TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x75c0…4c72

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
60
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: CS2, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 55 out of 100; worst NBA at 38.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST3138.7%12 W · 19 L-6.2wins-0.20per pick59cpaid-35.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
NBA — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mavericks vs. Suns: 1H Moneylinebacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+44.9%+$4.65
Pacers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$10.2
Pacers vs. Raptors: 1H Moneylinebacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$10.2
Clippers vs. Timberwolves: 1H Moneylinebacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Thunder vs. Spurs: 1H Moneylinebacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+38.4%+$5
Celtics vs. Rockets: 1H Moneylinebacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$10.4
Suns vs. Trail Blazersbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+78.6%+$8.36
Rockets vs. Pacers: 1H Moneylinebacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+53.8%+$8.08
Heat vs. Sunsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+85.2%+$10.22
Warriors vs. Timberwolves: O/U 234.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Lakers vs. Clippers: O/U 222.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Thunder vs. Bucks: O/U 226.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+78.6%+$8.64
Raptors vs. Warriorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+61.3%+$9.19
Lakers vs. Nuggetsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+100%+$15
Spurs vs. Rocketsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Suns vs. 76ers: O/U 222.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+50.7%+$7.61
Raptors vs. Lakersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$29.71
Nets vs. Bulls: O/U 219.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$27.6
Thunder vs. Heatbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$68.33
Hornets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$170.16
Hornets vs. Lakers: O/U 235.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Knicks vs. Warriorsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Celtics vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Thunder vs. Rocketsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+53.8%+$16.15
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST2369.6%16 W · 7 L+2.4wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs PARIVISION - Map 1 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$23.62
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+68.1%+$13.62
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+177.8%+$123.38
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+160.2%+$32.04
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Heroic - Map 2 Winnerbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+78.6%+$15.71
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+51.5%+$7.21
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs FaZe - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+56.3%+$5.63
Counter-Strike: G2 vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+37%+$4.05
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+56.3%+$5.63
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs FURIA - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+72.8%+$10.92
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs FURIA - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$26.95
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+31.6%+$24.07
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs Vitality - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+49.3%+$34.48
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Inner Circle Esports (+1.5)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+42.9%+$21.18
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+42.9%+$20.57
Counter-Strike: paiN vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winnerbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+33.3%+$9.76
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+31.6%+$7.03
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$14.26
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs NIP (BO3)backed NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$19.06
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Inner Circle Esports (BO3)backed 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Inner Circle Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+42.9%+$42.86
All 23 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
South Carolina Gamecocks vs. Texas Longhornsbacked Texas Longhorns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+33.3%+$6.75
Kansas Jayhawks vs. Colorado Buffaloesbacked Kansas Jayhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+53.8%+$9.91
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rams vs. Bearsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+81.8%+$14.32
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.