World Politics · resolved market
Will Nicușor Dan advance to the Romanian Presidential Election Runoff?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe5db676ab771065e550c464def341222103ffd2c29d0a16a675eb420f9bfab34
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,081,718
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,101,773
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,081,718 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 197 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7b7a…ef68backed No | 33c | 92,321$30,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,465.93 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62ed…a702backed Yes | 67c | 92,321$61,855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,465.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf920…0559backed No | 35c | 63,133$22,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,096.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e6…7aabbacked Yes | 65c | 63,133$41,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,096.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0fd…e179backed Yes | 70c | 57,325$40,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,197.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a31…f46cbacked No | 30c | 57,325$17,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,197.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd28b…2873backed No | 31c | 52,188$16,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,178.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b58…f374backed Yes | 69c | 52,188$36,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,178.28 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +83.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed Yes | 72c | 36,369$26,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,296.99 | 118 | 53.4%63 W · 55 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8795…7544backed No | 14c | 33,716$4,639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,639.46 | 93 | 34.4%32 W · 61 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…0058backed No | 51c | 32,325$16,486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,485.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce21…d5f5backed Yes | 49c | 31,825$15,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,230.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f97…555fbacked No | 53c | 31,278$16,577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,577.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8b…f69dbacked Yes | 47c | 31,278$14,701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,577.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7094…c818backed No | 48c | 29,211$14,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,021.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0b9…cbacbacked Yes | 52c | 29,211$15,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,021.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3e…4102backed Yes | 69c | 27,131$18,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,410.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8961…cca0backed No | 31c | 27,131$8,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,410.61 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28de…a1fdbacked No | 3c | 13,250$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.54 | 48 | 25%12 W · 36 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +108.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfa…c0e3backed No | 0c | 12,000$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 412 | 1%4 W · 408 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 0cpaid | +171.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed No | 48c | 10,413$4,955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,954.56 | 232 | 25%58 W · 174 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d60…03d8backed No | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 101 | 22.8%23 W · 78 L | -9.5wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed No | 22c | 8,850$1,986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,985.82 | 165 | 35.8%59 W · 106 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b5…205cbacked Yes | 73c | 8,476$6,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,291.36 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +4.2wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked No | 57c | 6,132$3,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,501.71 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed No | 1c | 6,109$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.06 | 688 | 3.6%25 W · 663 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54db…0174backed No | 4c | 5,978$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.98 | 196 | 23%45 W · 151 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629b…995abacked No | 40c | 5,880$2,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,375.99 | 432 | 43.1%186 W · 246 L | +29.2wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09bb…f8b1backed Yes | 63c | 4,784$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,784.23 | 85 | 55.3%47 W · 38 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06b2…c606backed No | 5c | 4,313$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.27 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 26cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe759…e7cabacked Yes | 60c | 4,147$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,646.51 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +6.3wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff2b…527abacked Yes | 52c | 4,133$2,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,998.35 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f8…d7bdbacked No | 27c | 4,000$1,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,091.43 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 49c | 2,937$1,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,491.4 | 278 | 28.1%78 W · 200 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87d3…0e8bbacked Yes | 50c | 2,780$1,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,391.89 | 42 | 21.4%9 W · 33 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 13cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5950…8c48backed Yes | 44c | 2,689$1,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,494.02 | 61 | 19.7%12 W · 49 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60b2…3ccebacked No | 45c | 2,500$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,124.99 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…d08cbacked Yes | 50c | 2,350$1,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,164.56 | 69 | 30.4%21 W · 48 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb49…b5b3backed Yes | 67c | 2,330$1,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$776.49 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +4.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x421b…ac12backed No | 50c | 2,222$1,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,110.63 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +24%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76cc…6689backed Yes | 52c | 1,891$985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$906.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.32per pick | 35cpaid | +70.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64f3…34b6backed No | 50c | 1,868$931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$931.46 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc41…38edbacked Yes | 68c | 1,850$1,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.11 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 49c | 1,777$862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$862.46 | 576 | 36.3%209 W · 367 L | -27.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x071a…df8ebacked No | 26c | 1,645$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.03 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x731b…90dfbacked No | 57c | 1,501$857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$856.71 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcd…cbfbbacked No | 14c | 1,490$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b11…003fbacked No | 58c | 1,466$853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$853.38 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…ebc9backed No | 25c | 1,426$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed Yes | 59c | 1,352$802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.43 | 167 | 44.3%74 W · 93 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacb3…13e6backed Yes | 44c | 1,346$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755.04 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 16cpaid | +94.