TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs T1 - Game 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
T1of Nongshim Red Force, T1
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$563,512
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$694,448

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $563,512 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 400 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6ce5…02b3backed Nongshim Red Force1c40,481$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.911050%0 W · 105 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3af1…d739backed Nongshim Red Force34c34,352$11,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,679.6851146.8%239 W · 272 L+14.0wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4c8…cf96backed Nongshim Red Force0c18,632$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.837341.1%30 W · 43 L+6.7wins+0.09per pick32cpaid-15.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe361…ae44backed T168c16,195$10,977 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,218.4689347%420 W · 473 L+44.2wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-7.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1da9…13ecbacked Nongshim Red Force15c15,926$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4002343.5%10 W · 13 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick39cpaid-6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed Nongshim Red Force34c14,511$4,877 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,877.4653750.5%271 W · 266 L+14.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3ac…88c9backed Nongshim Red Force45c14,164$6,420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,419.883551.4%18 W · 17 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x08c5…4d1fbacked T164c10,000$6,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,599.991968.4%13 W · 6 L+3.0wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+19%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed T167c9,917$6,599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,317.471,82745.6%834 W · 993 L+26.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Nongshim Red Force31c9,301$2,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,899.533,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9770…0ff5backed T166c8,345$5,490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,854.4459450.2%298 W · 296 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5038…6236backed T168c8,292$5,639 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,653.4411643.1%50 W · 66 L-0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2518…254fbacked T161c8,000$4,889 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,111.0953355%293 W · 240 L+23.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x01e6…e7e0backed Nongshim Red Force38c7,399$2,803 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,802.5148149.7%239 W · 242 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b49…04a8backed T169c7,211$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,210.8739964.4%257 W · 142 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked T159c7,198$4,262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,935.91,59842.4%677 W · 921 L-17.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd425…bf47backed Nongshim Red Force6c6,971$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.558551.8%44 W · 41 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x124e…6802backed T169c6,862$4,764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,097.8516254.9%89 W · 73 L-9.6wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-16.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x634a…6de3backed Nongshim Red Force31c6,508$2,016 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,016.288746%40 W · 47 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+22.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7600…4478backed Nongshim Red Force34c6,356$2,169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,169.0331036.1%112 W · 198 L-18.3wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-17.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x97fd…3313backed T167c6,103$4,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,00317133.9%58 W · 113 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2e4…bf9dbacked T166c6,093$4,051 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,042.0767552.4%354 W · 321 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked T154c5,761$3,119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,642.041,00342.5%426 W · 577 L-24.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked T169c5,500$3,795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7051,09252.4%572 W · 520 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed T157c5,304$3,046 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,257.0785442.7%365 W · 489 L-14.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x663d…2dd4backed T159c5,240$3,078 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,161.5117155%94 W · 77 L+16.0wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+10.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2f74…de0cbacked T159c5,000$2,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0502365.2%15 W · 8 L+2.7wins+0.12per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcd48…2e1abacked Nongshim Red Force24c5,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2002832.1%9 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-28.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6dd…40cebacked Nongshim Red Force55c4,527$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5004339.5%17 W · 26 L-4.9wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-34.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7430…3af2backed Nongshim Red Force31c4,276$1,339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,339.4510353.4%55 W · 48 L+9.4wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+12.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed T165c3,859$2,491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,367.811,94048.1%934 W · 1,006 L+22.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fc3…6c57backed Nongshim Red Force25c3,580$881 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$881.474963.3%31 W · 18 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+14.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5809…9868backed Nongshim Red Force15c3,400$517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51797427.8%271 W · 703 L-23.1wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-28.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8705…edbabacked T161c3,185$1,941 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,244.3642941.5%178 W · 251 L-24.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-20%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed T155c3,000$1,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3601,20054.1%649 W · 551 L+28.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Nongshim Red Force32c3,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96057246%263 W · 309 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae5e…13bebacked Nongshim Red Force31c2,803$869 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$869.0849541.6%206 W · 289 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3d2…fe85backed Nongshim Red Force32c2,600$832 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83215543.9%68 W · 87 L+0.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid+5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc6f…f0f0backed T175c2,530$1,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$629.7329846.6%139 W · 159 L-19.7wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x44d9…01e3backed T169c2,500$1,725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7752360.9%14 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3414…067abacked Nongshim Red Force30c2,450$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$734.9277131.8%245 W · 526 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd621…b9efbacked Nongshim Red Force1c2,400$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2225241.3%104 W · 148 L+16.3wins+0.06per pick35cpaid-20.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0bb8…aa5fbacked Nongshim Red Force1c2,400$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.52261.8%4 W · 222 L-0.5wins0.00per pick2cpaid-29.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc72…cd13backed Nongshim Red Force9c2,100$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.7514038.6%54 W · 86 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed T157c2,100$1,197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9031,06747%502 W · 565 L+3.