W · 88 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 47c | 2,754$1,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,294.91 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Under | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 477 | 48.8%233 W · 244 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 53c | 1,888$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$887.97 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 36c | 1,553$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.42 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Under | 65c | 1,531$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.2 | 160 | 42.5%68 W · 92 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 52c | 1,479$762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.25 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a91…1769backed Over | 51c | 1,299$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.49 | 321 | 50.8%163 W · 158 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2745…a5fbbacked Under | 54c | 1,018$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.05 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Over | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 359 | 42.1%151 W · 208 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 51c | 993$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.57 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 51c | 975.71$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.24 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…813ebacked Under | 52c | 730.28$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.99 | 172 | 50.6%87 W · 85 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Over | 51c | 729.39$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.33 | 492 | 49.8%245 W · 247 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0486…fbc2backed Under | 54c | 537.67$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.33 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +8.6wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe00f…c254backed Under | 53c | 530.67$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.15 | 191 | 47.1%90 W · 101 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c64…348fbacked Over | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c0…427bbacked Under | 54c | 400$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Under | 51c | 400$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 456 | 47.1%215 W · 241 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb364…f1e3backed Under | 52c | 398.62$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.35 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +8.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2a17…5d26backed Under | 54c | 366.67$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.67 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf406…c9bfbacked Over | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5c…9e02backed Under | 53c | 314.47$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.37 | 215 | 46.5%100 W · 115 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d35…e83ebacked Under | 53c | 313.4$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.3 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…3fb0backed Under | 52c | 299.99$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…5f3cbacked Under | 53c | 207.09$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.07 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Over | 47c | 206.57$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.92 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.18 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3277…be5fbacked Under | 53c | 188.95$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.25 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x939a…2f45backed Under | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5995…3385backed Under | 53c | 188.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.16 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac1…a0f2backed Under | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab8…b5a6backed Under | 54c | 182.96$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.16 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49b6…6fd5backed Over | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 79 | 59.5%47 W · 32 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…f23ebacked Under | 53c | 177.31$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.13 | 435 | 44.6%194 W · 241 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…fb30backed Under | 53c | 141.07$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.6 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed Over | 49c | 120$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.8 | 591 | 44.5%263 W · 328 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Under | 52c | 104.76$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.28 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Over | 46c | 99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.21 | 689 | 40.2%277 W · 412 L | -54.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf263…e9c1backed Under | 53c | 96.82$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.38 | 111 | 45%50 W · 61 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35f3…94febacked Under | 53c | 94.93$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.38 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc164…55e7backed Under | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +4.4wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcc1d…ff17backed Under | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 48c | 88.19$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.22 | 1,264 | 45.8%579 W · 685 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ad…6a69backed Under | 52c | 67.62$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.12 | 201 | 49.8%100 W · 101 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…e1d0backed Over | 75c | 61.12$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.84 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x319e…de42backed Under | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 116 | 56%65 W · 51 L | +8.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x628e…1d80backed Under | 54c | 55.91$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.88 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bef…3787backed Over | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3951…c5b2backed Under | 53c | 55.07$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.81 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +4.1wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x19a0…ac39backed Over | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 147 | 51%75 W · 72 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 51c | 49.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb0…3182backed Under | 52c | 46.41$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.28 | 213 | 57.7%123 W · 90 L | +10.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd80f…92febacked Over | 54c | 46.4$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 555 | 33.5%186 W · 369 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x985e…6894backed Under | 53c | 46.29$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.64 | 107 | 61.7%66 W · 41 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb44…ba15backed Under | 54c | 42.93$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.75 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f9…4375backed Over | 54c | 42.41$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6759…7611backed Under | 54c | 41.52$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.1 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x08f5…d808backed Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x65b6…2108backed Under | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 358 | 44.1%158 W · 200 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc677…677abacked Under | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 49c | 34.37$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.53 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49bb…4d4cbacked Over | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Under | 53c | 29.86$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.97 | 327 | 43.4%142 W · 185 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 49c | 28.12$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb442…bed7backed Under | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 126 | 52.4%66 W · 60 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa60d…2204backed Under | 56c | 26.68$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.68 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2639…a9b6backed Under | 53c | 26.55$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.44 | 241 | 47.7%115 W · 126 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…05d5backed Over | 47c | 24.12$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 197 | 48.2%95 W · 102 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed Over | 54c | 23.84$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 1,085 | 63.6%690 W · 395 L | +86.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…91c0backed Over | 51c | 23.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50a3…0a78backed Under | 53c | 23.43$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.01 | 140 | 50.7%71 W · 69 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe65b…33e2backed Under | 54c | 22.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.35 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e84…b7f6backed Under | 54c | 22.04$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.14 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6896…c672backed Under | 53c | 21.45$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…f773backed Under | 53c | 19.23$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.04 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Under | 62c | 18.73$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.04 | 679 | 21.4%145 W · 534 L | +32.4wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Thunder vs. Bucks: O/U 225.5this page
- AJ Green: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Aaron Wiggins: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Giannis Antetokounmpo: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Giannis Antetokounmpo: Points O/U 28.5No won
- Myles Turner: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Spread: Thunder (-11.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-12.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-9.5)Thunder won
- Thunder vs. BucksThunder won
- Thunder vs. Bucks: O/U 223.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Bucks: O/U 224.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Bucks: O/U 226.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Bucks: O/U 227.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.