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06dc…af59backed No | 50c | 1,150$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.89 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | +9.9wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x62cf…5826backed Yes | 42c | 1,109$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.5 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed No | 16c | 881.38$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.99 | 190 | 43.7%83 W · 107 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadaf…f9f2backed No | 43c | 878.03$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.74 | 56 | 26.8%15 W · 41 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf85f…9800backed Yes | 58c | 862.41$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.41 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc7…8f89backed No | 28c | 779.2$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.01 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed No | 40c | 765.76$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.13 | 314 | 43.9%138 W · 176 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa58a…25b6backed No | 3c | 765.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 17cpaid | -85.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8731…1181backed Yes | 65c | 760$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.2 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c30…4e81backed Yes | 58c | 726.12$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.35per pick | 32cpaid | +70.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9c…f0c8backed Yes | 46c | 703.6$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.29 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed No | 7c | 662.25$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.11 | 172 | 27.9%48 W · 124 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed No | 10c | 660.42$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.44 | 513 | 2.9%15 W · 498 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed No | 40c | 641.85$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.74 | 253 | 37.2%94 W · 159 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b2…aa53backed Yes | 60c | 609.98$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.68 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69e7…d3b0backed No | 34c | 600$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -11%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9cc…387abacked No | 44c | 599.64$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.48 | 85 | 29.4%25 W · 60 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5b…23cabacked No | 27c | 570.36$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +24%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 38c | 534.55$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.99 | 190 | 27.9%53 W · 137 L | +14.5wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +53%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf392…df89backed No | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79fa…8a55backed Yes | 66c | 500$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ec…7b2ebacked No | 51c | 499.98$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.99 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 31c | 478.14$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.55 | 563 | 14.6%82 W · 481 L | -39.3wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbf4d…e209backed No | 25c | 459.35$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.69 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 44cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3474…0571backed No | 34c | 452$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.37 | 200 | 34%68 W · 132 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd9…bd75backed Yes | 62c | 450.1$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.03 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a67…a78ebacked Yes | 65c | 400$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1008…d2efbacked Yes | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39a8…b537backed Yes | 68c | 392$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.86 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 37cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2034…8daebacked Yes | 42c | 357$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.06 | 74 | 23%17 W · 57 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3aad…4e00backed Yes | 73c | 353.16$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 61cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 46c | 350.77$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.08 | 1,318 | 43.9%579 W · 739 L | -26.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7212…0536backed Yes | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53cf…7d67backed Yes | 71c | 337.37$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.17 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc04…196dbacked Yes | 53c | 326.42$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.42 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +72.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdde…f383backed Yes | 65c | 305.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.74 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…8e2dbacked No | 52c | 303.54$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.31 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1d…a871backed Yes | 66c | 298.48$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.21 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d0…4e7dbacked No | 37c | 295$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.97 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93c6…d9dbbacked Yes | 60c | 285.35$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.24 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -42%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87cd…6f2abacked Yes | 71c | 282.61$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.22 | 88 | 61.4%54 W · 34 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3e…692abacked No | 53c | 260$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.74 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb8b…81dabacked No | 42c | 252.87$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cf1…3c6bbacked Yes | 73c | 250$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.5 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf83d…4fc7backed Yes | 45c | 249.22$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.88 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b52…0075backed Yes | 50c | 248.63$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +98.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e30…1e50backed No | 46c | 238.4$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.22 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ada…d5cfbacked Yes | 72c | 230.4$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.4 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15a4…97fdbacked Yes | 44c | 218.45$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.83 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.38per pick | 28cpaid | +91.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Nicușor Dan advance to the Romanian Presidential Election Runoff?this page
- Will Anamaria Gavrilă advance to the Romanian Presidential Election Runoff?No won
- Will Crin Antonescu advance to the Romanian Presidential Election Runoff?No won
- Will Călin Georgescu advance to the Romanian Presidential Election Runoff?No won
- Will Elena Lasconi advance to the Romanian Presidential Election Runoff?No won
- Will George Simion advance to the Romanian Presidential Election Runoff?Yes won
- Will John-Ion Banu-Muscel advance to the Romanian Presidential Election Runoff?No won
- Will Marcel Ciolacu advance to the Romanian Presidential Election Runoff?No won
- Will Marcela-Lavinia Șandru advance to the Romanian Presidential Election Runoff?No won
- Will Mircea Geoană advance to the Romanian Presidential Election Runoff?No won
- Will Nicolae Ciucă advance to the Romanian Presidential Election Runoff?No won
- Will Silviu Predoiu advance to the Romanian Presidential Election Runoff?No won
- Will Victor Ponta advance to the Romanian Presidential Election Runoff?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.