CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdfc9e617518ce0d3524d3dc7cc73c98050cc9c9f01cb2abd03911838f8f55a1d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spiritof Team Falcons, Spirit
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $380,655
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $436,798
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $380,655 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 465 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x26f8…3452backed Team Falcons | 44c | 60,114$26,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,450.13 | 199 | 49.7%99 W · 100 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…8973backed Team Falcons | 52c | 25,005$12,919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,918.9 | 176 | 43.2%76 W · 100 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Spirit | 48c | 23,699$11,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,301.04 | 760 | 58%441 W · 319 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Spirit | 58c | 17,799$10,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,456.73 | 392 | 48.7%191 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c9…0d9ebacked Spirit | 79c | 13,384$10,637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,746.84 | 224 | 68.8%154 W · 70 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 72cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3aa…1485backed Team Falcons | 50c | 10,440$5,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,220.13 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7048…282dbacked Spirit | 72c | 10,020$7,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,805.47 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Team Falcons | 52c | 9,376$4,872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,871.89 | 648 | 52%337 W · 311 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Spirit | 56c | 7,944$4,453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,490.4 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6df6…8458backed Team Falcons | 14c | 7,702$1,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,055.99 | 324 | 25.3%82 W · 242 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbf…0eb4backed Spirit | 61c | 6,803$4,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,661.4 | 371 | 57.7%214 W · 157 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Spirit | 57c | 6,674$3,772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,901.77 | 1,054 | 49%516 W · 538 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Spirit | 56c | 5,829$3,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,564.93 | 887 | 46.7%414 W · 473 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Team Falcons | 36c | 5,767$2,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,053.63 | 496 | 46.6%231 W · 265 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Team Falcons | 28c | 5,716$1,614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,614.1 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Spirit | 63c | 5,404$3,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,999.68 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Spirit | 56c | 5,096$2,854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,242.25 | 178 | 49.4%88 W · 90 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Spirit | 56c | 4,859$2,713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,146.83 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked Spirit | 61c | 4,848$2,952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,896.08 | 401 | 40.6%163 W · 238 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x802b…7d57backed Team Falcons | 52c | 4,650$2,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,402.26 | 80 | 32.5%26 W · 54 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc6dd…40cebacked Spirit | 50c | 4,343$2,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,154.35 | 37 | 78.4%29 W · 8 L | +6.3wins | +0.17per pick | 61cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5c…4f26backed Spirit | 50c | 4,276$2,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,141.79 | 352 | 36.4%128 W · 224 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed Team Falcons | 28c | 4,011$1,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,124.26 | 1,163 | 54.3%631 W · 532 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb53a…e694backed Spirit | 49c | 3,961$1,939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,022.55 | 132 | 38.6%51 W · 81 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64f7…afa6backed Team Falcons | 30c | 3,560$1,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,064.51 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd3…be21backed Spirit | 49c | 3,232$1,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,648.26 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +56%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae8…60f6backed Spirit | 49c | 3,142$1,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,597.61 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4189backed Spirit | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,469.99 | 334 | 52.1%174 W · 160 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66e5…d3c7backed Team Falcons | 46c | 2,942$1,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,349.36 | 233 | 54.9%128 W · 105 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd87…ac38backed Spirit | 50c | 2,925$1,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,469.8 | 100 | 47%47 W · 53 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Spirit | 47c | 2,831$1,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500.52 | 424 | 40.3%171 W · 253 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Team Falcons | 49c | 2,707$1,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,326.26 | 232 | 43.5%101 W · 131 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Team Falcons | 39c | 2,603$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010.43 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01e6…e7e0backed Spirit | 64c | 2,576$1,639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$936.97 | 170 | 62.9%107 W · 63 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f38…477cbacked Spirit | 80c | 2,478$1,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.59 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Team Falcons | 51c | 2,400$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,219.97 | 512 | 52.3%268 W · 244 L | +16.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5758…e2d8backed Spirit | 76c | 2,313$1,768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.12 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 62cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21ec…5348backed Spirit | 46c | 2,158$993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,165.54 | 724 | 53.7%389 W · 335 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Team Falcons | 26c | 2,120$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.88 | 612 | 28.9%177 W · 435 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…0c5dbacked Spirit | 73c | 2,072$1,506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.41 | 171 | 48%82 W · 89 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked Spirit | 48c | 2,018$969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,049.53 | 535 | 45%241 W · 294 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9b…6df8backed Spirit | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,059.98 | 558 | 45.7%255 W · 303 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf67d…c986backed Spirit | 49c | 1,991$966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,024.81 | 111 | 33.3%37 W · 74 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Team Falcons | 51c | 1,987$1,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,013.13 | 467 | 49.7%232 W · 235 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77a3…0e3fbacked Spirit | 49c | 1,978$969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008.97 | 260 | 45%117 W · 143 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b74…b8abbacked Team Falcons | 42c | 1,872$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777.27 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.23per pick | 68cpaid | +29%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ca…6a8bbacked Team Falcons | 53c | 1,870$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991.35 | 752 | 45.5%342 W · 410 L | -21.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Team Falcons | 32c | 1,834$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.63 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1b…f0f9backed Spirit | 58c | 1,732$1,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.37 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +2.8wins | +0.16per pick | 31cpaid | +89.