TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x4b0b…3f0b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
416
Categories scored
37
Categories below 50
18

Best Category: Champions League, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 57 out of 100; worst Premier League at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT6040%24 W · 36 L-5.7wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-34%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 60 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will JB Bickerstaff win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.58
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.26
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.65
Will Chet Holmgren win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.6
Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.65
Will the Orlando Magic make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.19
Will the Charlotte Hornets make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+30.5%+$44.13
Will the Los Angeles Clippers make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.4
Will the Philadelphia 76ers make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.88
Will the Portland Trail Blazers make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$47.85
Will Luka Doncic lead the NBA in points during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.65
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander lead the NBA in points during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.58
Will the New York Knicks win more than 53.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$11.55
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win more than 62.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$9.24
Will the Washington Wizards win more than 20.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+42.3%+$6.55
Will the Los Angeles Lakers make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.76
Will the Milwaukee Bucks make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.84
Will the Chicago Bulls make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.4
Clippers vs. Rockets: O/U 210.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+122.2%+$55
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the San Antonio Spurs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$33.76
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the New York Knicks?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$114.24
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$104.85
Will Domantas Sabonis be traded this season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+61.9%+$33.66
Will Ja Morant be traded this season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+32.7%+$16.28
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded this season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$74.85
Showing 25 of 60 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST5234.6%18 W · 34 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick35cpaid+8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 52 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will tariffs generate >$250b in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11.1
Will Elon and DOGE cut 150-200k employees in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$22.47
Will Trump spend >25% of 2025 presidency golfing?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$286Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+31.1%+$88.86
U.S. withdraws from Syria in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$18.46
US congress stock trading ban in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$52.43
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15.02
Will Donald Trump visit Turkey in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$16.37
Will Donald Trump visit India in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$72.15
Will Donald Trump visit France in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$114.72
Another US military action against Iran before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$16.65
Will Trump remove 10% blanket tariff in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+35.1%+$5.46
US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$207Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$207.27
Will Trump cut corporate taxes in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12.11
Will Trump cut taxes on high earners in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$65.68
Will Pam Bondi leave the Trump administration in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$14.54
Will Donald Trump visit China in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$74.51
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$32.18
Will Trump announce a national housing emergency in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$88.96
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$19.98
Will Trump pardon Eric Adams in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Trump pardon Roger Ver in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11.1
Will RFK end COVID-19 vaccine recommendation in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$125.36
Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+644.9%+$418.49
House passes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+66.7%+$8.4
Will Donald Trump visit Japan in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT+163.3%+$204.1
Showing 25 of 52 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST3935.9%14 W · 25 L-0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid+13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Vanilla Ninja win Eesti Laul 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$83.2
Will Frank Ocean release an album in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$69.63
Will Rihanna release an album in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$129.66
Will Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$352Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$351.7
Will Taylor Swift be the top Spotify artist for 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$289.53
Rihanna Baby: Boy or Girl?backed Boy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.12
Will Russia win Intervision 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$24.74
Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce engaged in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 26, 2025, EDT+228.5%+$77.21
Will Vienna host Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$20.35
Diddy guilty of all charges?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.69
Diddy found guilty of sex trafficking?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT+244.8%+$71
Will Austria win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+364.1%+$552.31
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$654Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$654.19
Will France be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2025 Grand Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$64.92
Will Albania finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$95
Will Germany finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$49.67
Will Netherlands be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2025 Grand Final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.1
Will Austria be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2025 Grand Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$127.9
Will Ukraine finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+119.8%+$29.97
Will Italy finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+279.6%+$416.88
Will Albania finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.95
Will Estonia finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT+194.1%+$68.69
Will Finland finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$45.99
Will Finland finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT+236.8%+$228.6
Will Switzerland finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$119
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT3135.5%11 W · 20 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.26
Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$111.04
Moltbook shutdown by Feb 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$62.16
Moltbook AI agent sues a human by Feb 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$128.76
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+29%+$9.9
Will Elon Musk be the next CEO of X?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$40.03
Will ChatGPT reach 1b monthly active users in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$229.74
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 in 2025? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$42.04
Will Claude 5 be released by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$65.72
Grok 5 released by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$139.45
