TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x93c6…d9db

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
141
Categories scored
21
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: Ukraine, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Ukraine at 59 out of 100; worst Us Politics at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2025, EDT2832.1%9 W · 19 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-42%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$113.45
Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by 4-8%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$23
Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by 8-12%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.3
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$570Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$570.44
Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$481Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT+51.9%+$249.8
Will Nicușor Dan win by 0–6%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$157.72
Will Anamaria Gavrilă win the Romanian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$73.02
Will Ilie Bolojan win the Romanian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will Călin Georgescu win the Romanian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$292Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT+50.8%+$148.29
Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$887Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT+184.3%+$1,634
Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$397Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+56.2%+$223
Will Nicușor Dan win the second most votes in the first round of the Romanian Presidential Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT+129.4%+$156.12
Will Crin Antonescu win the second most votes in the first round of the Romanian Presidential Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$221Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$221.37
Will Nicușor Dan win the most votes in the 1st round of the Romanian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$31.6
Will Crin Antonescu advance to the Romanian Presidential Election Runoff?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$120.5
Will Nicușor Dan advance to the Romanian Presidential Election Runoff?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$172Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT+65.8%+$113.24
Will the Conservative Party win the popular vote in Canada's next election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.49
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$342Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+37.6%+$128.31
Liberals win majority in Canadian election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$177.5
Will the Conservative Party win the most seats in the next Canadian election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$130.5
Yoon out as president of South Korea before April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$49.5
Will the AfD win 15-20% of the vote in the German election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.86
Will AfD win the second most seats in the next German election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Will SPD win the second most seats in the next German election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2025, EST-100%-$14.93
Trudeau out before April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST2236.4%8 W · 14 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$296Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+45.1%+$133.75
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+212.5%+$203.99
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+163.2%+$61.99
Will Ethereum hit $8,000 by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$71.38
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$87.3
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$40.97
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$75.61
Ethereum all time high before 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$113.83
Will Ethereum hit $4,000 by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT+246.9%+$37.72
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2025, EDT+101%+$201
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $108K on July 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT+78.1%+$114
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $106K and $108K on July 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$51
Ethereum all time high by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$22
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $104K and $106K on June 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$203.5
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $100K on June 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$36
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$60.15
Bitcoin all time high by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.05
Will Ethereum reach $2200 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$174.49
Ethereum all time high by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$27
Bitcoin all time high by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST+72.4%+$15.28
Bitcoin all time high by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$27.2
Bitcoin all time high by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$10.4
All 22 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT1618.8%3 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick26cpaid-45.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.31
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.15
Will Liverpool win on 2025-10-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$59
Spread: Liverpool (-1.5)backed Liverpool · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.5
Will Manchester City finish in the top 4 of the EPL?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$40.6
Arsenal wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.11
Liverpool wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT+65.8%+$37.26
Will Everton be relegated?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.5
Manchester City wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$163.62
Will Southampton be relegated?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.36
Will Manchester City be relegated?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$29
Will Chelsea win on 2025-02-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2025, EST+27.5%+$8.81
Will Chelsea vs. West Ham end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will Manchester United win on 2024-12-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST-100%-$17.9
Will Manchester United win on 2024-12-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2024, EST+478.5%+$57.9
Will Manchester City vs. Manchester United end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2024, EST-100%-$10.8
All 16 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST1428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.8wins-0.20per pick49cpaid-57%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$82.7
Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$38.74
Will U.S. summer tourism decline in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$32
Will Elon Musk create a new political party in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$273Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$273.04
Will Elon Musk create a new political party before August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$174
Trump and Elon publicly reconcile before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$64.5
Will Trump pardon CZ in his first 100 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+35%+$13.03
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$228Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+44.4%+$101.1
Trump declassifies Epstein list in first 100 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2025, EST-100%-$28.5
Will Mike Waltz be Trump's Defense Secretary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2025, EST-100%-$11.99
Will Mark Zuckerberg attend presidential inauguration?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$18.4
Will there be a US Government shutdown? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2024, EST-100%-$12.44
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2024, EST-100%-$24.54
2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, R Senate, D Housebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2024, EST-100%-$30.77
All 14 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1080%8 W · 2 L+3.0wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+58.1%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$114.88
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+61.3%+$19
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$24.15
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$271Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+139.4%+$378.5
Trump x Ukraine mineral deal signed before May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT+100%+$50
Nothing Ever Happens backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$263Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT+97.4%+$256.6
Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+102.7%+$227.99
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2025, EDT+49%+$27.58
Will Russia abandon Syrian naval base before April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.68
Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2025, EDT+135.2%+$176.96
All 10 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2025, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick52cpaid-49.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Movies — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-48.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick15cpaid-11.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+24%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-27.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2025, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick18cpaid+30.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Dec 27, 2024, EST40%0 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick22cpaid+72%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
OpenSea airdrop before April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT+244.1%+$65.26
Will DOGE hit 69¢ by Inauguration Day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST-100%-$10.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
TikTok sale announced before April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$23
DeepSeek better than all OpenAI models before March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST-100%-$39.82
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Europa League Finalbacked Tottenham · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$40.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+83.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Usyk beat Fury?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST+83.9%+$36.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid win La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$45
All 1 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Negative GDP growth in Q3 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$77.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Less than 49 Senators vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard as as Director of National Intelligence?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST-100%-$22.7
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.