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe41f…d9dcbacked Spirit | 60c | 1,732$1,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$698.68 | 656 | 50.3%330 W · 326 L | -15.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…0bdabacked Team Falcons | 47c | 1,732$805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$805.36 | 180 | 49.4%89 W · 91 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Falcons | 34c | 1,723$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.22 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8120…54c9backed Team Falcons | 27c | 1,666$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.52 | 208 | 38%79 W · 129 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4912…b76fbacked Team Falcons | 53c | 1,535$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$813.56 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e9…a86ebacked Spirit | 69c | 1,423$981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.52 | 193 | 55.4%107 W · 86 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Spirit | 55c | 1,328$736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.92 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Spirit | 65c | 1,305$849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.48 | 265 | 49.1%130 W · 135 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87ce…212abacked Team Falcons | 31c | 1,303$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.4 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xffad…1e0fbacked Team Falcons | 52c | 1,302$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678.94 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.30per pick | 41cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9a…3f5fbacked Spirit | 49c | 1,285$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655 | 236 | 53.4%126 W · 110 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe80c…f3e6backed Spirit | 48c | 1,259$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.72 | 419 | 38.9%163 W · 256 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde1f…d634backed Team Falcons | 46c | 1,241$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.01 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ec…7307backed Spirit | 67c | 1,224$818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.24 | 132 | 67.4%89 W · 43 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f93…bffabacked Spirit | 53c | 1,128$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.07 | 789 | 63.8%503 W · 286 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Team Falcons | 30c | 1,103$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.12 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf6fd…1128backed Spirit | 58c | 1,101$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.92 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c38…91b7backed Team Falcons | 12c | 1,087$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.01 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e5…d034backed Team Falcons | 48c | 1,057$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.6 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4449…5095backed Spirit | 49c | 1,057$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.09 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0caf…91adbacked Spirit | 71c | 1,038$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.99 | 124 | 65.3%81 W · 43 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Spirit | 48c | 1,014$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.15 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Team Falcons | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe262…4097backed Team Falcons | 48c | 999.99$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…6e77backed Team Falcons | 51c | 999.99$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.99 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…b3d2backed Team Falcons | 51c | 999.98$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.99 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c3…1ab9backed Team Falcons | 54c | 994.01$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.75 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ef…c822backed Spirit | 64c | 989.25$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.76 | 153 | 73.2%112 W · 41 L | +18.5wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Team Falcons | 43c | 988.3$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.97 | 454 | 55.1%250 W · 204 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…420cbacked Spirit | 51c | 985$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.5 | 101 | 53.5%54 W · 47 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8061…a32bbacked Team Falcons | 49c | 974.41$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.14 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -36%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ba…621fbacked Spirit | 50c | 970$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485 | 190 | 43.7%83 W · 107 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bae…885abacked Spirit | 49c | 969.4$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.39 | 276 | 58%160 W · 116 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe843…0699backed Team Falcons | 29c | 960$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.24 | 101 | 33.7%34 W · 67 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c93…33d5backed Team Falcons | 43c | 949.94$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.47 | 484 | 37.6%182 W · 302 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +42%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x994d…3d8dbacked Team Falcons | 40c | 900$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357 | 528 | 34.3%181 W · 347 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97ea…3363backed Team Falcons | 45c | 882.98$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.38 | 133 | 57.1%76 W · 57 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Spirit | 56c | 881.97$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.77 | 1,109 | 50.5%560 W · 549 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc6f…f0f0backed Spirit | 67c | 877.86$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.74 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf56c…fcbdbacked Spirit | 52c | 868.65$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.95 | 354 | 49.7%176 W · 178 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdca…66ebbacked Team Falcons | 34c | 846.21$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.13 | 284 | 43.7%124 W · 160 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd0…c5aebacked Team Falcons | 3c | 840$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 92 | 4.3%4 W · 88 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Team Falcons | 43c | 793.92$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.98 | 817 | 51.7%422 W · 395 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Spirit | 69c | 788.98$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.89 | 608 | 48%292 W · 316 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Team Falcons | 50c | 776.24$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388 | 374 | 45.7%171 W · 203 L | -29.6wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ac…5e19backed Spirit | 62c | 756.53$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.45 | 214 | 60.3%129 W · 85 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Spirit | 56c | 732.15$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.14 | 402 | 53.7%216 W · 186 L | +25.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x62d6…90dfbacked Spirit | 59c | 722.46$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.21 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…d3ebbacked Spirit | 49c | 707.66$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.91 | 314 | 51.6%162 W · 152 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd752…85d4backed Spirit | 52c | 693.98$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.69 | 368 | 37.5%138 W · 230 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Team Falcons | 51c | 684.37$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.87 | 1,038 | 39.9%414 W · 624 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Rio PlayoffsSpirit won
- Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit - Map 2 WinnerSpirit won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Spirit (+1.5)Spirit won
- Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Team Falcons (+1.5)Spirit won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.