TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Nongshim Red Force (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
T1of T1, Nongshim Red Force
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$154,667
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$166,628

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $154,667 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 171 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfbf3…b218backed T149c38,744$18,985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,759.4927735.7%99 W · 178 L-12.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-4.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed T149c37,773$18,508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,264.731,82745.6%834 W · 993 L+26.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9770…0ff5backed Nongshim Red Force51c30,000$15,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,30059450.2%298 W · 296 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8996…fbcebacked T148c15,539$7,459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,080.11442.9%6 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.13per pick30cpaid+54.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed Nongshim Red Force52c11,111$5,778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,777.7253750.5%271 W · 266 L+14.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x509d…0a6bbacked Nongshim Red Force52c9,455$4,956 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,955.9367056.9%381 W · 289 L+17.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked T148c8,749$4,199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,549.456861.8%42 W · 26 L+8.7wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+26.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1f03…b1bebacked Nongshim Red Force51c7,000$3,570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,5701,13252.5%594 W · 538 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d2e…896dbacked Nongshim Red Force52c6,730$3,474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,473.6633838.2%129 W · 209 L-21.4wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-17.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb2fe…7558backed Nongshim Red Force52c5,996$3,116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,1165234.6%18 W · 34 L-5.9wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-32.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x7600…4478backed Nongshim Red Force50c4,889$2,444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,444.4131036.1%112 W · 198 L-18.3wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-17.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa048…dd23backed T149c4,750$2,327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,422.4813135.1%46 W · 85 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b9b…3de2backed Nongshim Red Force52c3,080$1,592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,592.486936.2%25 W · 44 L-4.7wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-21.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed T149c2,974$1,457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,516.9291854%496 W · 422 L-1.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x76b4…ca9bbacked T148c2,500$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,30044550.1%223 W · 222 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ba8…d72bbacked T147c2,200$1,034 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,16617659.7%105 W · 71 L+10.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf4cd…a898backed T148c2,090$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,089.753767.6%25 W · 12 L+6.6wins+0.18per pick50cpaid+31.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x58ce…f916backed T149c1,961$969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$991.518041.3%33 W · 47 L-6.2wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-13.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Nongshim Red Force51c1,956$998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$997.511,36837.7%516 W · 852 L-6.8wins0.00per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Nongshim Red Force51c1,715$874 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$874.447338.4%28 W · 45 L-6.8wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-23.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd3d2…fe85backed Nongshim Red Force52c1,502$781 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$781.0915543.9%68 W · 87 L+0.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid+5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc49b…70c0backed T149c1,500$735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7651560%9 W · 6 L+3.0wins+0.20per pick40cpaid+52.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed T150c1,400$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70086144.1%380 W · 481 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Nongshim Red Force52c1,200$618 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61864749.9%323 W · 324 L-24.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa557…6e77backed T149c1,200$588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61224147.3%114 W · 127 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e32…ab65backed Nongshim Red Force51c1,115$569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$568.832,15653.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed T149c1,020$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.411,30838.6%505 W · 803 L-64.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Nongshim Red Force51c1,017$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.871,79451.1%917 W · 877 L+50.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a2c…5172backed T150c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50043640.6%177 W · 259 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x73da…b7acbacked T145c999.99$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$549.9932457.7%187 W · 137 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Nongshim Red Force50c885.15$443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442.5812754.3%69 W · 58 L+8.6wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Nongshim Red Force52c800$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41643539.5%172 W · 263 L-24.9wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed T147c799.99$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4241,15645.1%521 W · 635 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f30…3aeebacked Nongshim Red Force53c684.4$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.7314848.6%72 W · 76 L-13.8wins-0.09per pick58cpaid-18.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa2e4…bf9dbacked T149c636.41$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.9867552.4%354 W · 321 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b39…7fbcbacked T149c610$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.19750.5%49 W · 48 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4da…1772backed Nongshim Red Force51c606.78$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.4657945.9%266 W · 313 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93f4…ea90backed Nongshim Red Force51c599.26$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.721,11049%544 W · 566 L+42.0wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d85…f4e0backed Nongshim Red Force52c590$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.864247.4%304 W · 338 L+24.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd425…bf47backed Nongshim Red Force35c570.48$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008551.8%44 W · 41 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xda4a…1c05backed Nongshim Red Force51c565$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.153030%9 W · 21 L-4.0wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-43.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x847e…3c43backed T149c530$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.324656.1%138 W · 108 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Nongshim Red Force54c500$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2702,49547.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L-32.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39fd…5a3fbacked T149c500$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25526360.1%158 W · 105 L+1.1wins0.00per pick60cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed T149c500$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25529952.2%156 W · 143 L+13.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked Nongshim Red Force51c500$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2551,48550.1%744 W · 741 L+67.0wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+5.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8a21…ba51backed T149c497.06$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.062646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-13.