World Politics · resolved market
Will Călin Georgescu advance to the Romanian Presidential Election Runoff?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1f308d5009b7264e4f425417a8552fc08bd0939c9a73e74c03c8bc05242845a6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $876,876
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $942,875
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $876,876 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 298 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x088f…c9e7backed No | 75c | 130,122$98,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,052.19 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f72…83adbacked Yes | 28c | 52,484$14,839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,838.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -42%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3560…1b93backed No | 71c | 46,793$33,453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,340.55 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a9b…4d6cbacked Yes | 41c | 33,361$13,585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,584.65 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -72.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62cf…5826backed Yes | 23c | 27,717$6,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,334.17 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x95ab…4ecbbacked Yes | 26c | 24,082$6,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,351 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd47a…64b0backed Yes | 46c | 19,804$9,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,094.55 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfec7…1594backed No | 76c | 18,025$13,774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,250.38 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc822…c185backed No | 55c | 17,640$9,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,022.12 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed No | 66c | 14,270$9,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,792.3 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes | 0c | 12,140$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.14 | 412 | 1%4 W · 408 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 0cpaid | +171.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6139…6b7abacked Yes | 21c | 10,998$2,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,294.63 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +5.1wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0770…184bbacked No | 53c | 10,533$5,563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,970.36 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60b2…3ccebacked Yes | 25c | 10,077$2,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,554.09 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…ea5abacked Yes | 61c | 9,974$6,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,046 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 66cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x461a…4030backed No | 76c | 9,900$7,524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,376 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9196…c311backed No | 52c | 9,253$4,852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,400.87 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5869…df51backed Yes | 32c | 9,193$2,933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,933.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x585b…753fbacked Yes | 41c | 8,864$3,611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,611.38 | 52 | 26.9%14 W · 38 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 44c | 8,413$3,709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,709.12 | 278 | 28.1%78 W · 200 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87d3…0e8bbacked No | 64c | 6,900$4,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,491.72 | 42 | 21.4%9 W · 33 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 13cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Yes | 31c | 6,475$2,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,030.05 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 20c | 6,451$1,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,273.83 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb833…3ff7backed No | 60c | 6,130$3,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,460.18 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 17c | 5,975$1,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,021.76 | 206 | 14.6%30 W · 176 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00a6…9343backed Yes | 27c | 5,970$1,622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,621.8 | 62 | 25.8%16 W · 46 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 1c | 5,918$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.18 | 452 | 1.1%5 W · 447 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 0cpaid | +156.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c41…133ebacked Yes | 17c | 5,906$985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$984.81 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x516d…03e5backed Yes | 52c | 5,371$2,798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,798.03 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x440d…55e6backed No | 58c | 5,051$2,938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,112.95 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x421b…ac12backed Yes | 38c | 4,392$1,657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,656.79 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +24%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0537…5b0fbacked No | 62c | 4,282$2,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,618.1 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -43%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccf2…41b7backed No | 69c | 4,165$2,858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,307.86 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2459…8d76backed Yes | 19c | 3,714$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.73 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a65…acf4backed Yes | 16c | 3,704$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.28 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…eb03backed No | 60c | 3,571$2,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,429.96 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Yes | 25c | 3,570$889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$889.19 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -29%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3238…3291backed Yes | 61c | 3,551$2,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,178.74 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -5.6wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…58c7backed Yes | 2c | 3,493$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.25 | 66 | 22.7%15 W · 51 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b3…87b8backed Yes | 10c | 3,341$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.79 | 103 | 31.1%32 W · 71 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf27d…45b1backed No | 57c | 3,141$1,806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,335.91 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd705…6920backed No | 65c | 3,136$2,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,085.45 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.23per pick | 36cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x97d2…e372backed No | 72c | 3,100$2,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$876 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4b…3c6dbacked No | 73c | 2,991$2,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$807.61 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.6wins | +0.36per pick | 44cpaid | +66%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xca25…aecebacked Yes | 6c | 2,526$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac61…f5f7backed Yes | 50c | 2,437$1,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,223.96 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb9c…d01bbacked Yes | 62c | 2,357$1,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,462 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8341…de89backed Yes | 32c | 2,266$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735.72 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…4ef5backed Yes | 13c | 2,222$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.86 | 37 | 16.2%6 W · 31 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -62%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d83…5308backed Yes | 30c | 2,183$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f11…b63fbacked Yes | 21c | 2,157$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.52 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -63.