World Politics · resolved market
Will Elena Lasconi advance to the Romanian Presidential Election Runoff?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf4746562dfd2c322970b34c80626a2af289827e4e5728e0c162e9aa383031823
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $338,744
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $373,018
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $338,744 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 184 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb5b8…f0cbbacked No | 78c | 25,744$20,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,637.28 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9524…86cfbacked Yes | 14c | 13,338$1,881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,881.14 | 86 | 32.6%28 W · 58 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd0…bc3dbacked Yes | 13c | 10,519$1,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,394.6 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb747…b050backed Yes | 16c | 10,487$1,643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,642.82 | 112 | 47.3%53 W · 59 L | +9.7wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x585b…753fbacked Yes | 12c | 9,025$1,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,084.04 | 52 | 26.9%14 W · 38 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9196…c311backed Yes | 31c | 8,486$2,592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,592.17 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x516d…03e5backed Yes | 16c | 7,909$1,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,229.93 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62cf…5826backed No | 80c | 7,584$6,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,541.83 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x87d3…0e8bbacked Yes | 1c | 7,500$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 42 | 21.4%9 W · 33 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 13cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x95ab…4ecbbacked Yes | 42c | 5,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,099.99 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…d08cbacked Yes | 21c | 4,976$1,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,044.88 | 69 | 30.4%21 W · 48 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed No | 67c | 4,195$2,821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,373.94 | 97 | 21.6%21 W · 76 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3474…0571backed Yes | 7c | 3,501$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.6 | 200 | 34%68 W · 132 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce8f…4400backed Yes | 66c | 3,286$2,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,162.38 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4527…005abacked No | 73c | 3,131$2,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855.93 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd566…3e2dbacked Yes | 12c | 2,650$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0537…5b0fbacked Yes | 9c | 2,649$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.82 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -43%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dbc…6085backed Yes | 11c | 2,537$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.61 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +3.1wins | +0.35per pick | 43cpaid | +65.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yes | 16c | 2,019$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.06 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…4ef5backed Yes | 13c | 2,001$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.14 | 37 | 16.2%6 W · 31 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -62%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9f86…54d6backed Yes | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 14c | 1,986$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.96 | 206 | 14.6%30 W · 176 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60b2…3ccebacked No | 79c | 1,922$1,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.03 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 9c | 1,832$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.42 | 190 | 27.9%53 W · 137 L | +14.5wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +53%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xccf2…41b7backed No | 47c | 1,666$776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$890.13 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6285…e0d0backed Yes | 1c | 1,592$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.3 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 1c | 1,524$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 134 | 4.5%6 W · 128 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6518…f798backed Yes | 20c | 1,470$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.3 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 14c | 1,457$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.05 | 576 | 36.3%209 W · 367 L | -27.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ee…1530backed Yes | 4c | 1,405$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 1c | 1,333$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.35 | 452 | 1.1%5 W · 447 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 0cpaid | +156.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed Yes | 17c | 1,169$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.77 | 232 | 25%58 W · 174 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d0…4e7dbacked Yes | 16c | 1,131$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.1 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc900…4faebacked Yes | 8c | 1,127$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.64 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 12c | 1,046$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.96 | 1,022 | 28%286 W · 736 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc80…2bc1backed Yes | 7c | 1,000$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 81 | 23.5%19 W · 62 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 16cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1faf…1a11backed Yes | 5c | 965.27$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3de7…bbb8backed Yes | 1c | 886.87$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 25 | 4%1 W · 24 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 16cpaid | -89.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Yes | 14c | 828.03$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.54 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa88d…221cbacked Yes | 14c | 784$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.76 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Yes | 45c | 744.7$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.66 | 29 | 0%0 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0631…404bbacked Yes | 5c | 713.65$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc4…2d40backed No | 47c | 704.96$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.08 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2459…8d76backed Yes | 51c | 694.53$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.32 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfad4…a210backed Yes | 50c | 693.16$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.25 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdba…aa96backed Yes | 10c | 629.66$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa228…fbbfbacked No | 43c | 573.85$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.48 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c16…df3abacked Yes | 42c | 555$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.85 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42a6…1b64backed Yes | 9c | 504.2$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.38 | 51 | 23.5%12 W · 39 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf720…4599backed Yes | 12c | 503.19$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.6 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbee0…7044backed Yes | 10c | 501.52$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3835…7f72backed Yes | 4c | 500.28$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…2387backed Yes | 12c | 500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 123 | 32.5%40 W · 83 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36a0…436dbacked No | 56c | 500$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba68…ce61backed Yes | 51c | 492.95$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.41 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc2a…97aabacked No | 73c | 486.23$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.62 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd47a…64b0backed Yes | 11c | 464.