CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4c27acaae6b9528e6121c226f0c7e253073c0ecdee87eed1bca5b2fe4028e6ee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spiritof Team Falcons, Spirit
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,508,597
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,693,790
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,508,597 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,240 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Spirit | 53c | 516,389$274,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241,997.23 | 424 | 40.3%171 W · 253 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Spirit | 59c | 326,149$191,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134,843.32 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95de…c9b2backed Team Falcons | 58c | 145,829$83,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83,888.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Team Falcons | 56c | 83,174$46,751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,751.22 | 648 | 52%337 W · 311 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Spirit | 62c | 60,055$37,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,820.9 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +8.6wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Spirit | 51c | 54,342$27,713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,628.97 | 818 | 43.2%353 W · 465 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d58…9a15backed Spirit | 42c | 52,051$21,605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,446.5 | 144 | 41.7%60 W · 84 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed Team Falcons | 60c | 49,125$29,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,475.2 | 238 | 39.9%95 W · 143 L | -11.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b6f…ce60backed Team Falcons | 59c | 49,000$28,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,670 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21ec…5348backed Spirit | 41c | 48,365$19,926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,438.6 | 724 | 53.7%389 W · 335 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47a8…52f9backed Team Falcons | 61c | 47,552$29,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,006.95 | 101 | 42.6%43 W · 58 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed Team Falcons | 60c | 42,807$25,684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,684.42 | 221 | 42.5%94 W · 127 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Spirit | 62c | 40,095$24,859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,236.22 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa69d…509bbacked Spirit | 45c | 34,866$15,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,173.37 | 197 | 57.4%113 W · 84 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf344…9a04backed Team Falcons | 58c | 34,000$19,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,720.27 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa643…d43dbacked Spirit | 41c | 33,213$13,617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,595.79 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Spirit | 63c | 25,000$15,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,299.95 | 645 | 52.9%341 W · 304 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd54…b245backed Team Falcons | 59c | 22,247$13,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,026.56 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf1…795fbacked Team Falcons | 59c | 20,500$12,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,020 | 290 | 46.9%136 W · 154 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01e6…e7e0backed Team Falcons | 59c | 20,118$11,789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,789.5 | 170 | 62.9%107 W · 63 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Spirit | 61c | 20,000$12,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,799.99 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Spirit | 61c | 20,000$12,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,799.99 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed Spirit | 65c | 20,000$13,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,999.99 | 238 | 52.9%126 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65b9…ff15backed Spirit | 41c | 20,000$8,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,899.96 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x153a…9d6dbacked Spirit | 40c | 20,000$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,999.82 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Spirit | 49c | 19,906$9,701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,204.1 | 361 | 52.6%190 W · 171 L | +13.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc05…013abacked Team Falcons | 42c | 19,701$8,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,270.36 | 49 | 71.4%35 W · 14 L | +5.4wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef50…e3bdbacked Spirit | 41c | 19,575$8,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,478.75 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -39%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf559…f462backed Team Falcons | 60c | 17,893$10,736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,736 | 190 | 55.8%106 W · 84 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb94…243cbacked Team Falcons | 47c | 17,478$8,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,197.74 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ba…621fbacked Team Falcons | 50c | 15,879$7,862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,862.08 | 190 | 43.7%83 W · 107 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Team Falcons | 59c | 15,498$9,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,144 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x30c7…ac3bbacked Spirit | 63c | 15,000$9,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,550 | 756 | 52.6%398 W · 358 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb042…204cbacked Team Falcons | 59c | 14,847$8,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,759.73 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 43cpaid | -71.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Team Falcons | 55c | 14,113$7,734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,734.34 | 754 | 50.5%381 W · 373 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea79…a9ccbacked Team Falcons | 50c | 14,094$7,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,083.04 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…bb8fbacked Team Falcons | 58c | 12,436$7,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,238.1 | 101 | 38.6%39 W · 62 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Team Falcons | 34c | 12,177$4,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,144.68 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb12b…5a89backed Team Falcons | 59c | 12,000$7,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,079.99 | 61 | 68.9%42 W · 19 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a63…fc03backed Team Falcons | 56c | 11,861$6,641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,640.76 | 421 | 42%177 W · 244 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Team Falcons | 53c | 11,632$6,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,196.07 | 359 | 40.4%145 W · 214 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Spirit | 60c | 11,191$6,748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,443.46 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x183f…85e3backed Spirit | 41c | 11,094$4,548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,545.36 | 238 | 48.3%115 W · 123 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1727…680ebacked Team Falcons | 59c | 11,008$6,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,494.67 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f38…477cbacked Team Falcons | 36c | 10,951$3,934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,934.45 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8061…a32bbacked Team Falcons | 58c | 10,500$6,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,090 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -36%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Spirit | 63c | 10,254$6,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,749.36 | 496 | 46.6%231 W · 265 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6304…e570backed Spirit | 39c | 10,020$3,892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,128.18 | 228 | 49.6%113 W · 115 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed2…d00bbacked Team Falcons | 53c | 