South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Belgrano vs. CA Tigre end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8e012514fa6c352a7425174090daa99cdf6474bafdfdf0d8346cad186891319a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,888
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,056
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,888 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed No | 1c | 28,132$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.49 | 284 | 43%122 W · 162 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 23c | 1,320$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.05 | 181 | 29.8%54 W · 127 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 11c | 1,316$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.98 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 44c | 1,275$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$718.88 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed No | 39c | 925.07$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.23 | 91 | 24.2%22 W · 69 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 54c | 872.24$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.7 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 65c | 637.93$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.53 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Yes | 76c | 577.89$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.91 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48b8…b10dbacked Yes | 38c | 498.87$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x237e…a5f0backed Yes | 52c | 464.53$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.23 | 48 | 25%12 W · 36 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa868…9d9fbacked Yes | 32c | 420.81$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9020…2cfcbacked Yes | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.62 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 16c | 360.46$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.64 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 33c | 283.38$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.87 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x858d…9d9fbacked Yes | 24c | 212.5$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.5 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 67c | 209$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.03 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 44c | 198.34$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.6 | 636 | 44.7%284 W · 352 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes | 26c | 176.17$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.17 | 302 | 31.1%94 W · 208 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd40b…429abacked Yes | 77c | 150$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.9 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.31per pick | 45cpaid | -81.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 68c | 143$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.24 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab8…b5a6backed Yes | 74c | 133.77$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.78 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.24per pick | 65cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed No | 64c | 116.37$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.28 | 119 | 59.7%71 W · 48 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb0…466fbacked No | 17c | 111.86$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.34 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed No | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54e1…9de8backed Yes | 50c | 90.96$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.48 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7104…aeaabacked Yes | 35c | 78.4$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.96 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 49c | 51.63$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.39 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ee…8067backed Yes | 37c | 48.65$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 51c | 48.39$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.6 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 32c | 46.52$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.71 | 3,407 | 51.3%1,749 W · 1,658 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2745…a5fbbacked Yes | 75c | 45.67$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.57 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa67d…c6f9backed Yes | 27c | 44.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.72 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 31c | 41.05$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 373 | 55.2%206 W · 167 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 31c | 40.34$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.68 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49b9…9613backed Yes | 80c | 35.04$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.01 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 68cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…ba91backed No | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 494 | 49%242 W · 252 L | +22.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed No | 68c | 18.24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 270 | 50.7%137 W · 133 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 67c | 14.86$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 2,614 | 54.2%1,416 W · 1,198 L | +25.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Belgrano vs. CA Tigre end in a draw?this page
- Will CA Belgrano win on 2026-01-29?No won
- Will CA Tigre win on 2026-01-29?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.