TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9f39…27a5

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
281
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Crypto Milestones, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Crypto Milestones at 54 out of 100; worst Mls at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2025, EDT9345.2%42 W · 51 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 93 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Diamondbacks vs. Tigersbacked Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$66.74
Pirates vs. Giantsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$71.24
Rangers vs. Angelsbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$98.64
Red Sox vs. Twinsbacked Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2025, EDT+84.1%+$33.16
Rockies vs. Guardiansbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$64.63
Braves vs. Royalsbacked Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2025, EDT+171.7%+$37.03
Nationals vs. Astrosbacked Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2025, EDT+216.2%+$169.04
Cubs vs. Brewersbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$62.35
Marlins vs. Cardinalsbacked Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$35.43
Phillies vs. White Soxbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.47
Dodgers vs. Redsbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$78.39
Blue Jays vs. Oriolesbacked Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2025, EDT+36.2%+$47.57
Diamondbacks vs. Tigersbacked Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.2
Mariners vs. Angelsbacked Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.93
Padres vs. Cardinalsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$10.85
Blue Jays vs. Tigersbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$32.08
Orioles vs. Guardiansbacked Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$82.5
Athletics vs. Rangersbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$74.25
Yankees vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT+32.7%+$4.26
Orioles vs. Guardiansbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT+50.3%+$34.62
Twins vs. Dodgersbacked Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$41.15
Astros vs. Diamondbacksbacked Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$122.25
Brewers vs. Marinersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT+65.5%+$68.7
Royals vs. Cubsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$74.25
Giants vs. Bravesbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$68.54
Showing 25 of 93 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2025, EDT6549.2%32 W · 33 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 65 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ATP Toronto – Medvedev vs. Popyrinbacked Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.87
ATP Toronto – Tien vs. Opelkabacked Opelka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.68
ATP Toronto – Etcheverry vs. Cerundolobacked Etcheverry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$78.73
ATP Washington D.C – De Minaur vs. Leheckabacked De Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2025, EDT+54.1%+$29.15
ATP Umag – Ruiz vs. Carabellibacked Carabelli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2025, EDT+110.7%+$67.74
ATP Kitzbuhel – Rinderknech vs. Hanfmannbacked Hanfmann · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$98.3
ATP Washington D.C: Kovacevic vs. Tiafoebacked Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2025, EDT+29.7%+$6.77
ATP Washington D.C: Cobolli vs. Nishiokabacked Nishioka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$43.24
ATP Washington D.C: Tien vs. Rublevbacked Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT+40.6%+$47.51
ATP Washington D.C: Arnaldi vs. Sonegobacked Arnaldi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT+38.2%+$15.43
ATP Washington D.C: Wu vs. Popyrinbacked Wu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT+74.3%+$69.66
ATP Washington D.C: Svajda vs. Leheckabacked Svajda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$71.13
ATP Washington D.C: Michelsen vs. Evansbacked Michelsen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$112.13
ATP Washington D.C: Shelton vs. McDonaldbacked McDonald · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$32.91
ATP Washington D.C: Norrie vs. Musettibacked Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.08
ATP Washington D.C: Monfils vs. Yibingbacked Monfils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$40.85
ATP Washington D.C: Nakashima vs. Quinnbacked Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2025, EDT+32%+$13.19
ATP Kitzbuhel: Misolic vs. Etcheverrybacked Misolic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2025, EDT+91.1%+$62.2
ATP Kitzbuhel: Cazaux vs. Busebacked Buse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.67
ATP Kitzbuhel: Ofner vs. Struffbacked Struff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$276Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$123.94
Will Luciano Darderi win the 2025 Nordea Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.38
Will Jesper De Jong win the 2025 Nordea Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$39.33
Will Juan Manuel Cerundolo win the 2025 Swiss Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT+27.9%+$21.47
Will Alexander Bublik win the 2025 Swiss Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.5
Will Aleksandar Kovacevic win the 2025 ATP Los Cabos tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$12.24
Showing 25 of 65 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 24, 2025, EDT2937.9%11 W · 18 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-26.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
League of Legends: ThunderTalk Gaming vs. LNG Esportsbacked LNG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$148.5
League of Legends: KT Rolster vs. Nongshim Red Forcebacked Nongshim · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$74.25
League of Legends: DN Freecs vs. BNK FEARXbacked DN Freecs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$49
League of Legends: Team WE vs. Weibo Gamingbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$18
League of Legends: FunPlus Phoenix vs. Top Esportsbacked FunPlus · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.88
League of Legends: Dplus KIA vs. OKSavingsBank BRIONbacked OKSavingsBank · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$258Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT+284.6%+$733.23
League of Legends: LNG Esports vs. Ninjas in Pyjamasbacked LNG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$44.12
League of Legends: Ultra Prime vs. ThunderTalk Gamingbacked Ultra Prime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$57.84
Will AG.AL win the 2025 League of Legends Esports World Cup Tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$39.24
Will Gen.G win the 2025 League of Legends Esports World Cup Tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$42.35
League of Legends: AG.AL vs. Gen.Gbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$19.74
League of Legends: Weibo Gaming vs. Top Esportsbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT+61.8%+$34
League of Legends: G2 vs. T1backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.47
League of Legends: Weibo Gaming vs. FunPlus Phoenixbacked FunPlus Phoenix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.06
League of Legends: T1 vs. AG.ALbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$37.98
League of Legends: Movistar KOI vs. T1backed Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.34
League of Legends: Bilibili Gaming vs. G2backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2025, EDT+125.5%+$36.79
League of Legends: Hanwha Life vs. AG.ALbacked Hanwha Life · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.13
League of Legends: FURIA vs. FlyQuestbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$21.21
League of Legends: Movistar KOI vs. CTBC Flying Oysterbacked CTBC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$76.03
League of Legends: Cloud9 vs. FURIAbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT+133.6%+$56.59
