TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7ab8…b5a6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
192
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: South American Leagues, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category South American Leagues at 57 out of 100; worst NFL at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT10143.6%44 W · 57 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 101 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.99
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$148.5
Suns vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$42.37
Spread: Lakers (-8.5)backed Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$98.99
Celtics vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$98.99
Bulls vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+122.2%+$121
Knicks vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$99
Lakers vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$99
Jazz vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$98.99
Timberwolves vs. Grizzliesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$98.99
Rockets vs. Pacersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+42.9%+$42.42
Rockets vs. Pacers: O/U 218.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$98.99
Pelicans vs. Hornetsbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$99
Thunder vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$98.99
Thunder vs. Nuggets: O/U 225.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+92.3%+$34.18
Cavaliers vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$62
Clippers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$99
Lakers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+30.3%+$4.58
Spread: Raptors (-10.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+88.7%+$87.78
Jazz vs. Raptorsbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$99
Spread: Raptors (-9.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+100%+$98.99
Nets vs. Pistonsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$42.23
Nets vs. Pistons: O/U 213.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50.98
Spread: Celtics (-13.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+104.1%+$103.04
Timberwolves vs. Grizzliesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+33.3%+$33
Showing 25 of 101 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 4, 2026, EST2259.1%13 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UNLV Runnin' Rebels vs. Fresno State Bulldogsbacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$92.42
Colorado State Rams vs. Wyoming Cowboysbacked Wyoming Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+28.2%+$14.89
South Florida Bulls vs. Temple Owlsbacked Temple Owls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+38.9%+$38.5
Stanford Cardinal vs. Florida State Seminolesbacked Florida State Seminoles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+78.6%+$38.27
New Mexico State Aggies vs. Kennesaw State Owlsbacked Kennesaw State Owls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+63.9%+$63.3
Georgia Southern Eagles vs. Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajunsbacked Georgia Southern Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$24.74
Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. UCF Knightsbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$99
Stony Brook Seawolves vs. Campbell Fighting Camelsbacked Campbell Fighting Camels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$99
Lehigh Mountain Hawks vs. Army Black Knightsbacked Army Black Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+63.9%+$31.31
Arizona State Sun Devils vs. UCF Knightsbacked Arizona State Sun Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$82.88
Wake Forest Demon Deacons vs. Pittsburgh Panthersbacked Pittsburgh Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+203%+$188.99
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Baylor Bearsbacked Baylor Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$27.88
Texas State Bobcats vs. Coastal Carolina Chanticleersbacked Coastal Carolina Chanticleers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+99.3%+$98.29
South Florida Bulls vs. UAB Blazersbacked UAB Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$99
Kennesaw State Owls vs. Sam Houston Bearkats: O/U 166.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$99
Radford Highlanders vs. Winthrop Eaglesbacked Winthrop Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+31.6%+$31.26
East Tennessee State Buccaneers vs. Chattanooga Mocsbacked East Tennessee State Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+53.8%+$53.31
Dayton Flyers vs. La Salle Explorersbacked Dayton Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$99
Georgetown Hoyas vs. Villanova Wildcatsbacked Villanova Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+31.6%+$31.26
Saint Louis Billikens vs. Duquesne Dukes: O/U 164.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+108.3%+$107.25
Minnesota Golden Gophers vs. Ohio State Buckeyesbacked Ohio State Buckeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+28.2%+$27.92
Drexel Dragons vs. Towson Tigers: O/U 125.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+96.1%+$47.56
All 22 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST1338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bruins vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+300%+$296.97
Blue Jackets vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$99
Predators vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$78.96
Golden Knights vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+108.3%+$107.25
Bruins vs. Rangersbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$99
Islanders vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$99
Utah vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+72.4%+$71.69
Hurricanes vs. Senatorsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+81.8%+$81
Spread: Bruins (-1.5)backed Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+40.8%+$24.75
Lightning vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$99
Lightning vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$12.5
Golden Knights vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$44
Sabres vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$16.32
All 13 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST988.9%8 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.24per pick65cpaid+33.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
CA Tigre vs. Racing Club: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+53.8%+$53.3
Will CA Independiente win on 2026-01-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+44.9%+$44.47
CA Lanús vs. CA Unión: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+47.1%+$46.59
Mirassol FC vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+53.8%+$52.77
Will CA Belgrano vs. CA Tigre end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+35.1%+$34.78
Will Santos FC win on 2026-01-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+61.3%+$60.68
CA Huracán vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+50.1%+$12.69
Will CA Tigre win on 2026-01-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$99
Will CA Unión win on 2026-01-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+56.3%+$55.69
All 9 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 30, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid+18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Team WE vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 1backed ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.6
LoL: T1 Academy vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff Play-Inbacked T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$98.99
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff Play-Inbacked Hanwha Life Esports Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+354.5%+$179.18
LoL: Natus Vincere vs GIANTX (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+78.6%+$51.25
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$45.51
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 2 Winnerbacked CTBC Flying Oyster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$98.99
LoL: DN Freecs vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winnerbacked DN Freecs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$31.79
LoL: Team Vitality vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO1)backed Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+33.3%+$16.5
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3)backed Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+198.6%+$196.59
All 9 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST80%0 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 4, 2026, EST837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick58cpaid-45%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open: Dayana Yastremska vs Ekaterina Alexandrovabacked Alexandrova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+38.9%+$34.16
Australian Open Men's: Karen Khachanov vs Luciano Darderibacked Khachanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$99
Australian Open Men's: Cristian Garin vs Luciano Darderibacked Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+56.3%+$27.84
Australian Open Men's: Lorenzo Sonego vs Carlos Tabernerbacked Taberner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$49.5
Australian Open Women's: Leylah Fernandez vs Janice Tjenbacked Fernandez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$49.5
Australian Open Women's: Tereza Valentova vs Maya Jointbacked Valentova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+44.9%+$22.24
Australian Open Women's: Ashlyn Krueger vs Sara Bejlekbacked Bejlek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$49.5
Australian Open Men's: Alexei Popyrin vs Alexandre Mullerbacked Popyrin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$12.58
All 8 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+26.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-69.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 4, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-25.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Indiana (-7.5)backed Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+100%+$198
Miami vs. Indianabacked Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$198
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Leicester City FC vs. Charlton Athletic FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+33.3%+$33
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 325: Dan Hooker vs. Benoit Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Saint Denis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+25%+$24.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$248Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$247.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Newcastle United Jets FC vs. Brisbane Roar FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$23.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$198
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.