TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

World Politics · resolved market

Will Elena Lasconi advance to the Romanian Presidential Election Runoff?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$338,744
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$373,018

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $338,744 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 184 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in World Politics
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb5b8…f0cbbacked No78c25,744$20,107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,637.281957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9524…86cfbacked Yes14c13,338$1,881 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,881.148632.6%28 W · 58 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+17.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0dd0…bc3dbacked Yes13c10,519$1,395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,394.62737%10 W · 17 L-0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb747…b050backed Yes16c10,487$1,643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,642.8211247.3%53 W · 59 L+9.7wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+2.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x585b…753fbacked Yes12c9,025$1,084 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,084.045226.9%14 W · 38 L-5.2wins-0.10per pick37cpaid-37.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9196…c311backed Yes31c8,486$2,592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,592.172722.2%6 W · 21 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-20.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x516d…03e5backed Yes16c7,909$1,230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,229.937254.2%39 W · 33 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x62cf…5826backed No80c7,584$6,043 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,541.833748.6%18 W · 19 L+3.5wins+0.10per pick39cpaid+15%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x87d3…0e8bbacked Yes1c7,500$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.54221.4%9 W · 33 L+3.7wins+0.09per pick13cpaid-3.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x95ab…4ecbbacked Yes42c5,000$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,099.991127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick40cpaid-50.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x768f…d08cbacked Yes21c4,976$1,045 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,044.886930.4%21 W · 48 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-20.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2370…0e10backed No67c4,195$2,821 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,373.949721.6%21 W · 76 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-51.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3474…0571backed Yes7c3,501$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.620034%68 W · 132 L+9.0wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xce8f…4400backed Yes66c3,286$2,162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,162.382147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+13.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4527…005abacked No73c3,131$2,276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$855.93742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-39.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd566…3e2dbacked Yes12c2,650$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3183315.2%5 W · 28 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick12cpaid-16.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0537…5b0fbacked Yes9c2,649$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.821520%3 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick20cpaid-43%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8dbc…6085backed Yes11c2,537$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.61977.8%7 W · 2 L+3.1wins+0.35per pick43cpaid+65.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Yes16c2,019$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.064042.5%17 W · 23 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid+23.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e5a…4ef5backed Yes13c2,001$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.143716.2%6 W · 31 L-4.2wins-0.11per pick28cpaid-62%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9f86…54d6backed Yes43c2,000$860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8601717.6%3 W · 14 L-2.1wins-0.12per pick30cpaid-45.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc390…28bdbacked Yes14c1,986$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.9620614.6%30 W · 176 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick13cpaid-18.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x60b2…3ccebacked No79c1,922$1,513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.035038%19 W · 31 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-23.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Yes9c1,832$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.4219027.9%53 W · 137 L+14.5wins+0.08per pick20cpaid+53%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xccf2…41b7backed No47c1,666$776 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$890.13650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6285…e0d0backed Yes1c1,592$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.330%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes1c1,524$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.011344.5%6 W · 128 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6518…f798backed Yes20c1,470$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.35429.6%16 W · 38 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-28.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed Yes14c1,457$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.0557636.3%209 W · 367 L-27.2wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-28.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd1ee…1530backed Yes4c1,405$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.4210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc613…662bbacked Yes1c1,333$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.354521.1%5 W · 447 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick0cpaid+156.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24c8…23e1backed Yes17c1,169$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.7723225%58 W · 174 L-0.7wins0.00per pick25cpaid-35.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe3d0…4e7dbacked Yes16c1,131$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.14027.5%11 W · 29 L-3.6wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-47.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc900…4faebacked Yes8c1,127$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.641533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-40.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes12c1,046$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.961,02228%286 W · 736 L+1.6wins0.00per pick28cpaid-34.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc80…2bc1backed Yes7c1,000$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$678123.5%19 W · 62 L+6.3wins+0.08per pick16cpaid+6.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1faf…1a11backed Yes5c965.27$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3de7…bbb8backed Yes1c886.87$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.58254%1 W · 24 L-2.9wins-0.12per pick16cpaid-89.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4aef…9337backed Yes14c828.03$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.541346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa88d…221cbacked Yes14c784$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.762429.2%7 W · 17 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick23cpaid+15.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe68a…5e25backed Yes45c744.7$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.66290%0 W · 29 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0631…404bbacked Yes5c713.65$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.530%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0bc4…2d40backed No47c704.96$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.081060%6 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+19.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2459…8d76backed Yes51c694.53$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.323030%9 W · 21 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-35.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfad4…a210backed Yes50c693.16$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.252927.6%8 W · 21 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick23cpaid-29.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbdba…aa96backed Yes10c629.66$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.7710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa228…fbbfbacked No43c573.85$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.48425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-41.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c16…df3abacked Yes42c555$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.855135.3%18 W · 33 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-34.