TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x52ec…a6f3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
1,717
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Lol, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 54 out of 100; worst Dota2 at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lollast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT81143.5%353 W · 458 L+30.0wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 811 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: GIANTX vs G2 Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,566Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,565.73
LoL: Shifters vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$2,692Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+25%+$672.93
LoL: Team Heretics vs GIANTX - Game 2 Winnerbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$2,270Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+116.5%+$2,643.57
LoL: Team Heretics vs GIANTX - Game 1 Winnerbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,756Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+194.5%+$3,415.8
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14,357Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+110.9%+$15,919.02
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$4,571Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+98.3%+$4,495.08
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15,812Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$15,812.07
LoL: EDward Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$6,839Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,838.62
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$8,003Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$8,002.85
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$8,381Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$8,381.1
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,779Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,779.24
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$2,061Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,061.42
LoL: SK Gaming vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winnerbacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$1,687Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+253.1%+$4,268.91
LoL: Fnatic vs Shifters - Game 2 Winnerbacked Shifters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,085Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,084.86
LoL: Fnatic vs Shifters - Game 1 Winnerbacked Shifters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$1,471Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,471.35
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 1 Winnerbacked Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$4,143Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,143.25
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$5,194Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,193.68
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+53.6%+$14.54
LoL: Team WE vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$5,275Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+36.9%+$1,948.76
LoL: Team WE vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,938Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+195.5%+$3,788.17
LoL: Team Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$2,876Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,876.1
LoL: Team Vitality vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$3,409Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,408.98
LoL: Team Heretics vs SK Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$3,021Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$5,143.47
LoL: Team Heretics vs SK Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$3,416Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$6,630.97
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$3,171Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,170.58
Showing 25 of 811 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT46949.7%233 W · 236 L-14.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 469 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$3,386Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,385.58
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$3,697Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,696.73
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$4,919Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$4,540.25
Map Handicap: VIT (-2.5) vs Spirit (+2.5)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$13,928Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$13,928.14
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$79.77
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$2,726Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$2,141.92
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,966Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,966.47
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,619Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$568.71
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,795Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$1,468.4
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Abacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,391Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,391.36
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Bbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$2,120Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$1,245.23
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs HOTU (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Bbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$2,792Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,792.27
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Bbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$5,834Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,834.34
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FURIA - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,805Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,805.04
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Passion UA (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Bbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$2,320Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$947.81
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Abacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$4,650Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,650.24
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,399.86
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs 3DMAX - Map 2 Winnerbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,321Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,320.62
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FUT Esports - Map 4 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$3,474Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,474.45
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FUT Esports - Map 3 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,726Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,726.46
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,350Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,349.98
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$469Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$469.08
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Astralis - Map 2 Winnerbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$840Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$840
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Astralis - Map 1 Winnerbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$976Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$975.94
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffsbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$7,420Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+111.9%+$8,304.9
Showing 25 of 469 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT43051.4%221 W · 209 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 430 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$2,133Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,133.11
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$5,819Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$2,997.49
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$724Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$1,131.96
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$2,429Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$1,251.32
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$3,159Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$3,422.78
Spurs vs. Nuggetsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,575Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,575.27
Cavaliers vs. Lakersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$870Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$870.3
Trail Blazers vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,273Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,272.7
Raptors vs. Pistonsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$860Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$860
Knicks vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$970Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+100%+$970
Suns vs. Magicbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$910Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$910.11
76ers vs. Heatbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,103Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,103.44
Celtics vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,084Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$886.63
Pistons vs. Timberwolvesbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,080Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$920
Jazz vs. Nuggetsbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,040Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,040
Mavericks vs. Trail Blazersbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,060Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$940
Heat vs. Cavaliersbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$700
Hawks vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,340Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$660
Raptors vs. Clippersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$760Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$760
Rockets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,080Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,080
Heat vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,140Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,140
Thunder vs. Celticsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,140Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,140
Hawks vs. Pistonsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$840Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$1,160
Nuggets vs. Sunsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,340Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$660
Warriors vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$940Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$940
Showing 25 of 430 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.6wins-0.43per pick59cpaid-71.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+109.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,470Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+109.4%+$1,609.05
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.