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Nongshim Red Force11c2,056$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.942,36232%755 W · 1,607 L+42.0wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1032…c372backed Nongshim Red Force43c2,028$872 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$871.994932.7%16 W · 33 L-4.5wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe4da…1772backed T168c2,000$1,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64057945.9%266 W · 313 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa97f…a818backed Nongshim Red Force35c2,000$705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70532844.2%145 W · 183 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x25a9…7076backed Nongshim Red Force35c1,984$704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$704.2516844.6%75 W · 93 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Nongshim Red Force14c1,795$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.181,59234%541 W · 1,051 L-79.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-32.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb635…bef0backed Nongshim Red Force37c1,712$639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$639.1385836.2%311 W · 547 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1090…3ad3backed T164c1,700$1,082 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61811243.8%49 W · 63 L-7.6wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-18%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2aa5…ff32backed T166c1,628$1,077 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$550.21,22549.6%607 W · 618 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdca…66ebbacked T161c1,586$964 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$621.596057.4%551 W · 409 L+22.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed T158c1,552$906 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$645.5374250.5%375 W · 367 L-1.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2761…4d95backed Nongshim Red Force39c1,539$602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602.0150749.7%252 W · 255 L+14.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed Nongshim Red Force31c1,535$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474.671,24242.6%529 W · 713 L-18.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x92d8…0924backed Nongshim Red Force31c1,500$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46523439.7%93 W · 141 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9678…b4bfbacked Nongshim Red Force1c1,500$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122323.9%9 W · 223 L+0.3wins0.00per pick4cpaid-25.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcba9…555ebacked Nongshim Red Force32c1,500$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48517354.3%94 W · 79 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xea58…930fbacked T165c1,440$936 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504.271,21644.4%540 W · 676 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed T168c1,437$972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$465.2399338.6%383 W · 610 L-21.3wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-19.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x19b6…ad8ebacked Nongshim Red Force38c1,430$543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$543.446637.6%175 W · 291 L-19.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked T160c1,402$847 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$554.5320348.8%99 W · 104 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Nongshim Red Force36c1,358$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.5813936%50 W · 89 L-0.5wins0.00per pick36cpaid-23.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x802b…7d57backed Nongshim Red Force32c1,338$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42817041.8%71 W · 99 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e44…21bcbacked T175c1,321$986 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.5430357.1%173 W · 130 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7553…65cabacked T169c1,315$905 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410.167250.9%342 W · 330 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe80e…a4c5backed Nongshim Red Force34c1,304$446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445.9218442.4%78 W · 106 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-25.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2aa1…c691backed Nongshim Red Force41c1,300$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53319839.9%79 W · 119 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Nongshim Red Force32c1,297$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$417.7760347.9%289 W · 314 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13b4…f4d9backed T162c1,287$798 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488.7626062.7%163 W · 97 L+9.7wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd93b…cd48backed Nongshim Red Force31c1,283$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.7332939.8%131 W · 198 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaea5…6163backed Nongshim Red Force35c1,220$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42745366%299 W · 154 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82bf…de71backed Nongshim Red Force42c1,200$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.0375342.5%320 W · 433 L-14.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6c3…1ab9backed T169c1,133$777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.043375.8%25 W · 8 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick68cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe308…25cdbacked Nongshim Red Force32c1,132$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.2366437.2%247 W · 417 L-12.8wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcbd2…f8a0backed T169c1,087$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.968560%51 W · 34 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+5.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf859…a183backed T165c1,000$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3501,21352.3%635 W · 578 L+33.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc98f…a13fbacked Nongshim Red Force2c1,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201487.4%11 W · 137 L+0.3wins0.00per pick7cpaid+5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5c3…1f5fbacked Nongshim Red Force43c1,000$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43079653.1%423 W · 373 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5966…af5dbacked Nongshim Red Force28c999.99$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28011753%62 W · 55 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8804…a3a7backed Nongshim Red Force40c996.73$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40015450%77 W · 77 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfcf3…f535backed T164c994.46$636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.015846.6%27 W · 31 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5cf…8cc5backed T169c970.97$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3011,18044.5%525 W · 655 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d5a…4289backed T164c937.49$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.7944451.8%230 W · 214 L+9.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf27…026fbacked T169c863.61$596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.7221765.4%142 W · 75 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3865…fcbebacked Nongshim Red Force39c822.38$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.7338850.8%197 W · 191 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6628…05aebacked Nongshim Red Force31c820$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.232036.9%118 W · 202 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x68a6…e96bbacked T168c800$544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2561,21848.7%593 W · 625 L+0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed T165c799.99$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2801,43557.4%824 W · 611 L+36.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d8e…b551backed T175c796.41$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.416460.9%39 W · 25 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+11.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d6a…26f7backed Nongshim Red Force40c792.94$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.493237.5%12 W · 20 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-31.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8e3f…6941backed Nongshim Red Force39c789$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.7139447.2%186 W · 208 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3445…d229backed Nongshim Red Force3c784.16$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.525833.6%21 W · 562 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick3cpaid+178.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed T168c782.63$535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.3586144.1%380 W · 481 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ced…0feebacked T165c763.17$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.1776955%423 W · 346 L-13.9wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d29…8e90backed T167c730$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.919559%115 W · 80 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Nongshim Red Force31c727.99$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.7135243.2%152 W · 200 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.