NBA · resolved market
Thunder vs. Bucks: O/U 226.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6bc116408fe224bfbadd8b91678b7ba28753f338922129747aa3cc8de5a0da1b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $157,665
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $156,674
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $157,665 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb8e6…d504backed Over | 46c | 54,724$25,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,442.04 | 210 | 57.1%120 W · 90 L | +20.3wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Under | 50c | 45,782$22,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,891.86 | 200 | 55%110 W · 90 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 50c | 22,250$11,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,125 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 54c | 11,344$6,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,164.36 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 53c | 10,359$5,472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,886.97 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf35…b5eabacked Over | 50c | 6,767$3,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,383.5 | 132 | 39.4%52 W · 80 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56be…57eebacked Under | 54c | 4,938$2,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,287.59 | 211 | 43.1%91 W · 120 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 51c | 4,051$2,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,985.15 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 54c | 3,900$2,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,808.9 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed Over | 52c | 3,500$1,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,819.99 | 1,085 | 63.6%690 W · 395 L | +86.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 53c | 3,170$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,489.9 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 320 | 51.9%166 W · 154 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 42c | 1,909$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,113.97 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 60c | 1,834$1,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741.39 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a80…141fbacked Under | 57c | 1,365$778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.95 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -4.1wins | -0.18per pick | 40cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 47c | 1,235$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.62 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Under | 18c | 1,154$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$945.55 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Under | 55c | 1,145$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.45 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 48c | 1,086$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.56 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb70d…5925backed Under | 52c | 1,082$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.14 | 176 | 43.2%76 W · 100 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Under | 54c | 1,017$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.66 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e70…14babacked Over | 48c | 989.01$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.79 | 166 | 42.2%70 W · 96 L | -11.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Under | 52c | 922$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.56 | 956 | 51.5%492 W · 464 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 48c | 884$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.32 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a6…0009backed Under | 53c | 754.72$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.72 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17b9…430dbacked Over | 44c | 700$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308 | 130 | 40%52 W · 78 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Under | 21c | 607.32$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.18 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e16…9719backed Under | 43c | 583.02$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.02 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f4…5bc0backed Under | 54c | 502.7$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.49 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c64…348fbacked Over | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Under | 25c | 475.02$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.47 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Over | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 49c | 400.01$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.37 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf42…d698backed Over | 47c | 357.46$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 170 | 31.8%54 W · 116 L | -24.9wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Over | 45c | 329.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.92 | 689 | 40.2%277 W · 412 L | -54.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Over | 47c | 327.95$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.29 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 48c | 289.31$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.03 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Under | 48c | 270$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.4 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…bc8dbacked Over | 46c | 258.43$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.88 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | -9.4wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 51c | 247$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.03 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04c0…0927backed Over | 53c | 235.85$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 188 | 52.7%99 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Under | 17c | 200$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe05…b5a5backed Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 332 | 46.1%153 W · 179 L | -12.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Under | 6c | 184.26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.2 | 390 | 18.2%71 W · 319 L | +27.6wins | +0.07per pick | 11cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 47c | 166.54$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.01 | 1,264 | 45.8%579 W · 685 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Under | 52c | 149.98$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.27 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbec4…637fbacked Over | 48c | 146.27$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.69 | 531 | 49.3%262 W · 269 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 73c | 130.13$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.99 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 46c | 124.05$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.38 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Under | 49c | 122.45$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.45 | 334 | 42.8%143 W · 191 L | -17.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x306e…3a7cbacked Under | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -4.4wins | -0.18per pick | 50cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3504…e042backed Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.25 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 35c | 92.71$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.7 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadc5…e2afbacked Under | 54c | 92.31$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.46 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 54c | 90$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.4 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 46c | 87.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.44 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f9…4375backed Under | 50c | 86.27$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.32 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd689…add6backed Over | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Under | 30c | 82$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.4 | 1,055 | 49.9%526 W · 529 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60c2…8052backed Over | 53c | 80$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.4 | 153 | 47.1%72 W · 81 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Under | 49c | 71.74$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.47 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70b1…73b2backed Under | 34c | 71.24$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.68 | 179 | 49.2%88 W · 91 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64f1…fc6ebacked Under | 38c | 60$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dee…3d1bbacked Over | 75c | 57.33$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Under | 37c | 53.84$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.92 | 323 | 46.4%150 W · 173 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0b5…a289backed Over | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7284…49f7backed Under | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | -8.0wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Under | 51c | 49$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.17 | 469 | 40.3%189 W · 280 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 56c | 46.42$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.88 | 1,200 | 51.6%619 W · 581 L | +66.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd730…1948backed Over | 50c | 43.94$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.97 | 171 | 55.6%95 W · 76 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0501…61ecbacked Over | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x243c…9ae0backed Over | 50c | 42.21$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.17 | 383 | 47%180 W · 203 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Under | 49c | 42$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.33 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed Under | 50c | 41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.63 | 100 | 34%34 W · 66 L | -12.0wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e1…ec41backed Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 88 | 39.8%35 W · 53 L | -7.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4338…648ebacked Under | 53c | 34.94$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.42 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.36per pick | 49cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked Over | 68c | 34.24$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.43 | 172 | 43%74 W · 98 L | -12.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Over | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 165 | 46.1%76 W · 89 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc677…677abacked Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc27f…12a9backed Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8023…332abacked Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Under | 61c | 29.17$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.27 | 192 | 32.8%63 W · 129 L | -18.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 47c | 28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -32.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7dec…61b7backed Under | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9287…ba8cbacked Over | 47c | 25.79$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 66c | 25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under | 47c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 1,113 | 41.6%463 W · 650 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 57c | 24.61$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.11 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…1591backed Under | 54c | 23.81$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 105 | 53.3%56 W · 49 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Under | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 353 | 52.4%185 W · 168 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Under | 55c | 19.96$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.98 | 762 | 50.4%384 W · 378 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75c0…4c72backed Under | 56c | 19.64$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -6.2wins | -0.20per pick | 59cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x47ba…a503backed Under | 51c | 19.61$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.61 | 169 | 42.6%72 W · 97 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Thunder vs. Bucks: O/U 226.5this page
- AJ Green: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Aaron Wiggins: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Giannis Antetokounmpo: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Giannis Antetokounmpo: Points O/U 28.5No won
- Myles Turner: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Spread: Thunder (-11.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-12.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-9.5)Thunder won
- Thunder vs. BucksThunder won
- Thunder vs. Bucks: O/U 223.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Bucks: O/U 224.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Bucks: O/U 225.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Bucks: O/U 227.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.