TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Spiritof Team Falcons, Spirit
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$609,025
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$653,350

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $609,025 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 477 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5d58…9a15backed Team Falcons61c142,977$87,206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87,205.9514441.7%60 W · 84 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5ea…d96abacked Spirit39c100,000$39,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60,999.9942440.3%171 W · 253 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Spirit39c70,000$27,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42,899.974557.8%26 W · 19 L+3.7wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+20.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked Team Falcons61c59,532$36,314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36,314.4376657.8%443 W · 323 L+3.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3833…33d1backed Spirit39c38,536$15,029 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,506.9621548.4%104 W · 111 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6be6…2006backed Spirit78c29,719$23,227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,492.012965.5%19 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick65cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed Spirit39c20,000$7,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,20018243.4%79 W · 103 L-6.8wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Spirit38c18,125$6,942 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,183.4722049.1%108 W · 112 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Team Falcons32c16,247$5,277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,277.413,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6df6…8458backed Team Falcons25c12,819$3,262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,261.9232425.3%82 W · 242 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick26cpaid+10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2cad…eb66backed Spirit63c10,804$6,783 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,021.8512571.2%89 W · 36 L+11.9wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+10.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x77f6…dbd1backed Team Falcons57c8,512$4,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,850.4717240.7%70 W · 102 L-9.3wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-12.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2924…0f31backed Team Falcons31c8,252$2,592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,591.8749646.6%231 W · 265 L+1.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Spirit39c7,773$3,032 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,741.2682143%353 W · 468 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01e6…e7e0backed Team Falcons61c7,508$4,580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,579.8317861.2%109 W · 69 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xea79…a9ccbacked Team Falcons61c6,178$3,741 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,741.2114954.4%81 W · 68 L-6.5wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-6.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbf5e…4189backed Team Falcons33c5,373$1,753 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,753.0133452.1%174 W · 160 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Team Falcons27c5,196$1,384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,383.789546.8%419 W · 476 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-15.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Spirit39c4,999$1,949 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,049.1265351.9%339 W · 314 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf67d…c986backed Spirit39c4,992$1,947 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,044.8311133.3%37 W · 74 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-25.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Team Falcons33c4,826$1,599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,599.422,32851.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L+92.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed Spirit40c4,570$1,828 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,742.0646349.9%231 W · 232 L-1.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe59c…4da7backed Team Falcons61c4,414$2,693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,692.6415264.5%98 W · 54 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3bae…885abacked Team Falcons62c4,397$2,726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,726.3927658%160 W · 116 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4e5…d034backed Team Falcons37c4,174$1,551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,551.113044.6%58 W · 72 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7048…282dbacked Spirit73c4,092$2,974 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,118.12661.5%16 W · 10 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Team Falcons32c4,024$1,298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,297.831,06049%519 W · 541 L+37.6wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe8e0…561abacked Spirit39c3,816$1,489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,327.21250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+28.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Team Falcons37c3,606$1,331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,331.476,50142.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L-79.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c1b…f0f9backed Team Falcons48c3,522$1,682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,682.091747.1%8 W · 9 L+2.8wins+0.16per pick31cpaid+89.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Team Falcons36c3,430$1,237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,236.761,28322%282 W · 1,001 L-24.2wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa6c…a9b3backed Team Falcons62c3,382$2,097 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,097.071,17854.5%642 W · 536 L-36.7wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Team Falcons32c3,328$1,054 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,053.951,61945.5%737 W · 882 L+31.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f14…1e77backed Team Falcons60c3,253$1,952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,95211166.7%74 W · 37 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+3.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfa88…85a5backed Spirit39c3,000$1,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,83023343.8%102 W · 131 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8705…edbabacked Spirit45c2,991$1,335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,655.3440140.6%163 W · 238 L-10.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+8.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe80c…f3e6backed Spirit41c2,978$1,221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,757.3142538.6%164 W · 261 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26f8…3452backed Spirit62c2,884$1,788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,095.9920249.5%100 W · 102 L-9.9wins-0.05per pick54cpaid+13.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x31d4…a7abbacked Team Falcons47c2,829$1,325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,325.0916447%77 W · 87 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+18.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Spirit48c2,603$1,242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,360.691,51357.2%865 W · 648 L+65.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f93…bffabacked Team Falcons62c2,577$1,591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,590.5278963.8%503 W · 286 L-2.5wins0.00per pick64cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadd4…15c2backed Spirit39c2,515$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,535.23036.7%11 W · 19 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-31.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Spirit39c2,474$966 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,508.2451252.3%268 W · 244 L+16.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x77a3…0e3fbacked Spirit39c2,470$963 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,506.8626045%117 W · 143 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56de…bc32backed Team Falcons19c2,448$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.485349.1%26 W · 27 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c2d…dd1ebacked Spirit69c2,433$1,667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$765.7540070.8%283 W · 117 L+39.1wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+14.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5454…ceadbacked Team Falcons41c2,363$964 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$964.499552.6%50 W · 45 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd54…b245backed Team Falcons59c2,222$1,311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,310.967256.9%41 W · 31 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+5.