TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc6c3…1ab9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
76
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Lol, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 55 out of 100; worst NBA at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT3375.8%25 W · 8 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick68cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$488Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$312
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$450Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$158.11
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$410Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+30.3%+$124.27
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,845Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,844.59
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$32
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$2,045Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+45.3%+$925.59
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+39.8%+$79.57
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$777Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+45.8%+$356.04
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,893Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+46.3%+$876.8
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,293Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$666.13
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,675Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+32.5%+$543.59
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,973Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+29.7%+$585.08
LoL: Ultra Prime vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$128.29
LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$295Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+41.2%+$121.56
LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$839Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+43.7%+$366.89
LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$105.43
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$244Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$244.15
LoL: Dplus KIA vs DN SOOPers - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,975Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$524.95
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$684Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+60.4%+$413.52
LoL: T1 vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,086Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+51.6%+$560.85
LoL: Top Esports vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 1 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$296Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+31.8%+$93.96
LoL: Shifters vs Fnatic - Game 2 Winnerbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$6.26
LoL: JD Gaming vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$42.09
LoL: Oh My God vs LNG Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$984Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+37%+$364.05
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT1643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-28.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 214.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$124
Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.35
Hawks vs. Knicks: O/U 214.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+60.8%+$103.17
Hawks vs. Knicks: O/U 212.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+42.6%+$12.77
76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 213.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$104
76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 215.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 214.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
Thunder vs. Suns: O/U 213.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$822Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+82.3%+$676.45
Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 213.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.35
Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 214.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.95
Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 215.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.27
Lakers vs. Rockets: O/U 206.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$331Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+67.2%+$222
Lakers vs. Rockets: O/U 205.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$181Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+90.1%+$163.33
Lakers vs. Rockets: O/U 205.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$478Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+78.5%+$374.6
Knicks vs. Hawks: O/U 214.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+25%+$19.95
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$395Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$394.54
All 16 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT1464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick63cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group Abacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$629Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$629
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs GamerLegion (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group Bbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs GamerLegion - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,140Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+52.4%+$597.06
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality (BO5) - IEM Rio Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$265Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$264.89
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$38.03
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+26.2%+$44.02
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$302Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+112.2%+$339.21
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$810Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$809.68
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$535Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$534.75
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,464Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$412.81
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$947Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$332.73
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$970Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$499.6
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$253Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+35.4%+$89.73
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$8,976Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+44.1%+$3,960.78
All 14 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-57.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Southampton FC (-1.5)backed Southampton FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.64
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$194.72
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$3,119Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+27.9%+$868.96
All 3 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,957Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,956.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-04-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,509Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$616.46
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.