Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
New Mexico State Aggies vs. Kennesaw State Owls
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7caf62797f6c2cc73ed67c6f4e69ee608e9bb6b71b44440d697f237e6086f808
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kennesaw State Owlsof New Mexico State Aggies, Kennesaw State Owls
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,967
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,078
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,967 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x05b9…2adfbacked New Mexico State Aggies | 48c | 2,084$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 572 | 48.1%275 W · 297 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Kennesaw State Owls | 52c | 778.78$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.25 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked New Mexico State Aggies | 14c | 724$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.49 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d8a…e842backed Kennesaw State Owls | 60c | 602.79$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.12 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde5d…e2d7backed Kennesaw State Owls | 61c | 586.15$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Kennesaw State Owls | 53c | 466.98$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.48 | 158 | 51.9%82 W · 76 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed New Mexico State Aggies | 47c | 428$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.16 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2745…a5fbbacked Kennesaw State Owls | 61c | 405.74$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.24 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22c3…8cc5backed New Mexico State Aggies | 7c | 312.5$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbab9…54d4backed New Mexico State Aggies | 43c | 309.44$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed New Mexico State Aggies | 40c | 175.24$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.1 | 583 | 45.5%265 W · 318 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab8…b5a6backed Kennesaw State Owls | 61c | 162.3$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.3 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed New Mexico State Aggies | 40c | 150.59$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.96 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Kennesaw State Owls | 52c | 121.33$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.02 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aff…c91bbacked New Mexico State Aggies | 44c | 116$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.04 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Kennesaw State Owls | 54c | 111.1$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.11 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Kennesaw State Owls | 55c | 72.96$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.52 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed New Mexico State Aggies | 43c | 67.18$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.85 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed New Mexico State Aggies | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72ea…d4f2backed New Mexico State Aggies | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 217 | 46.1%100 W · 117 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked New Mexico State Aggies | 25c | 40.43$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6468…e03dbacked Kennesaw State Owls | 56c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbba…e95bbacked Kennesaw State Owls | 56c | 36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | +6.2wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7eaa…3ea5backed New Mexico State Aggies | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8f…1f83backed Kennesaw State Owls | 63c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 646 | 58.8%380 W · 266 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed New Mexico State Aggies | 46c | 29.61$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.57 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b79…a497backed Kennesaw State Owls | 62c | 27.44$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.43 | 34 | 73.5%25 W · 9 L | +7.0wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x71ac…5fd6backed Kennesaw State Owls | 57c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Kennesaw State Owls | 54c | 24.36$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd568…655ebacked Kennesaw State Owls | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New Mexico State Aggies vs. Kennesaw State Owlsthis page
- New Mexico State Aggies vs. Kennesaw State Owls: O/U 158.5Under won
- New Mexico State Aggies vs. Kennesaw State Owls: O/U 159.5Under won
- Spread: Kennesaw State Owls (-1.5)Kennesaw State Owls won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.