World Politics · resolved market
Will George Simion advance to the Romanian Presidential Election Runoff?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb8f3dd3f2ba1760aee0ffa9019ca5753e77fa48cbccde9c510997a9e7f12fc24
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $735,086
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $755,810
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $735,086 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 365 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd622…49b5backed No | 7c | 93,912$6,967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,967 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -49%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 11c | 82,294$9,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,019.22 | 190 | 27.9%53 W · 137 L | +14.5wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +53%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…58c7backed No | 2c | 36,552$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693.41 | 66 | 22.7%15 W · 51 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed No | 0c | 35,500$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 513 | 2.9%15 W · 498 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…ea5abacked Yes | 78c | 22,305$17,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,805.49 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 66cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed No | 3c | 13,839$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.13 | 688 | 3.6%25 W · 663 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfa…c0e3backed No | 0c | 12,607$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 412 | 1%4 W · 408 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 0cpaid | +171.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8795…7544backed No | 59c | 10,294$6,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,047.37 | 93 | 34.4%32 W · 61 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x585b…753fbacked No | 23c | 10,185$2,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,295.53 | 52 | 26.9%14 W · 38 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8340…3199backed No | 3c | 8,303$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.04 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5950…8c48backed No | 6c | 7,634$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.77 | 61 | 19.7%12 W · 49 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72e1…7d89backed Yes | 57c | 6,457$3,681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,775.78 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Yes | 64c | 6,143$3,921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,222.53 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2034…8daebacked No | 4c | 6,000$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 74 | 23%17 W · 57 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…c5abbacked No | 2c | 5,000$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 35 | 2.9%1 W · 34 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -87.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa02b…fb10backed No | 5c | 4,811$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfec7…1594backed No | 19c | 4,763$884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$884.31 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf43a…cafcbacked No | 0c | 4,646$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.06 | 44 | 9.1%4 W · 40 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -35%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9196…c311backed No | 32c | 4,273$1,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350.73 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad16…6de3backed No | 3c | 4,089$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.29 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 6cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff2b…527abacked No | 25c | 4,002$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb747…b050backed Yes | 36c | 3,900$1,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,496 | 112 | 47.3%53 W · 59 L | +9.7wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d2…3093backed No | 7c | 3,800$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.72 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b6…342bbacked Yes | 69c | 3,769$2,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,172.67 | 89 | 32.6%29 W · 60 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadaf…f9f2backed Yes | 74c | 3,704$2,757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$946.77 | 56 | 26.8%15 W · 41 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54db…0174backed Yes | 31c | 3,703$1,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,573.63 | 196 | 23%45 W · 151 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2032…d577backed No | 59c | 3,440$2,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,016.49 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked No | 1c | 3,303$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.34 | 452 | 1.1%5 W · 447 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 0cpaid | +156.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0490…c81fbacked No | 3c | 3,266$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.27 | 143 | 30.8%44 W · 99 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +104.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60b2…3ccebacked No | 50c | 3,259$1,636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,635.6 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ad…ff58backed Yes | 79c | 3,102$2,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.15 | 146 | 32.2%47 W · 99 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -35%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8dbc…6085backed Yes | 40c | 2,712$1,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,625.88 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +3.1wins | +0.35per pick | 43cpaid | +65.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4527…005abacked Yes | 79c | 2,516$1,986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.57 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0d6…3e79backed No | 78c | 2,487$1,933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,932.97 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…4ef5backed No | 54c | 2,455$1,331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,330.58 | 37 | 16.2%6 W · 31 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -62%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e693backed No | 5c | 2,395$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.7 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 22cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3474…0571backed No | 3c | 2,320$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.3 | 200 | 34%68 W · 132 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…eb03backed No | 58c | 2,301$1,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,334.84 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c50…5a8abacked No | 2c | 2,275$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 10cpaid | +76.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60d1…f176backed No | 3c | 2,230$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.55 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x324d…445dbacked No | 5c | 2,200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -18%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 43c | 2,060$895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$894.85 | 576 | 36.3%209 W · 367 L | -27.