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42a6…1b64backed Yes9c504.2$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.385123.5%12 W · 39 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick29cpaid-38.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf720…4599backed Yes12c503.19$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.63447.1%16 W · 18 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbee0…7044backed Yes10c501.52$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick16cpaid-61.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3835…7f72backed Yes4c500.28$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.51618.8%3 W · 13 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick18cpaid-52.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04dc…2387backed Yes12c500$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6012332.5%40 W · 83 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36a0…436dbacked No56c500$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2201833.3%6 W · 12 L+2.1wins+0.12per pick22cpaid-23.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xba68…ce61backed Yes51c492.95$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.41333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc2a…97aabacked No73c486.23$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.621546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-34.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd47a…64b0backed Yes11c464.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.62540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick35cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa554…ab62backed No64c435.95$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.281338.5%5 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-31.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18a7…d21abacked Yes23c413.04$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.55786.4%5 W · 73 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick9cpaid-77.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8bf…d806backed Yes17c410.86$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.664030%12 W · 28 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-30%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2ff…6e4dbacked Yes4c400$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4825%2 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-49.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x61c4…6d7fbacked No75c389.69$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.52475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+38.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe7b6…0581backed No54c388.91$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.75560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid-4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed No67c356.77$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.421,31843.9%579 W · 739 L-26.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x879b…2f18backed Yes46c350$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1612737%10 W · 17 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe484…a143backed Yes21c342.44$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.81127.3%3 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick23cpaid-30.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9127…6ff3backed Yes12c329.07$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.377331.5%23 W · 50 L0.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf371…9812backed No39c328$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.373619.4%7 W · 29 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick17cpaid-46.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c30…e38ebacked Yes44c306.08$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.0610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf4d…e209backed No69c301.72$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.02922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.22per pick44cpaid-68.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4959…a6f5backed Yes9c300$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2832255%177 W · 145 L+14.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes14c300$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4318628.5%53 W · 133 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-17.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b87…274cbacked Yes5c300$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-49.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcdbf…1926backed Yes9c300$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2638023.9%91 W · 289 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39d0…4fe8backed No36c270$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.511454.4%62 W · 52 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb13…e09fbacked No59c263.36$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.361637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-24.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd705…6920backed No47c245.42$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.561258.3%7 W · 5 L+2.7wins+0.23per pick36cpaid+10.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf89e…1783backed No55c239.05$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.084100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+143%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x01d0…4afdbacked Yes21c238.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5050%0 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa7ef…f0f7backed Yes21c238.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5050%0 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa727…8289backed No50c231.12$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.562828.6%8 W · 20 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-25.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d39…fa04backed Yes57c222.18$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.642846.4%13 W · 15 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x421b…ac12backed Yes65c215$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.755435.2%19 W · 35 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick30cpaid+24%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2741…0865backed Yes14c213.03$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.5813118.3%24 W · 107 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick24cpaid-36.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x347a…83e3backed No79c210.69$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.243129%9 W · 22 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-40.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbf3…7390backed Yes15c205.26$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick25cpaid-33.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a5e…3e95backed Yes52c199.98$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.991850%9 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-18%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa7a…4d23backed Yes10c189$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.842317.4%4 W · 19 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-15.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9f8…4536backed Yes55c183.58$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…0220backed Yes63c162.84$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.681822.2%4 W · 14 L-2.9wins-0.16per pick38cpaid-62.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x600b…86edbacked Yes55c158.03$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.3720%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x745a…64e8backed Yes17c157$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.2715237.5%57 W · 95 L+8.0wins+0.05per pick32cpaid-2.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf9df…7f77backed Yes12c155.32$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.21128.3%1 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.16per pick25cpaid-71.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5148…2188backed Yes24c154.17$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3710%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5cf7…575cbacked Yes11c152.27$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick32cpaid-17.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3de…e227backed Yes13c150$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1923921.3%51 W · 188 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick20cpaid+26.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7e7…21a8backed No54c150$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.661540%6 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.11per pick29cpaid-12.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa4cb…6c2abacked Yes55c145.5$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.550%0 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcfc2…0b59backed No60c141.5$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.056634.8%23 W · 43 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid+15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53d2…a9d7backed Yes51c136.86$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.