Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $104K and $106K on June 27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8fcbf91fbfa4fd14a0742998f6ac3783c3f6cf79db90d4e2cb085f44cc8971cd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $426,659
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $377,069
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $426,659 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 168 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 15c | 7,460$1,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,121.97 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04d1…a4fbbacked Yes | 18c | 7,367$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 18c | 5,710$1,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,027.99 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73b8…f6b5backed Yes | 15c | 5,694$866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$866.1 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b3…87b8backed Yes | 4c | 5,464$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.62 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad4a…ddb8backed Yes | 15c | 5,361$796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795.6 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -61%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd0…2b4bbacked Yes | 14c | 5,330$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$746.2 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e34…ed3fbacked Yes | 15c | 5,100$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767 | 64 | 25%16 W · 48 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 18c | 4,196$739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.92 | 648 | 12%78 W · 570 L | -61.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d9…94c6backed Yes | 4c | 4,192$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.8 | 70 | 20%14 W · 56 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd039…2532backed Yes | 14c | 4,100$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f32…1532backed Yes | 17c | 4,034$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd3…e662backed Yes | 16c | 3,975$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.2 | 38 | 13.2%5 W · 33 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x314a…2fbdbacked Yes | 12c | 3,500$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…604ebacked Yes | 21c | 3,417$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$713.58 | 172 | 29.7%51 W · 121 L | -13.0wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe893…f215backed Yes | 25c | 3,136$784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783.56 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc7…8f89backed Yes | 3c | 3,000$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c1…0f60backed Yes | 15c | 2,662$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409 | 36 | 2.8%1 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -79.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb225…be11backed Yes | 12c | 2,625$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 17cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa365…d26ebacked Yes | 15c | 2,200$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64ad…3050backed Yes | 16c | 2,145$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -58%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c6…043dbacked Yes | 15c | 2,066$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.03 | 113 | 16.8%19 W · 94 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfae7…991cbacked Yes | 20c | 2,049$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.75 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | +100%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c31…5240backed Yes | 15c | 2,038$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63e9…e1a1backed Yes | 16c | 2,020$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.23 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f18…251dbacked Yes | 7c | 2,000$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6216…5403backed Yes | 4c | 1,800$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ca…d385backed Yes | 14c | 1,616$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe103…1111backed Yes | 16c | 1,565$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x821a…5c40backed Yes | 10c | 1,533$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x251b…f908backed Yes | 21c | 1,460$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.7 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -68.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb02…0f88backed Yes | 19c | 1,361$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.82 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef91…97b1backed Yes | 21c | 1,297$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.78 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x234f…8c52backed Yes | 17c | 1,250$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef9…afacbacked Yes | 12c | 1,214$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 86 | 19.8%17 W · 69 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93c6…d9dbbacked Yes | 17c | 1,200$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.5 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd255…3c50backed Yes | 14c | 1,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ffd…d225backed Yes | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x512c…d419backed Yes | 21c | 1,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4290…e2c0backed Yes | 23c | 1,000$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.48 | 84 | 28.6%24 W · 60 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf63a…90e6backed Yes | 21c | 986.14$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb46d…7093backed Yes | 15c | 945.31$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.93 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed7c…9400backed Yes | 15c | 938.41$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.69 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x128a…8c8dbacked Yes | 10c | 923.27$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd301…49cdbacked Yes | 24c | 913.33$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2da5…9c11backed Yes | 22c | 900$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9faa…bbedbacked Yes | 13c | 812.67$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.02 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa510…1f80backed Yes | 2c | 800$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 4cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9af…05adbacked Yes | 24c | 800$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 60 | 18.3%11 W · 49 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a0…ca0cbacked Yes | 18c | 780$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd104…7c02backed Yes | 21c | 755.91$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.44 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5c2…1750backed Yes | 14c | 720.59$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.8 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddcd…ccfebacked Yes | 14c | 671.93$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.07 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefdb…7358backed Yes | 17c | 610$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.3 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec41…1134backed Yes | 20c | 600$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd8…858ebacked Yes | 21c | 595.44$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.57 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -81.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf984…0a62backed Yes | 17c | 593.72$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd563…fb41backed Yes | 18c | 571.29$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cae…f15ebacked Yes | 17c | 529.74$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bce…0cb0backed Yes | 16c | 501$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.12 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 35cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6b…267ebacked Yes | 17c | 500$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 94 | 27.7%26 W · 68 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9829…d58fbacked Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +134.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd99d…a5a3backed Yes | 9c | 499.99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 7cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fec…728ebacked Yes | 21c | 499.99$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36ed…f21abacked Yes | 20c | 498.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.8 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x490f…17e5backed Yes | 16c | 498.49$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.96 | 40 | 5%2 W · 38 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8618…df90backed Yes | 17c | 482.47$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 14cpaid | +308.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7db3…77ccbacked Yes | 17c | 441.07$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.47 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02e6…c14ebacked Yes | 18c | 417.65$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdcc…e559backed Yes | 23c | 406.71$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.54 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x454b…8bacbacked Yes | 16c | 400$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeac7…3eaabacked Yes | 13c | 400$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36f0…6b76backed Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | +306.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f39…27a5backed No | 78c | 385.2$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.2 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2957…8bcabacked Yes | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x926d…e629backed Yes | 16c | 375.02$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbb…333dbacked Yes | 16c | 375$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd980…5be0backed Yes | 14c | 352.07$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.29 | 112 | 10.7%12 W · 100 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | +120.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…c064backed Yes | 18c | 340$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.2 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 22cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbba…dbffbacked Yes | 12c | 333$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.96 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf940…3239backed Yes | 17c | 325$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1371…3c76backed Yes | 16c | 318.75$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee5…7bf0backed Yes | 16c | 304.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ee…b078backed Yes | 16c | 300.83$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.58 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Yes | 18c | 300$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8441…d0c5backed Yes | 17c | 300$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +49%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d25…c76bbacked Yes | 23c | 300$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 150 | 23.3%35 W · 115 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf778…05b2backed Yes | 19c | 295.74$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32f4…c885backed Yes | 14c | 279.57$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.36 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 22cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…bd29backed Yes | 21c | 273$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.33 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x526f…c710backed Yes | 15c | 270.73$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfa…9bb4backed Yes | 23c | 270.25$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.75 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf97…4e5cbacked No | 79c | 268.66$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f19…a996backed Yes | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a96…60c8backed Yes | 18c | 261.78$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0a4…5338backed Yes | 17c | 250$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79b7…486cbacked Yes | 18c | 250$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b92…57f0backed Yes | 21c | 240$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f2d…ebb1backed Yes | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa272…e380backed Yes | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the price of Bitcoin be between $104K and $106K on June 27?this page
- Will the price of Bitcoin be between $100K and $102K on June 27?No won
- Will the price of Bitcoin be between $102K and $104K on June 27?No won
- Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $106K on June 27?Yes won
- Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $100K on June 27?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.