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d05…f421backed No | 3c | 2,031$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 17cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed No | 18c | 2,000$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.04 | 278 | 28.1%78 W · 200 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed No | 19c | 1,718$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.23 | 118 | 50.8%60 W · 58 L | +29.2wins | +0.25per pick | 26cpaid | +132.4%equal weight | 73+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0xf720…4599backed Yes | 43c | 1,676$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.5 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac61…f5f7backed No | 26c | 1,639$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.29 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 1c | 1,607$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x003e…a22cbacked No | 3c | 1,562$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa727…8289backed No | 5c | 1,475$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.43 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4936…2b89backed No | 3c | 1,471$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3560…1b93backed No | 68c | 1,469$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b11…003fbacked No | 5c | 1,466$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8af5…36afbacked No | 18c | 1,330$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.58 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06dc…af59backed No | 15c | 1,150$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.66 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | +9.9wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed Yes | 71c | 1,147$812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.78 | 167 | 44.3%74 W · 93 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d0c…4b63backed No | 3c | 1,120$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6571…9827backed No | 18c | 1,100$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x421b…ac12backed Yes | 32c | 1,084$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.61 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +24%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed No | 2c | 1,078$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.67 | 293 | 9.2%27 W · 266 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa472…7d71backed No | 4c | 1,016$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bce…3fdcbacked No | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd29…a638backed No | 70c | 992.27$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.59 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x088f…c9e7backed No | 64c | 932.29$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.36 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbf…9f24backed Yes | 64c | 910$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b6…f9d9backed Yes | 61c | 902.14$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.39 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4862…3421backed Yes | 41c | 900$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ef…977abacked Yes | 41c | 900$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c23…0476backed No | 36c | 900$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfac8…92e0backed Yes | 64c | 900$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…d728backed No | 59c | 900$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57ef…91f8backed No | 36c | 900$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae06…8acebacked No | 16c | 899.99$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55dc…33e1backed No | 59c | 899.78$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0f1…d011backed No | 54c | 880$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7809…2a9cbacked No | 54c | 880$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09cd…bc4fbacked Yes | 46c | 880$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a2…1efbbacked Yes | 46c | 880$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e62…84e5backed No | 3c | 879.54$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +131.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b8…f0cbbacked No | 76c | 875.89$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.47 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9c…f0c8backed No | 13c | 866.46$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6b…fba5backed Yes | 48c | 833.33$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.33 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f8…f705backed Yes | 39c | 815.38$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.32 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +4.2wins | +0.28per pick | 25cpaid | +158.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe484…a143backed Yes | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 78c | 766.08$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.41 | 1,022 | 28%286 W · 736 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed Yes | 48c | 757.78$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.29 | 152 | 37.5%57 W · 95 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x358e…b0ccbacked Yes | 42c | 740.68$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.93 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68af…e8a4backed No | 3c | 727$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.37 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.19per pick | 33cpaid | -71.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x30e1…59f0backed No | 8c | 640$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.2 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 49c | 633.98$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.46 | 1,318 | 43.9%579 W · 739 L | -26.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c39…3b12backed No | 8c | 623.6$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3de7…bbb8backed No | 8c | 603.13$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.25 | 25 | 4%1 W · 24 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 16cpaid | -89.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7a…b5f7backed No | 58c | 600$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0adb…fa7ebacked No | 3c | 588.85$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65b3…a601backed No | 4c | 568.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -40%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775b…1cddbacked No | 3c | 517.15$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0de9…e3f7backed No | 4c | 512.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 14cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc387…76cabacked No | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaac4…021cbacked No | 19c | 500$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90b7…4b4bbacked No | 76c | 480.84$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.44 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will George Simion advance to the Romanian Presidential Election Runoff?this page
- Will Anamaria Gavrilă advance to the Romanian Presidential Election Runoff?No won
- Will Crin Antonescu advance to the Romanian Presidential Election Runoff?No won
- Will Călin Georgescu advance to the Romanian Presidential Election Runoff?No won
- Will Elena Lasconi advance to the Romanian Presidential Election Runoff?No won
- Will John-Ion Banu-Muscel advance to the Romanian Presidential Election Runoff?No won
- Will Marcel Ciolacu advance to the Romanian Presidential Election Runoff?No won
- Will Marcela-Lavinia Șandru advance to the Romanian Presidential Election Runoff?No won
- Will Mircea Geoană advance to the Romanian Presidential Election Runoff?No won
- Will Nicolae Ciucă advance to the Romanian Presidential Election Runoff?No won
- Will Nicușor Dan advance to the Romanian Presidential Election Runoff?Yes won
- Will Silviu Predoiu advance to the Romanian Presidential Election Runoff?No won
- Will Victor Ponta advance to the Romanian Presidential Election Runoff?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.