South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Belgrano win on 2026-01-29?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x49f4cd68c071ae2daf43a63dbdae76f2b083bff629401b38d0c2273ff2ace20c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,709
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,195
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,709 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Yes | 1c | 14,781$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.74 | 284 | 43%122 W · 162 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$919.99 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 68c | 1,996$1,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.16 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 10c | 1,693$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.92 | 181 | 29.8%54 W · 127 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 59c | 1,521$898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.7 | 494 | 49%242 W · 252 L | +22.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 27c | 1,035$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.02 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Yes | 8c | 863$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.74 | 91 | 24.2%22 W · 69 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 48c | 809.14$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.12 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcddb…0d22backed No | 55c | 763.28$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.48 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 51c | 699.99$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.5 | 551 | 55%303 W · 248 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 8c | 620$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 46 | 13%6 W · 40 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 14c | 559.34$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9020…2cfcbacked Yes | 18c | 411.11$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 23c | 386.49$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.51 | 636 | 44.7%284 W · 352 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Yes | 18c | 380.9$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 118 | 19.5%23 W · 95 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 19c | 267.89$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked No | 62c | 247.9$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.2 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked Yes | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3326…2d1ebacked Yes | 47c | 212.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca66…2305backed Yes | 46c | 206.74$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.1 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +29%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x555c…ee28backed No | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | -7.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4300…5c69backed No | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 124 | 43.5%54 W · 70 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 73c | 174.96$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.84 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a1e…6f16backed Yes | 39c | 158.97$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0180…b8cdbacked Yes | 50c | 158.2$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.1 | 40 | 20%8 W · 32 L | -8.8wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 51c | 149.99$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.5 | 312 | 26.6%83 W · 229 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Yes | 47c | 131.35$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.64 | 95 | 22.1%21 W · 74 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed No | 57c | 118$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.52 | 119 | 59.7%71 W · 48 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cb…2087backed Yes | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +65.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41e0…00cbbacked Yes | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b0b…3f0bbacked Yes | 48c | 110$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4557…bf49backed Yes | 36c | 105$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked No | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e7…36a2backed Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4346…5db6backed Yes | 46c | 97.83$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 18c | 70$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 329 | 36.5%120 W · 209 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 48c | 68.9$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6c…2854backed Yes | 49c | 63.08$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.91 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed No | 51c | 55$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.15 | 43 | 67.4%29 W · 14 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb0…466fbacked Yes | 28c | 52.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.78 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cfe…2fd8backed Yes | 42c | 51.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed No | 51c | 50.61$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.81 | 209 | 53.1%111 W · 98 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Yes | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 138 | 39.9%55 W · 83 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8681…ea85backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d11…0c08backed Yes | 50c | 47.92$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.96 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c54…7e41backed No | 51c | 43.14$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.14 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed No | 51c | 42$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.58 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 76c | 39.4$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.46 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Yes | 49c | 33.11$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.29 | 270 | 50.7%137 W · 133 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 51c | 28.4$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 125 | 62.4%78 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe09c…f300backed Yes | 45c | 23.52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Belgrano win on 2026-01-29?this page
- Will CA Belgrano vs. CA Tigre end in a draw?Yes won
- Will CA Tigre win on 2026-01-29?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.