10,000$5,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,249.99 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Team Falcons | 23c | 10,000$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,299.99 | 303 | 40.3%122 W · 181 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6902…b4cabacked Team Falcons | 59c | 9,919$5,852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,852.4 | 257 | 51.8%133 W · 124 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Spirit | 64c | 9,892$6,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,561.73 | 392 | 48.7%191 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Team Falcons | 37c | 9,842$3,642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,641.58 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Team Falcons | 49c | 9,716$4,716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,716.39 | 287 | 38%109 W · 178 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Spirit | 38c | 9,516$3,616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,899.99 | 670 | 41.8%280 W · 390 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b9…bdf4backed Team Falcons | 46c | 9,241$4,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,286.21 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x059e…54d1backed Team Falcons | 63c | 8,748$5,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,535.4 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Spirit | 39c | 8,622$3,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,258.82 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd66…664fbacked Team Falcons | 59c | 8,620$5,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,085.8 | 383 | 58.7%225 W · 158 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Team Falcons | 60c | 8,063$4,838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,838.03 | 274 | 52.9%145 W · 129 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfb…980cbacked Spirit | 39c | 8,044$3,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,907.08 | 325 | 48.3%157 W · 168 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd27c…c081backed Spirit | 69c | 7,901$5,467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,433.56 | 77 | 66.2%51 W · 26 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1c…7980backed Team Falcons | 59c | 7,500$4,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,425 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked Spirit | 51c | 7,405$3,757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,648.23 | 401 | 40.6%163 W · 238 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d11…99cabacked Team Falcons | 28c | 7,179$1,982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,982.27 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…8973backed Team Falcons | 60c | 7,154$4,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,292.45 | 176 | 43.2%76 W · 100 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fac…1feebacked Team Falcons | 60c | 6,946$4,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,167.52 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Spirit | 62c | 6,519$4,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,450.52 | 980 | 52.4%514 W · 466 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Falcons | 35c | 6,393$2,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,206.48 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfee…ed1fbacked Team Falcons | 21c | 6,218$1,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,297.91 | 169 | 20.1%34 W · 135 L | -16.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5f4d…0d5ebacked Team Falcons | 43c | 6,204$2,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,659.85 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 61cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4189backed Team Falcons | 20c | 6,067$1,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,223.59 | 334 | 52.1%174 W · 160 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a5…391cbacked Team Falcons | 59c | 6,000$3,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,540 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c3…d0cdbacked Team Falcons | 59c | 5,784$3,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,412.63 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecee…a577backed Spirit | 44c | 5,622$2,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,125.87 | 82 | 26.8%22 W · 60 L | -7.3wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…18a4backed Team Falcons | 60c | 5,448$3,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,258.71 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3b…0cf9backed Team Falcons | 60c | 5,436$3,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,261.63 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x871f…5ac9backed Team Falcons | 38c | 5,064$1,924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,924.35 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f49…463abacked Team Falcons | 59c | 5,000$2,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,950 | 179 | 45.3%81 W · 98 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Spirit | 62c | 4,957$3,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,888.09 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f2…b422backed Spirit | 39c | 4,941$1,927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,013.71 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Spirit | 62c | 4,888$3,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,870.47 | 887 | 46.7%414 W · 473 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Team Falcons | 29c | 4,879$1,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,412.56 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0359…fda7backed Team Falcons | 60c | 4,866$2,919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,919.45 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x791e…9bdabacked Spirit | 40c | 4,864$1,969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,895.05 | 193 | 46.1%89 W · 104 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7048…282dbacked Spirit | 53c | 4,862$2,563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,298.7 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Team Falcons | 62c | 4,788$2,969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,968.73 | 255 | 55.3%141 W · 114 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Spirit | 39c | 4,554$1,776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,777.71 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x955c…ce96backed Spirit | 55c | 4,469$2,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,998.04 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…76babacked Spirit | 64c | 4,330$2,784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,545.82 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd961…35debacked Spirit | 36c | 4,315$1,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,748.06 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd87…ac38backed Team Falcons | 35c | 4,162$1,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,459.51 | 100 | 47%47 W · 53 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x101c…7df8backed Team Falcons | 59c | 4,076$2,417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,417.14 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6dc…12ecbacked Spirit | 70c | 4,060$2,847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,212.98 | 77 | 35.1%27 W · 50 L | -6.8wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x83b3…b3a2backed Team Falcons | 38c | 4,043$1,536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,536.42 | 185 | 47%87 W · 98 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8101…e7bebacked Team Falcons | 59c | 4,000$2,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,360 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x449c…eaf5backed Spirit | 61c | 4,000$2,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad8f…6b52backed Spirit | 55c | 3,964$2,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,797.15 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Spirit | 57c | 3,876$2,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,650.6 | 1,054 | 49%516 W · 538 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked Team Falcons | 49c | 3,772$1,843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,843.25 | 664 | 46.4%308 W · 356 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit - Map 1 WinnerSpirit won
- Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit - Map 2 WinnerSpirit won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Spirit (+1.5)Spirit won
- Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Team Falcons (+1.5)Spirit won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.