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8217…1a98backed Nongshim Red Force51c490$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.91520%3 W · 12 L-2.9wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-64.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa467…587dbacked T150c434$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2171752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb503…7552backed T150c423.18$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.1816346.6%76 W · 87 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b0a…fe3abacked T150c414$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2079738.1%37 W · 60 L-6.9wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd121…50c8backed T149c408.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.1611753%62 W · 55 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2aa5…ff32backed T147c397.84$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.471,22549.6%607 W · 618 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7253…0558backed Nongshim Red Force52c384.62$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20018236.8%67 W · 115 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Nongshim Red Force53c377.36$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20028652.8%151 W · 135 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8106…bd36backed T149c373.47$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.471643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-28.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x642c…21a7backed T164c371.83$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.8635054.6%191 W · 159 L+12.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c4b…8a81backed Nongshim Red Force51c353.71$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.3921249.1%104 W · 108 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa668…f0f1backed T150c350$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1752646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe94c…1edebacked T149c347.39$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.1714154.6%77 W · 64 L+7.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+18.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0bae…cec4backed Nongshim Red Force54c333.79$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1806451.6%33 W · 31 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+22.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Nongshim Red Force51c317.82$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.0959248.3%286 W · 306 L+15.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x045d…185dbacked T155c302.36$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.8163458.4%370 W · 264 L+9.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked T148c300$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15686649.7%430 W · 436 L+18.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked Nongshim Red Force50c261.48$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.741,60948.4%779 W · 830 L+24.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff16…804ebacked T150c261.18$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.1813849.3%68 W · 70 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xadf4…997abacked T149c254.95$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.032142.9%9 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5df7…3d27backed T150c249.76$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.889537.9%36 W · 59 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-17.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked Nongshim Red Force52c227.56$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.3330255.6%168 W · 134 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87e5…74f7backed Nongshim Red Force52c220$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.412042.5%51 W · 69 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ddd…1fc8backed Nongshim Red Force47c218.83$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1039259.8%55 W · 37 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b0b…612abacked T147c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.7744046.4%204 W · 236 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4b2…4ab2backed T155c208.54$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.466445.6%303 W · 361 L+14.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c14…d8fbbacked T150c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1007954.4%43 W · 36 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Nongshim Red Force51c197.99$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.7960849.5%301 W · 307 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x500f…4c28backed Nongshim Red Force51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10018849.5%93 W · 95 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x17cb…edaabacked Nongshim Red Force51c194.12$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$996750.7%34 W · 33 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Nongshim Red Force45c186.56$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.392,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked T153c152$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.21,23937.3%462 W · 777 L-39.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-27%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x72be…c534backed Nongshim Red Force53c132.08$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701,11435%390 W · 724 L+14.3wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87ed…b497backed Nongshim Red Force51c129$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.7939056.4%220 W · 170 L+9.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Nongshim Red Force51c119.16$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.361,59946.8%748 W · 851 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdded…13a2backed Nongshim Red Force51c111.53$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.8814450.7%73 W · 71 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdacb…c4fabacked Nongshim Red Force31c108.85$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.742045%9 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+68.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a61…bbb2backed T149c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.0432142.1%135 W · 186 L+9.8wins+0.03per pick39cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbbdd…cd9dbacked T149c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.0422562.2%140 W · 85 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe2c5…b9b6backed Nongshim Red Force52c101.92$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531723.5%4 W · 13 L-3.4wins-0.20per pick44cpaid-64.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed T150c100.82$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.8292342.7%394 W · 529 L-16.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6cd…e027backed T149c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5144738%170 W · 277 L+2.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2fb…e28fbacked T169c100$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311050%5 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7c1…3e0bbacked Nongshim Red Force51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5163646.9%298 W · 338 L-19.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe59…0d2ebacked Nongshim Red Force51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5160538.8%235 W · 370 L-1.5wins0.00per pick39cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36a0…436dbacked T157c99.99$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4347738.6%184 W · 293 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4f3…999fbacked T141c99.99$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$595538.2%21 W · 34 L-5.8wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-30.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2091…b4f8backed Nongshim Red Force51c99.99$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.991,17547.4%557 W · 618 L+42.9wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked T153c99.1$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.914338.5%55 W · 88 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Nongshim Red Force45c98.42$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.9449847.2%235 W · 263 L-14.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc46e…9ed8backed Nongshim Red Force51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505435.2%19 W · 35 L-4.9wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-21.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd0e3…99a1backed Nongshim Red Force51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509363.4%59 W · 34 L+13.0wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+23.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x3b5d…3e6fbacked Nongshim Red Force51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502548%12 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-18%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.