TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xde5d…e2d7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
96
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: NHL, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 58 out of 100; worst Middle East at 36.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT3240.6%13 W · 19 L-3.8wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-25.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.55
Timberwolves vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.08
Spread: Spurs (-17.5)backed Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.81
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$74.11
Spread: Lakers (-8.5)backed Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$16.91
Spread: Knicks (-2.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$49.49
Spread: Celtics (-2.5)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$49.49
Celtics vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$49.5
Spread: Nets (-4.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$367Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+100%+$366.65
Spread: Knicks (-11.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$193Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+92.3%+$177.85
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+96.1%+$96.33
Grizzlies vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$19.78
76ers vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$3,093Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$3,093.29
Rockets vs. Pacersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+56.3%+$26.56
Lakers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+92.3%+$45.68
Bulls vs. Heat: O/U 232.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$3,050Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$3,050.08
Warriors vs. Jazzbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+35.1%+$34.77
Spread: Warriors (-10.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$396Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$395.96
Spread: Bulls (-2.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+88.6%+$531.55
Bulls vs. Pacersbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$148.5
Pistons vs. Nuggets: O/U 218.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+88.7%+$21.95
Spread: Trail Blazers (-6.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$24.75
Spread: Celtics (-3.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$49.5
Lakers vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$49.5
Spread: Celtics (-1.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$49.5
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT2166.7%14 W · 7 L+3.2wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+35.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
NHL — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Capitals vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.11
Senators vs. Capitalsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.07
Ducks vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.08
Red Wings vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$16.71
Golden Knights vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$19.8
Golden Knights vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+78.6%+$19.44
Avalanche vs. Kings: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+78.6%+$97.19
Stars vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$71.9
Blue Jackets vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$49.48
Blue Jackets vs. Rangers: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$173.18
Panthers vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+127.3%+$63
Blues vs. Wildbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+212.5%+$52.57
Jets vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+108.3%+$52.81
Jets vs. Sharks: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+81.8%+$67.7
Canucks vs. Kraken: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+78.6%+$19.44
Red Wings vs. Avalanchebacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+170.3%+$168.53
Golden Knights vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,521Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+92.3%+$1,403.58
Blue Jackets vs. Blackhawks: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,896Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+81.9%+$1,551.88
Sharks vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,433Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+69.3%+$993.57
Jets vs. Devilsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+117.4%+$58.11
Kings vs. Red Wings: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$568Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+90.6%+$514.71
All 21 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.24per pick58cpaid-46.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
CS2 — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Bbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+29.9%+$14.79
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Abacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$445Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$445.41
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$198
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs FaZe (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Bbacked BC.Game Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$24.35
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Abacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,385Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+59.5%+$823.63
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Astralis (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Abacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$208Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+88.7%+$184.28
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$98.98
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$49.49
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs NRG (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$49.49
All 9 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 4, 2026, EST5100%5 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+66.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Lol — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST50%0 W · 5 L-3.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
Middle East — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+51.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+87.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+516.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick63cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Leeds United FC vs. Sunderland AFC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$148.47
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+75.4%+$112
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Australian Open Men's: Novak Djokovic vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+104.1%+$51.51
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atalanta BC vs. US Cremonese: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+75.4%+$43.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New Mexico State Aggies vs. Kennesaw State Owlsbacked Kennesaw State Owls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$358Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+63.7%+$228.17
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+62.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+62.2%+$18.46
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 325: Dan Hooker vs. Benoit Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Saint Denis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$742Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+25%+$185.62
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be 43°F or below on May 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.57
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 27, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$18.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Al Hazem SC vs. Al Okhdood SC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$715Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$715.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.38
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.