Will Grok have a MacOS desktop app live by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+578.9%+$110.85
Will Robinhood launch stock tokens in the US before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$26.64
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$247Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$246.72
Musk out as Tesla CEO in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11.1
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15.58
Will Sam Altman get OpenAI equity in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$187Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$187.39
Apple Vision Pro 2 released by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$52.63
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$54.04
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$27.36
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$659Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+34.7%+$228.71
Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$37.62
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+91%+$142.27
OpenAI becomes a for-profit in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+294.8%+$206.09
OpenAI browser by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+80.8%+$52.9
OpenAI social app in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$34.65
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT2740.7%11 W · 16 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-11.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nathan MacKinnon win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.42
KHL: Shanghai Dragons vs. HC Sochibacked Shanghai Dragons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.75
Will Connor McDavid win the 2025–2026 NHL Art Ross Trophy?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.95
SHL: HV 71 vs. Leksands IFbacked HV 71 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$102.12
KHL: SKA St. Petersburg vs. Dinamo Minskbacked Dinamo Minsk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.6
SHL: Leksands IF vs. HV 71backed Leksands IF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+69.5%+$61.5
SHL: Vaexjoe vs. Linkoepingbacked Linkoeping · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$10.2
KHL: Salavat Yulaev Ufa vs. Traktorbacked Salavat Yulaev Ufa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+96.1%+$73.5
KHL: Spartak Moscow vs. Dinamo Minskbacked Dinamo Minsk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$56
KHL: Dinamo Minsk vs. Lokomotiv Yaroslavlbacked Dinamo Minsk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+85.2%+$46
KHL: Metallurg Magnitogorsk vs. Avtomobilist Yekaterinburgbacked Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$21.26
SHL: Djurgaarden vs. Linkoepingbacked Linkoeping · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$28.78
SHL: Malmoe vs. Roeglebacked Roegle · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+81.8%+$51.94
SHL: Vaexjoe vs. Froelunda HCbacked Froelunda HC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+108.3%+$47.68
KHL: Avangard Omsk vs. Avtomobilist Yekaterinburgbacked Avangard Omsk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$37.95
KHL: Dinamo Minsk vs. SKA St. Petersburgbacked SKA St. Petersburg · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+257.1%+$39.6
SHL: Luleaa vs. Malmoebacked Malmoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$37.35
KHL: Barys Astana vs. Admiral Vladivostokbacked Barys Astana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$69.93
SHL: Roegle vs. Skellefteaabacked Skellefteaa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$91.3
Spread: Maple Leafs (-1.5)backed Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$80
Red Wings vs. Sharksbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+56.3%+$72
Devils vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+112.8%+$106
Blue Jackets vs. Islandersbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$176
Will the Florida Panthers win the 2025 Stanley Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$162.06
Will Connor Hellebuyck win the Hart Trophy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT+129.9%+$22.6
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST2352.2%12 W · 11 L+3.0wins+0.13per pick39cpaid+27%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
NFL — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 50M and 75M views in its first 7 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$58.15
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 75M and 100M views in its first 7 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$110.69
Will the 2026 Big Game be the most viewed Big Game ever?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+79.8%+$89.22
Will Super Bowl LX have between 128M and 132M viewers?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+35.7%+$58.68
Will Super Bowl LX have between 136M and 140M viewers?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$12.52
Will Allstate run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$21.78
Will Apple run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+387.8%+$44.75
Will "Tití Me Preguntó" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$24.54
Will "LA MUDANZA" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$18.67
Will Coinbase run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+46.6%+$7
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$15.54
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the NFC South?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+96.1%+$108.78
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers make the playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+143.9%+$65.49
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers make the playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+143.9%+$65.49
Will the Denver Broncos win the AFC West?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+376.2%+$133.76
Will the Houston Texans make the playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$45.51
Will the Green Bay Packers make the playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+81.8%+$49.95
Will the San Francisco 49ers make the playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+58.7%+$41.07
Will the Philadelphia Eagles make the playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$21.2
Will the Cincinnati Bengals make the playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+143.9%+$65.49
Will the Minnesota Vikings make the playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$56.09
Will the Washington Commanders make the playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+127.3%+$62.16
Will the Cincinnati Bengals be the first team to reach 100 total points scored?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.21
All 23 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT1926.3%5 W · 14 L-3.3wins-0.17per pick43cpaid-32.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Premier League — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+34.2%+$56.61
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$156.51
Will Manchester United finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$188.69
Will Leeds be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.25
Will Chelsea finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$146.52
Will Manchester City finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+47.8%+$21.34
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$126.53
Will Burnley be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Newcastle finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.42
Will Tottenham finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.42
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.98
Will Leicester City FC win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$45.4
Will Liverpool win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$78
Will Swansea City AFC win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$93.24
Will Everton win on 2025-11-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$77.7
Sunderland AFC vs. Everton: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+88.7%+$50
Will Chelsea win the 2025 UEFA Conference League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$13.71
Will Newcastle United finish in the top 4 of EPL?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$66.37
Will Manchester City win the 2024-25 FA Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$37.95
All 19 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2026, EST1428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.13per pick41cpaid-55.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
World Politics — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will André Ventura win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$12.98
Will Luís Marques Mendes win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+33.3%+$5.5