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.62 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa554…ab62backed No | 64c | 435.95$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.28 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…d21abacked Yes | 23c | 413.04$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.55 | 78 | 6.4%5 W · 73 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -77.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8bf…d806backed Yes | 17c | 410.86$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.66 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ff…6e4dbacked Yes | 4c | 400$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61c4…6d7fbacked No | 75c | 389.69$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.52 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b6…0581backed No | 54c | 388.91$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.75 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 67c | 356.77$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.42 | 1,318 | 43.9%579 W · 739 L | -26.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x879b…2f18backed Yes | 46c | 350$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe484…a143backed Yes | 21c | 342.44$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.8 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9127…6ff3backed Yes | 12c | 329.07$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.37 | 73 | 31.5%23 W · 50 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf371…9812backed No | 39c | 328$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.37 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c30…e38ebacked Yes | 44c | 306.08$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf4d…e209backed No | 69c | 301.72$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.02 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 44cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed Yes | 9c | 300$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 322 | 55%177 W · 145 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes | 14c | 300$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 186 | 28.5%53 W · 133 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b87…274cbacked Yes | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Yes | 9c | 300$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 380 | 23.9%91 W · 289 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d0…4fe8backed No | 36c | 270$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.5 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb13…e09fbacked No | 59c | 263.36$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.36 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd705…6920backed No | 47c | 245.42$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.56 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.23per pick | 36cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf89e…1783backed No | 55c | 239.05$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.08 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +143%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01d0…4afdbacked Yes | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7ef…f0f7backed Yes | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa727…8289backed No | 50c | 231.12$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.56 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…fa04backed Yes | 57c | 222.18$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.64 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x421b…ac12backed Yes | 65c | 215$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.75 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +24%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2741…0865backed Yes | 14c | 213.03$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.58 | 131 | 18.3%24 W · 107 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x347a…83e3backed No | 79c | 210.69$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.24 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…7390backed Yes | 15c | 205.26$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a5e…3e95backed Yes | 52c | 199.98$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.99 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7a…4d23backed Yes | 10c | 189$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f8…4536backed Yes | 55c | 183.58$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…0220backed Yes | 63c | 162.84$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.68 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x600b…86edbacked Yes | 55c | 158.03$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed Yes | 17c | 157$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.27 | 152 | 37.5%57 W · 95 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9df…7f77backed Yes | 12c | 155.32$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.21 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 25cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5148…2188backed Yes | 24c | 154.17$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf7…575cbacked Yes | 11c | 152.27$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3de…e227backed Yes | 13c | 150$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 239 | 21.3%51 W · 188 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e7…21a8backed No | 54c | 150$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.66 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4cb…6c2abacked Yes | 55c | 145.5$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.5 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfc2…0b59backed No | 60c | 141.5$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.05 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53d2…a9d7backed Yes | 51c | 136.86$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Elena Lasconi advance to the Romanian Presidential Election Runoff?this page
- Will Anamaria Gavrilă advance to the Romanian Presidential Election Runoff?No won
- Will Crin Antonescu advance to the Romanian Presidential Election Runoff?No won
- Will Călin Georgescu advance to the Romanian Presidential Election Runoff?No won
- Will George Simion advance to the Romanian Presidential Election Runoff?Yes won
- Will John-Ion Banu-Muscel advance to the Romanian Presidential Election Runoff?No won
- Will Marcel Ciolacu advance to the Romanian Presidential Election Runoff?No won
- Will Marcela-Lavinia Șandru advance to the Romanian Presidential Election Runoff?No won
- Will Mircea Geoană advance to the Romanian Presidential Election Runoff?No won
- Will Nicolae Ciucă advance to the Romanian Presidential Election Runoff?No won
- Will Nicușor Dan advance to the Romanian Presidential Election Runoff?Yes won
- Will Silviu Predoiu advance to the Romanian Presidential Election Runoff?No won
- Will Victor Ponta advance to the Romanian Presidential Election Runoff?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.