WNBA · resolved market
Valkyries vs Storm
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x38b0174c30d4bb99a3dc9a58caa647b7d28e4af81804db443dbbacc3e5099426
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Stormof Valkyries, Storm
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,620
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,565
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,620 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked Storm | 69c | 4,065$2,803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,262.47 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe85e…2aebbacked Storm | 68c | 3,083$2,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$986.49 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -51%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Valkyries | 34c | 3,050$1,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,037 | 239 | 31.8%76 W · 163 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Storm | 66c | 3,050$2,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,037 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Storm | 69c | 2,508$1,726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$781.84 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fae…3488backed Valkyries | 30c | 1,992$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.69 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Storm | 68c | 1,765$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.15 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Valkyries | 30c | 1,637$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.5 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Valkyries | 30c | 1,381$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.26 | 191 | 42.4%81 W · 110 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Storm | 67c | 1,078$726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.86 | 128 | 57.8%74 W · 54 L | +11.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Valkyries | 29c | 1,011$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.39 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Valkyries | 32c | 999.99$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9587…cd8ebacked Valkyries | 33c | 769.95$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.48 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9454…6d22backed Storm | 67c | 766.87$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.08 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.35per pick | 45cpaid | +79.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed0e…b305backed Valkyries | 32c | 749.99$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 89 | 20.2%18 W · 71 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Valkyries | 36c | 500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 128 | 40.6%52 W · 76 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Valkyries | 37c | 393.68$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.2 | 213 | 37.6%80 W · 133 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Valkyries | 33c | 388.42$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.18 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Storm | 71c | 380.93$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.47 | 214 | 40.7%87 W · 127 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Storm | 70c | 367.14$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.14 | 65 | 60%39 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Valkyries | 32c | 302.65$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.71 | 128 | 33.6%43 W · 85 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Valkyries | 35c | 285.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 234 | 31.6%74 W · 160 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Valkyries | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 272 | 32.7%89 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Valkyries | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 175 | 41.1%72 W · 103 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Valkyries | 25c | 276.76$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.56 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a90…8218backed Valkyries | 36c | 270$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.2 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Valkyries | 35c | 239$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.92 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +4.4wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca8…3e59backed Storm | 71c | 210.5$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.84 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80b1…f64abacked Valkyries | 23c | 186.35$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.86 | 52 | 21.2%11 W · 41 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee1…9801backed Storm | 66c | 182.42$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.02 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Storm | 68c | 181.87$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.9 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa21d…a769backed Storm | 78c | 151.8$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.88 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8485…c13ebacked Valkyries | 35c | 151.07$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.15 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b0b…3f0bbacked Storm | 69c | 150$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.5 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c36…9719backed Valkyries | 19c | 150$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x944b…c0c8backed Valkyries | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.27 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Storm | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f64…ba01backed Valkyries | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 100 | 39%39 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f39…27a5backed Storm | 68c | 130.06$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.5 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2838…32bbbacked Storm | 68c | 125.45$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Valkyries | 33c | 99.48$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.83 | 88 | 39.8%35 W · 53 L | +8.4wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Storm | 69c | 80$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…df90backed Valkyries | 30c | 66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 115 | 52.2%60 W · 55 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2c…4ae8backed Storm | 68c | 65$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6111…c02fbacked Storm | 70c | 58.78$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.72 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +71.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Storm | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed Valkyries | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Storm | 72c | 44.41$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Valkyries | 32c | 44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 98 | 39.8%39 W · 59 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x198b…9973backed Storm | 71c | 43.68$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.55 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Storm | 66c | 40.01$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71b1…ac2cbacked Valkyries | 31c | 35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef7…bd03backed Storm | 68c | 34.44$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Storm | 68c | 33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafbc…a8b5backed Valkyries | 34c | 29.66$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06ea…a4b6backed Storm | 68c | 29.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.22 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Storm | 77c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae90…c05fbacked Storm | 65c | 24.14$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Storm | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Storm | 68c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.15 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8147…2499backed Storm | 68c | 16.18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.