TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Team Falconsof Liquid, Team Falcons
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$208,589
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$226,712

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $208,589 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 178 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x325f…4511backed Liquid1c20,891$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.66328.6%18 W · 45 L-4.2wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-37.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Team Falcons54c9,500$5,084 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,415.544,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3ac…88c9backed Liquid57c9,429$5,382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,38240%0 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed Liquid42c7,236$3,028 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,028.31,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5877…d894backed Team Falcons42c7,134$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,133.937943%34 W · 45 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9adf…55e8backed Team Falcons43c6,424$2,763 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,661.0928453.5%152 W · 132 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Team Falcons60c6,068$3,630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,437.423,25750.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L+98.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Liquid38c5,307$2,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,009.663,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6683…de6bbacked Liquid59c4,538$2,670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,670.29553.7%51 W · 44 L-7.7wins-0.08per pick62cpaid-18.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x97f2…d84fbacked Liquid53c3,773$1,988 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,988.016953.6%37 W · 32 L+6.5wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+14.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb726…4d2bbacked Team Falcons42c3,349$1,417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,931.588741.4%36 W · 51 L-4.9wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-18.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd604…ee57backed Liquid46c2,888$1,324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,324.284731.9%15 W · 32 L-5.2wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-27.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked Liquid56c2,850$1,591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,590.5659839.6%237 W · 361 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Team Falcons54c2,776$1,496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,279.693652.8%19 W · 17 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ef5…39edbacked Liquid58c2,728$1,595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,594.5311631.9%37 W · 79 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf9f…f6a3backed Liquid28c2,418$683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68329851.3%153 W · 145 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcdfb…980cbacked Team Falcons48c2,088$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,088.1332548.3%157 W · 168 L-8.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Team Falcons39c1,978$779 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,199.0212150.4%61 W · 60 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed Team Falcons25c1,961$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,476.4346949.7%233 W · 236 L-14.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe2a6…9837backed Liquid17c1,926$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.154643.5%20 W · 26 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+21.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Liquid31c1,883$575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$575.412,32655.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L+44.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Falcons67c1,880$1,255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$624.762,06641.5%858 W · 1,208 L-49.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d69…7e98backed Liquid15c1,639$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.265812.1%7 W · 51 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick15cpaid-42.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6902…b4cabacked Team Falcons64c1,569$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$568.8925751.8%133 W · 124 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd92d…e560backed Team Falcons64c1,563$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562.9958651%299 W · 287 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c4b…8a81backed Liquid47c1,558$732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$731.9822554.2%122 W · 103 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Liquid27c1,442$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.472,77637.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L-140.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0785…81c3backed Team Falcons76c1,320$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.6715970.4%112 W · 47 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick71cpaid-0.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Liquid20c1,313$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.4181843.2%353 W · 465 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8ca…2fbabacked Liquid43c1,167$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001752.9%9 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa090…9854backed Liquid52c962.12$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5007238.9%28 W · 44 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb29…ea29backed Liquid34c934.98$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.136637.9%25 W · 41 L-6.2wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-25.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8a96…3087backed Team Falcons67c841.2$567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.0417949.7%89 W · 90 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Liquid36c807.68$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.31,71446.7%801 W · 913 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed Liquid41c800$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.049442.6%40 W · 54 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x295c…223bbacked Team Falcons58c757.65$443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.55425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-57.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Liquid45c751.97$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.1360147.4%285 W · 316 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-9.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb6d…942cbacked Team Falcons45c731.6$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.9111452.6%60 W · 54 L+9.4wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+14.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Liquid48c718.64$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.5564552.9%341 W · 304 L+27.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x22c5…1bdabacked Team Falcons35c680$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4425018%9 W · 41 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-24.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd8c4…bb5dbacked Team Falcons52c629.25$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.254143.9%18 W · 23 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe41f…d9dcbacked Liquid59c603.39$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35665650.3%330 W · 326 L-15.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f47…fc05backed Liquid23c599.99$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.53237.5%12 W · 20 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-20.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x91e8…f1abbacked Liquid39c582.81$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22818654.8%102 W · 84 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe167…03a1backed Liquid56c535.71$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30041850%209 W · 209 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6884…6ccfbacked Team Falcons65c520.48$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.522867.9%19 W · 9 L+3.5wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+25.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Liquid35c500.86$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.31,25942.5%535 W · 724 L+20.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2687…1363backed Liquid76c481.95$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.2838868.3%265 W · 123 L+25.7wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+3.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x11b4…7e7bbacked Team Falcons74c466.12$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.123571.4%25 W · 10 L+6.5wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+26.