TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x36a0…436d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
531
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: World Politics, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category World Politics at 55 out of 100; worst Premier League at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT47738.6%184 W · 293 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 477 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.37
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$134.35
LoL: Kaufland Hangry Knights vs Team Orange Gaming (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Seasonbacked Team Orange Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.1
LoL: G2 NORD vs Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Seasonbacked Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$81.4
LoL: ROSSMANN Centaurs vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Seasonbacked ROSSMANN Centaurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.5
LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$64
LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+101.4%+$140.9
LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+203%+$67
LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
LoL: LYON vs Team Secret Whales - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.7
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs G2 Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$52.5
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$114.51
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 4 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$195
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.4
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports - Game 4 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$168
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.1
Game Handicap: HLE (-2.5) vs Team Secret Whales (+2.5)backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+37%+$56.7
LoL: Kaufland Hangry Knights vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Seasonbacked Kaufland Hangry Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$138.49
LoL: Eintracht Frankfurt vs ROSSMANN Centaurs (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Seasonbacked Eintracht Frankfurt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.3
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.3
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$62.7
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$137.64
Showing 25 of 477 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST1833.3%6 W · 12 L+2.1wins+0.12per pick22cpaid-23.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
World Politics — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Catalin Drula be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$113.78
Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$778Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT+215.6%+$1,676.59
Will Crin Antonescu win the Romanian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$3,499Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT+189.4%+$6,628.77
Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$5,483Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$5,482.91
Will Călin Georgescu advance to the Romanian Presidential Election Runoff?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,190Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT+37.2%+$442.84
Will Marcel Ciolacu advance to the Romanian Presidential Election Runoff?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$25
Will Mircea Geoană advance to the Romanian Presidential Election Runoff?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$44
Will Elena Lasconi advance to the Romanian Presidential Election Runoff?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$220
Will Jan Topić win the 2025 Ecuadorian Presidential Election? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.42
Will the AfD win over 30% of the vote in the German election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$35.7
Will the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$392Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT+168.4%+$660.66
Will the AfD win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$116.17
Will CDU/CSU win the second most seats in the next German election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2025, EST-100%-$15.85
Will AfD win the most seats in the next German election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2025, EST-100%-$309.66
Will USR win the most seats in the Romanian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$311Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2024, EST-100%-$311.04
Will another party win the most seats in the Romanian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2024, EST-100%-$146.61
Will AUR win the most seats in the Romanian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$519Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2024, EST-100%-$518.64
All 18 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2025, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+113.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-36.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2025, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+18.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick38cpaid+67.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 28, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bangladesh vs. Afghanistan end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$52.95
Will Denmark beat Serbia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2024, EST-100%-$11.88
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will West Ham win on 2025-01-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2025, EST-100%-$132
Will Manchester City win on 2025-01-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2025, EST-100%-$118
All 2 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Dogecoin reach $0.50 before December?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST+78.6%+$14.52
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trae Young lead the NBA in Assists?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$24
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bitcoin all time high by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$647Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$647.03
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 'Sonic 3' gross between $64-72m on 3-day opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$354Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2024, EST-100%-$353.71
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$23.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Space Inactivelast resolved Nov 19, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Space — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX's Super Heavy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2024, EST-100%-$225
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.