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed Spirit78c1,945$1,526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.7550254.2%272 W · 230 L-11.2wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc78a…7622backed Team Falcons60c1,937$1,163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,162.53250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26d6…56efbacked Spirit40c1,930$772 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,158.2511249.1%55 W · 57 L+6.0wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+20.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x67ac…edf1backed Team Falcons38c1,926$732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$731.7312454%67 W · 57 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x69bf…0c5dbacked Spirit63c1,817$1,149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$667.9817148%82 W · 89 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Team Falcons30c1,803$542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541.872,60552.6%1,371 W · 1,234 L+97.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked Team Falcons53c1,714$904 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$903.561,39848.4%676 W · 722 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Team Falcons60c1,704$1,018 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,017.747,99050.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L+180.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e35…2614backed Spirit63c1,695$1,068 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$627.15735.1%20 W · 37 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7e59…947abacked Team Falcons4c1,689$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.67714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick13cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Team Falcons25c1,679$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425.275,34131.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L-390.7wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf6fd…1128backed Team Falcons65c1,670$1,092 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,091.72050%10 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid+12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8aa6…83f9backed Team Falcons62c1,567$971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$971.2618442.9%79 W · 105 L-6.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa557…6e77backed Team Falcons55c1,551$860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86025749%126 W · 131 L+6.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaea5…6163backed Spirit57c1,519$870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$648.6111265.2%73 W · 39 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick64cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7756…d00abacked Team Falcons37c1,500$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$554.9912148.8%59 W · 62 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97fd…3313backed Spirit40c1,493$597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89611439.5%45 W · 69 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08fb…1b21backed Team Falcons60c1,383$830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$829.6450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-25.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3763…345fbacked Spirit62c1,252$782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.1853545%241 W · 294 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee4b…43dcbacked Spirit40c1,250$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75038051.3%195 W · 185 L+12.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa5a8…bf60backed Team Falcons60c1,241$745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$744.6998856.1%554 W · 434 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb19f…dd0ebacked Spirit39c1,235$482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$753.434944.9%22 W · 27 L-4.5wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-22.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4912…b76fbacked Spirit40c1,230$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7384139%16 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcbd2…f8a0backed Team Falcons8c1,228$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.2618752.4%98 W · 89 L-0.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Spirit41c1,155$476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$678.115,09555.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L+119.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c38…91b7backed Spirit59c1,108$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$457.95837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick31cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2978…4a1cbacked Team Falcons61c1,100$671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6713354.5%18 W · 15 L-3.7wins-0.11per pick66cpaid-23.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Spirit66c1,025$677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.362,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Spirit57c1,010$571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.0846545.6%212 W · 253 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ff9…aa24backed Team Falcons25c1,000$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501931.6%6 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x68e9…7a6abacked Spirit39c992.3$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$605.32245.5%10 W · 12 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+31.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x86af…f384backed Team Falcons62c977.2$606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605.869764.9%63 W · 34 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2fbb…7e44backed Spirit63c931.24$587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.5613568.9%93 W · 42 L+14.7wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+15.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed Spirit33c919.96$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$618.7833232.2%107 W · 225 L-0.8wins0.00per pick32cpaid+8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97ea…3363backed Team Falcons63c918.63$574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$574.1813357.1%76 W · 57 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4449…5095backed Team Falcons54c907.33$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.071637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+31.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Team Falcons43c903.07$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.2381751.7%422 W · 395 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa4…16e3backed Team Falcons59c900$531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53176546.7%357 W · 408 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x846c…0366backed Team Falcons52c876.71$454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454.0318963.5%120 W · 69 L+0.7wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed52…2dbdbacked Spirit56c874.59$487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387.913553.3%72 W · 63 L+7.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d7a…87c7backed Spirit67c830.54$557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.662171.4%15 W · 6 L+2.5wins+0.12per pick59cpaid+17.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x46d9…2becbacked Team Falcons61c800.49$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.3450%2 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-34.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b9a…3f5fbacked Team Falcons54c796.27$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.9923852.9%126 W · 112 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x66e5…d3c7backed Team Falcons62c788.06$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.623354.9%128 W · 105 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e3f…6941backed Team Falcons56c773.49$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435.392458.3%14 W · 10 L+2.6wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+25%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9aa5…46d6backed Team Falcons61c769.95$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.673847.4%18 W · 20 L-5.0wins-0.13per pick60cpaid-16.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8c14…d8fbbacked Team Falcons61c765.2$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.9217357.2%99 W · 74 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b14…039bbacked Spirit66c739.06$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.611871.2%84 W · 34 L+10.2wins+0.09per pick63cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xed31…d9c8backed Team Falcons23c714$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.837440.4%151 W · 223 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-19.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa717…3bbebacked Spirit43c708.44$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.3938452.1%200 W · 184 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe802…e465backed Team Falcons59c700$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-61.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8061…a32bbacked Team Falcons37c656.92$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.06540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-36%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.