TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$19,873
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$21,221

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,873 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0636…c529backed Over51c3,915$1,982 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,981.916126.2%16 W · 45 L-9.7wins-0.16per pick42cpaid-21.6%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x9e04…28a9backed Under49c1,959$955 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,004.0436645.4%166 W · 200 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2aa5…ff32backed Under50c1,842$921 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$920.9823851.7%123 W · 115 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x255f…cd91backed Over59c1,832$1,074 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,074.438947.2%42 W · 47 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2761…4d95backed Under50c1,712$864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$848.3152951.4%272 W · 257 L+23.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x54a6…7401backed Under50c1,490$745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7454156.1%23 W · 18 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+17.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f93…bffabacked Over58c1,064$617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$616.9778963.8%503 W · 286 L-2.5wins0.00per pick64cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Over48c1,028$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.471,08150.9%550 W · 531 L+37.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6fd…30f0backed Under42c965.2$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$559.828951.7%46 W · 43 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd14…76b4backed Over50c960$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4808353%44 W · 39 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x611a…e171backed Over51c951.57$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.317460.3%105 W · 69 L+0.7wins0.00per pick60cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked Under40c840.94$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504.561,14449.4%565 W · 579 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7dfd…8d75backed Under51c734.87$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.09666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+24.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Under41c540.7$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.1323245.3%105 W · 127 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+19.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2418…66c8backed Under49c503.96$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25760853.3%324 W · 284 L+20.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b63…4acdbacked Under50c488.83$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.4213952.5%73 W · 66 L+9.5wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x34d5…a977backed Under49c480.39$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2452100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xed52…2dbdbacked Under44c454.98$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.7913553.3%72 W · 63 L+7.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfd83…7d7cbacked Over49c397.45$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.755648.2%27 W · 29 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x82b6…57bebacked Over49c395.67$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.882015%3 W · 17 L-4.8wins-0.24per pick39cpaid-69.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x211d…3ab7backed Over50c388$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19419351.8%100 W · 93 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x642c…21a7backed Under38c331.19$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.3420251%103 W · 99 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b3c…a34abacked Over62c318.66$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.0626443.2%114 W · 150 L-10.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under44c270$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.32,43444.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L-64.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3878…1ab8backed Over49c262.17$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.4617840.4%72 W · 106 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-15.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under50c258$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12913049.2%64 W · 66 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xce6e…77ddbacked Over49c199.99$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$982842.9%12 W · 16 L-3.7wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-27.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed Under51c199.99$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.991,31053.7%703 W · 607 L+32.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9855…b244backed Under49c197.47$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.52666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+30.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Over40c189.22$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.485,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Over51c176.4$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.9664852%337 W · 311 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Over49c174.06$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.2914955%82 W · 67 L+9.3wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9d61…eb8ebacked Over50c164.9$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.4581246.2%375 W · 437 L-35.8wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5cee…dfadbacked Over61c160.04$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.668844.3%39 W · 49 L-0.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-19.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Under42c154.63$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.311,77959.1%1,052 W · 727 L+104.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x901f…b8b0backed Over50c145.5$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.7529558.6%173 W · 122 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0829…77bcbacked Over55c134.45$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.95333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-55.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ac2…e183backed Over56c131$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.0113151.9%68 W · 63 L-10.3wins-0.08per pick60cpaid-15.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb9cb…0134backed Over49c117.55$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.1820145.8%92 W · 109 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x87ed…b497backed Under50c111$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.518352.5%96 W · 87 L+0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Under68c101.95$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.941,36566.3%905 W · 460 L+76.1wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+7.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Under50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5014454.2%78 W · 66 L+9.7wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under44c100$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.51,67651.1%857 W · 819 L+21.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x59b7…9581backed Over50c97$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.51631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.8wins-0.18per pick49cpaid-18.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb600…4440backed Over49c96.94$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.516546.1%76 W · 89 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked Under43c91.93$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.681,65032.7%540 W · 1,110 L-49.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb020…d974backed Over49c82.1$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.2314237.3%53 W · 89 L-18.6wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-32.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Under48c76.2$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.4881244.3%360 W · 452 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda0d…fb82backed Over49c75.18$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.8413350.4%67 W · 66 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeb02…08c8backed Over52c64.88$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.6910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x20d1…8617backed Over46c64.8$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.91957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick54cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x861b…d967backed Over50c62.8$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.4250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+31.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77cc…3045backed Over49c60.6$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.69757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-22.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d85…2560backed Under45c60$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.37944.3%35 W · 44 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3038848.5%188 W · 200 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26d6…f56bbacked Over49c59.35$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.081145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9719…beeabacked Over62c58.63$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.35837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.24per pick62cpaid-51.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc947…f70cbacked Over57c57.3$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.751346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-21%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Under51c57.1$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.059137.4%34 W · 57 L-8.2wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xff6a…52e4backed Over49c49.46$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed Under44c49.11$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.641,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b2b…d4d3backed Under51c47.58$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.317153.5%38 W · 33 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0aa6…1b56backed Over50c44.14$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.072157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9784…e452backed Over43c40$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.43250%16 W · 16 L+4.0wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+13.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0d79…afbfbacked Over49c39.57$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.39333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-42%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1be…6471backed Over49c39.57$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3942757.8%247 W · 180 L+0.9wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8487…c1dbbacked Over59c39.54$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.4148052.3%251 W · 229 L-20.9wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x76e5…af5ebacked Under51c38.06$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.651258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa106…5abbbacked Over50c38.03$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.028459.5%50 W · 34 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4a3…1521backed Over50c36.86$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.431266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+20.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3e6d…2671backed Under51c35.61$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.4576248.4%369 W · 393 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x17b2…b2fcbacked Over52c34.59$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b26…57e9backed Over58c30.39$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.761,48558%862 W · 623 L+66.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xecb2…9f30backed Over49c29.68$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.54633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-42.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1bed…fd9cbacked Over49c29.68$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5420656.8%117 W · 89 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick58cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Under43c25.97$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.747260%283 W · 189 L+31.8wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+8.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3cf9…dde4backed Over50c24.85$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4316766.5%111 W · 56 L+8.5wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+8.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6e6a…0056backed Under51c24.74$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.122347.8%11 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Under58c23.22$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.861,37845.2%623 W · 755 L+17.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x252f…2561backed Over54c22.91$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3756454.3%306 W · 258 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf26…0416backed Over49c21.76$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.661330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-35.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b86…6746backed Under51c20.85$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.172100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+72.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4010…77d4backed Under68c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.423057%131 W · 99 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee16…16a2backed Over57c19.48$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1129752.2%155 W · 142 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1be4…1db1backed Over54c19.45$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c64…2146backed Over64c18.33$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.73728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.