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x1c1d…58fcbacked Team Falcons64c459.81$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.812462.5%15 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+14.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc954…642fbacked Team Falcons59c456.36$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.8626553.2%141 W · 124 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2930…4cf8backed Liquid23c444$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.1215743.3%68 W · 89 L+0.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e5c…e4f6backed Team Falcons59c422.87$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.871100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9fb…95fbbacked Liquid39c412.01$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.289353.8%50 W · 43 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+19.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x60b4…6313backed Team Falcons77c411.69$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.699364.5%60 W · 33 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick68cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Liquid40c400$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1605,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebe7…ddf5backed Liquid53c378.52$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20034156.6%193 W · 148 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd924…d06dbacked Liquid51c366.35$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1872259.1%13 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+21.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa919…b83fbacked Liquid44c355.89$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.18955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+15.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Team Falcons26c335.01$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.1957322.3%128 W · 445 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae4c…6cfbbacked Team Falcons58c318.79$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.89922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-43.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Liquid35c310$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.8913740.9%56 W · 81 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Liquid35c300$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10526549.1%130 W · 135 L-14.4wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-12.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x938e…3fb0backed Liquid58c300$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1742339.1%9 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-13.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc694…1171backed Liquid71c299.99$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.9947641.6%198 W · 278 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac98…7281backed Liquid27c294.55$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8016527.9%46 W · 119 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-26.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xebec…f38dbacked Team Falcons61c287.51$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.511154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfac1…48edbacked Team Falcons74c276.78$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.97250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-32.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6271…4ac6backed Team Falcons63c255.12$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.677255.6%40 W · 32 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Team Falcons58c249.84$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.1369863%440 W · 258 L+65.3wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+5.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x37f8…b5e5backed Liquid59c248.89$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.9444743.8%196 W · 251 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa121…56a3backed Team Falcons54c227.76$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.85540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-32.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd57…cc9ebacked Team Falcons45c222.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.223100%3 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+203.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xad4b…e93dbacked Team Falcons45c222.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.229050%45 W · 45 L+6.2wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcfbb…55b0backed Team Falcons67c217.91$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.917156.3%40 W · 31 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc2fe…f0fbbacked Liquid62c215.74$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.963554.3%19 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfda5…53d7backed Team Falcons48c207.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.673447.1%16 W · 18 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed Team Falcons46c202.58$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.591,31053.7%703 W · 607 L+32.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x51fe…54f8backed Team Falcons31c200$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1387843.6%34 W · 44 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick39cpaid-0.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked Team Falcons42c200$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1161,39365.9%918 W · 475 L+26.8wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4042…0bdabacked Team Falcons52c192.64$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.6418049.4%89 W · 91 L+6.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xccf5…42f2backed Team Falcons80c187.41$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.4841260.9%251 W · 161 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3290…d1ffbacked Team Falcons48c184.98$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.046246.8%29 W · 33 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0627…f5c5backed Team Falcons37c183.32$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.131526.7%4 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-25.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x65ac…2feebacked Liquid55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.34per pick54cpaid-65.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x45d1…db95backed Liquid28c178.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5453…a834backed Liquid57c175.61$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.131654.7%173 W · 143 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+12.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb876…ae6ebacked Liquid59c169.49$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007647.4%36 W · 40 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5862…76abbacked Liquid60c165.61$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001952.6%10 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-16.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f15…650dbacked Team Falcons61c164.16$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.165664.3%36 W · 20 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0be2…d514backed Liquid46c160$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.622349.8%111 W · 112 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed Liquid36c158.87$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.1946149.9%230 W · 231 L-1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41a3…017dbacked Team Falcons64c151.25$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.8645162.3%281 W · 170 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5404…5e58backed Liquid55c139.99$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.4919442.8%83 W · 111 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a89…196fbacked Liquid74c135.18$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006352.4%33 W · 30 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-14.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2f57…3e7abacked Team Falcons74c135.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.1465662.3%409 W · 247 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x307d…9163backed Team Falcons57c131.42$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.1622365%145 W · 78 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x34f9…12ebbacked Liquid37c129.73$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4826836.6%98 W · 170 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4177…a2b4backed Liquid40c125$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,24841.3%516 W · 732 L+5.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x45e1…c872backed Team Falcons52c120.86$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.493545.7%16 W · 19 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.