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Will Evelyn Matthei win the Chilean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$133.99
Will Jeannette Jara win the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$14.79
Will Alassane Ouattara win the 2025 Ivory Coast presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$39.45
Will Heather Humphreys win the Irish Presidential Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$69.82
Will Jim Gavin win the Irish Presidential Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+60.5%+$23.06
Will Mairead McGuinness win the Irish Presidential Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$10
Will Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$123.72
Will Andrónico Rodríguez win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$85.54
Will Samuel Doria Medina win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$106.69
Bayrou out as French PM in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$41.07
Will Han Duck-soo win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$132
All 14 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST1250%6 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+186.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
F1 — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$429Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+335.1%+$1,435.84
Will Mercedes finish third in the 2025 F1 Constructors' Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$18.36
Will Max Verstappen finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+2,092%+$565.18
Will Mercedes finish second in the 2025 Constructors' Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+67.8%+$27.58
Will Lando Norris finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$55.47
Will Oscar Piastri finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$29.25
Will Ferrari finish second in the 2025 Constructors' Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+86%+$102.36
Will Red Bull have the highest constructor score at the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix Pole?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$5.18
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix Pole?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT+233.3%+$184.3
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix Pole?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$96
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 Italian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$140.06
All 12 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Sep 28, 2025, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Detroit Tigers win the AL Central Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$59
Will the Seattle Mariners win the AL West Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT+157%+$94.7
Will the Houston Astros win the AL West Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.44
Will the Texas Rangers win the AL West Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$23
Will the Chicago Cubs win the NL Central Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$67.5
Will the New York Mets win the NL East Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.5
Will the Atlanta Braves win the NL East Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.81
Reds vs. Metsbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2025, EDT+163.2%+$92.99
Royals vs. Marlinsbacked Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$78
Mets vs. Royalsbacked Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$46
Mariners vs. Tigersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$33.8
Cubs vs. Yankeesbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT+95.7%+$73.34
All 12 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST1233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
VCU Rams vs. Dayton Flyersbacked VCU Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+106.2%+$102.55
Hawaii Rainbow Warriors vs. UC Davis Aggiesbacked UC Davis Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$14.27
Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Auburn Tigersbacked Vanderbilt Commodores · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+170.3%+$34.65
Northeastern Huskies vs. Stony Brook Seawolvesbacked Northeastern Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$21.45
UC Santa Barbara Gauchos vs. UC Davis Aggiesbacked UC Santa Barbara Gauchos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$33.55
Oral Roberts Golden Eagles vs. South Dakota Coyotesbacked Oral Roberts Golden Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$21.45
VMI Keydets vs. The Citadel Bulldogsbacked VMI Keydets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$22.55
Ohio Bobcats vs. Kent State Golden Flashesbacked Ohio Bobcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$15.95
Missouri State Bears vs. UTEP Minersbacked Missouri State Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+81.8%+$19.8
Houston Cougars vs. Texas Tech Red Raidersbacked Houston Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$53
Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Minnesota Golden Gophersbacked Minnesota Golden Gophers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$26.73
Mercer Bears vs. Wofford Terriersbacked Wofford Terriers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+134.9%+$25.27
All 12 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.18per pick46cpaid+28.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BNP Paribas Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Alexander Zverevbacked Brandon Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
BNP Paribas Open: Jaqueline Cristian vs Maya Jointbacked Maya Joint · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Mexican Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Mattia Belluccibacked Mattia Bellucci · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$11.9
ATX Open: Elizabeth Mandlik vs Whitney Osuigwebacked Osuigwe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+138.1%+$69.02
Dallas Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Aleksandar Kovacevicbacked Kovacevic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Dallas Open: Taylor Fritz vs Marcos Gironbacked Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+44.9%+$31
Hellenic Championship: Stan Wawrinka vs Botic van de Zandschulpbacked Wawrinka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+185.7%+$97.5
WTA Finals, Serena Williams Group: Iga Swiatek vs Elena Rybakinabacked Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+25%+$20
Will Jannik Sinner win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$49
Wimbledon: Alcaraz vs. Sinner – Over 40.5 Games?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT+125.7%+$162.52
Wimbledon Final – Alcaraz vs. Sinner backed Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT+95.3%+$122
All 11 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick32cpaid-81.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2025, EDT785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.30per pick55cpaid+71.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Champions League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 20, 2025, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+43.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
WNBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick50cpaid-55.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Serie A — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick29cpaid-26.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-42.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.31per pick49cpaid+78.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.31per pick29cpaid+168.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Stocks — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+12.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+21.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+17.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+141.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Space Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Space — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick35cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Scottie Scheffler win a Major in 2025? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+150%+$33
All 1 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Chess — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Lands in Las Vegas tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$11.22
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $8 million?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+31.5%+$39.55
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA Belgrano win on 2026-01-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$52.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Dan Hooker fight Paddy Pimblett next?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.4
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.