League of Legends: CTBC Flying Oyster vs. GAMbacked CTBC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT+32.2%+$13.39
League of Legends: Movistar KOI vs. GAMbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT+85.7%+$29.44
League of Legends: CTBC Flying Oyster vs. Hanwha Life backed CTBC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$81.84
Will T1 win the 2025 Mid-Season Invitational?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$9.48
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2025, EDT2646.2%12 W · 14 L-3.3wins-0.13per pick59cpaid-27.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Mls — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MLS: Will San Diego FC beat Nashville SC?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.04
MLS: Will San Diego FC vs. Nashville SC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$7.2
MLS: Will Nashville SC beat San Diego FC?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT+46.3%+$10.74
MLS: Will Columbus beat Orlando City?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT+85.1%+$13.92
MLS: Will Orlando City beat Columbus?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.32
MLS: Will Columbus vs. Orlando City end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT+29%+$6.71
MLS: Will CF Montreal beat New England?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.44
MLS: Will New England vs. CF Montreal end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$7.3
MLS: Will Vancouver beat San Diego?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$4.23
MLS: Will FC Cincinnati beat Real Salt Lake?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$44.62
MLS: Will Real Salt Lake beat FC Cincinnati?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.87
MLS: Will Philadelphia beat Houston?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$9.47
MLS: Will New York City FC beat Sporting Kansas City?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.27
MLS: Will Inter Miami beat New York Red Bulls?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$45.89
MLS: Will CF Montréal beat Chicago Fire?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$16.66
MLS: Will LA Galaxy beat Austin FC?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$44.76
MLS: Will Portland beat Real Salt Lake?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2025, EDT+67.5%+$45.15
MLS: Will Minnesota United vs. LAFC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.88
MLS: Will Columbus Crew beat Nashville SC?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$6.69
MLS: Will Orlando City beat New York City FC?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2025, EDT+125.9%+$20.05
MLS: Will New England beat Red Bulls?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.84
MLS: Will Chicago Fire beat Atlanta United?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.13
Will Austin FC beat New England Revolution?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.38
Will FC Cincinnati beat Columbus Crew?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.06
Will New England Revolution vs. Inter Miami end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.09
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 28, 2025, EDT2240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-32.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
CS2 — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
IEM Cologne: Falcons vs. FURIAbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$60.97
IEM Cologne: 3DMAX vs. G2backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$33.4
IEM Cologne: FaZe vs. Liquidbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2025, EDT+43.5%+$25.29
IEM Cologne: FaZe vs. Liquidbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.93
IEM Cologne: 3DMAX vs. Ninjas in Pyjamasbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$11.63
IEM Cologne: GamerLegion vs. Virtus.probacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$101.26
IEM Cologne: Liquid vs. paiNbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT+69.9%+$15.99
IEM Cologne: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs. HEROICbacked HEROIC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.36
IEM Cologne: 3DMAX vs. MIBR:backed MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.27
IEM Cologne: FlyQuest vs. FURIAbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT+48.5%+$28.49
IEM Cologne: Astralis vs. B8backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$40.07
IEM Cologne: GamerLegion vs. Complexitybacked Complexity · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.27
IEM Cologne: TYLOO vs. Virtus.probacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT+92%+$30.16
Will Astralis win the FISSURE Playground 1 Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$49.5
Will TYLOO win the FISSURE Playground 1 Tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.62
FISSURE Playground 1: TYLOO vs. SAWbacked SAW · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.98
FISSURE Playground 1: Complexity vs. SAWbacked Complexity · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.36
FISSURE Playground 1: BetBoom vs. BIGbacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$40.33
FISSURE Playground 1: FURIA vs. SAWbacked SAW · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2025, EDT+28.4%+$9.49
FISSURE Playground 1: Complexity vs. BIGbacked Complexity · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT+113.3%+$17.56
FISSURE Playground 1: TYLOO and Astralisbacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT+63.7%+$6.48
FISSURE Playground 1: HEROIC vs. BIGbacked HEROIC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$36.36
All 22 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2025, EDT1947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nuggets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.06
76ers vs. Netsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2025, EDT+119.9%+$40.11
Warriors vs. Raptorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.71
Rockets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$58.32
Hawks vs. Grizzliesbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$22.02
Pacers vs. Knicksbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2025, EDT+103.9%+$82.34
Mavericks vs. 76ersbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.48
Suns vs. Timberwolvesbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$52.47
Trail Blazers vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$26.83
Warriors vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$40.66
Nets vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$17.59
Timberwolves vs. Pistonsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2025, EDT+74.4%+$31.49
Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazersbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT+63.6%+$14.05
Mavericks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT+37.3%+$17.14
Spurs vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.48
Lakers vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT+147.4%+$49.72
Magic vs. Kingsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.26
Cavaliers vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2025, EDT+269.2%+$47.22
Pelicans vs. Timberwolvesbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.69
All 19 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 24, 2025, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
WNBA — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2025, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick41cpaid-65.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Champions League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2025, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-25.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2025, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+50.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+91%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT+91%+$455.02
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+25.8%+$206.12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump remove Harvard's Intl Student ban before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$66.98
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.