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7d…ea2cbacked No | 79c | 2,000$1,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 38cpaid | +85%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 513 | 2.9%15 W · 498 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8795…7544backed Yes | 37c | 1,700$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631.6 | 93 | 34.4%32 W · 61 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2880…c098backed No | 73c | 1,641$1,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.39 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36a0…436dbacked No | 73c | 1,633$1,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.84 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc288…7d4fbacked No | 76c | 1,593$1,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.71 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7a…b5f7backed Yes | 33c | 1,500$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.5 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x952b…0c51backed No | 62c | 1,430$885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.61 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 46cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…3b8bbacked Yes | 29c | 1,359$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.64 | 45 | 17.8%8 W · 37 L | -4.3wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3cef…92e9backed Yes | 29c | 1,330$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67a7…86cebacked Yes | 2c | 1,329$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +252.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad63…21bcbacked No | 54c | 1,300$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.26 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4124…5827backed Yes | 35c | 1,226$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.86 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…7105backed Yes | 25c | 1,200$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…6a4cbacked Yes | 27c | 1,163$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.48 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -75.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88b5…205cbacked Yes | 25c | 1,150$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +4.2wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e7…21a8backed No | 76c | 1,060$809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.2 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 68c | 1,054$718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.73 | 1,318 | 43.9%579 W · 739 L | -26.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed Yes | 29c | 1,014$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.06 | 97 | 21.6%21 W · 76 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6b1…aaadbacked Yes | 43c | 999.99$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72e1…7d89backed Yes | 62c | 999.98$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.99 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x090c…378ebacked No | 78c | 986$771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.38 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf4d…e209backed Yes | 18c | 975.98$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.25 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 44cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb6…dc63backed No | 68c | 943.83$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb481…bb2cbacked Yes | 28c | 920$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.17 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab71…6f34backed Yes | 17c | 870$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd566…3e2dbacked No | 52c | 839.42$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.92 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6b…fba5backed Yes | 35c | 785.97$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.66 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfad4…a210backed Yes | 15c | 769.99$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.95 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc7…8f89backed Yes | 52c | 751.69$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.16 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 31c | 722.86$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.03 | 576 | 36.3%209 W · 367 L | -27.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09e2…29debacked Yes | 13c | 714$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.99 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1849…aca9backed No | 64c | 684.62$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.2 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.24per pick | 21cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0347…e0e5backed Yes | 18c | 684.08$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.19 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.24per pick | 35cpaid | -84.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Yes | 34c | 647.06$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7a…c585backed Yes | 25c | 641.04$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.5 | 74 | 24.3%18 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d57…bd62backed Yes | 21c | 575.75$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.57 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31ea…0140backed Yes | 52c | 570.52$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…2387backed Yes | 32c | 564.74$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.95 | 123 | 32.5%40 W · 83 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c16…df3abacked Yes | 23c | 555$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.65 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x198e…ede0backed Yes | 29c | 542$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.44 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ad…ff58backed Yes | 23c | 524.99$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.59 | 146 | 32.2%47 W · 99 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -35%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 20c | 521.47$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.9 | 1,022 | 28%286 W · 736 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d57…caeebacked No | 61c | 515.55$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.06 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Yes | 38c | 514.01$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.9 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb59…0a22backed Yes | 37c | 500$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf0…0245backed Yes | 15c | 500$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38cd…a557backed Yes | 40c | 500$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.24 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a88…ff2bbacked Yes | 17c | 500$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Călin Georgescu advance to the Romanian Presidential Election Runoff?this page
- Will Anamaria Gavrilă advance to the Romanian Presidential Election Runoff?No won
- Will Crin Antonescu advance to the Romanian Presidential Election Runoff?No won
- Will Elena Lasconi advance to the Romanian Presidential Election Runoff?No won
- Will George Simion advance to the Romanian Presidential Election Runoff?Yes won
- Will John-Ion Banu-Muscel advance to the Romanian Presidential Election Runoff?No won
- Will Marcel Ciolacu advance to the Romanian Presidential Election Runoff?No won
- Will Marcela-Lavinia Șandru advance to the Romanian Presidential Election Runoff?No won
- Will Mircea Geoană advance to the Romanian Presidential Election Runoff?No won
- Will Nicolae Ciucă advance to the Romanian Presidential Election Runoff?No won
- Will Nicușor Dan advance to the Romanian Presidential Election Runoff?Yes won
- Will Silviu Predoiu advance to the Romanian Presidential Election Runoff?No won
- Will Victor Ponta advance to the Romanian Presidential Election Runoff?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.