NHL · resolved market
Senators vs. Capitals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0fc9db481bec29089b29bd752e8bef17e7bbdb9ac888bc565131e073936813f3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Capitalsof Senators, Capitals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $791,490
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $791,490 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 735 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9976…67dabacked Senators | 55c | 222,814$123,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123,246.26 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Capitals | 45c | 200,000$90,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109,999.98 | 224 | 43.8%98 W · 126 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Senators | 53c | 108,710$58,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58,053.78 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Capitals | 45c | 86,450$38,706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47,744.36 | 403 | 51.9%209 W · 194 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Senators | 55c | 66,000$36,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,500 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Capitals | 49c | 24,812$12,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,651.48 | 274 | 48.9%134 W · 140 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Capitals | 45c | 21,600$9,672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,928.44 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Capitals | 44c | 21,520$9,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,966.12 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b1…78fdbacked Capitals | 47c | 21,146$9,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,265.86 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Senators | 55c | 20,000$11,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,000 | 270 | 48.1%130 W · 140 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…80aebacked Senators | 18c | 18,995$3,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,507.28 | 327 | 44%144 W · 183 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Capitals | 44c | 18,888$8,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,577.28 | 218 | 50.9%111 W · 107 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Capitals | 44c | 18,839$8,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,549 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb6…cb97backed Capitals | 47c | 18,271$8,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,683.52 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Senators | 55c | 17,750$9,763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,762.5 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Capitals | 50c | 14,185$7,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,114.66 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Senators | 56c | 13,704$7,637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,637.35 | 128 | 38.3%49 W · 79 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Senators | 55c | 11,761$6,471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,471.44 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Capitals | 46c | 11,304$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,104.35 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Capitals | 44c | 10,975$4,829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,145.96 | 243 | 49.8%121 W · 122 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Capitals | 47c | 10,570$4,968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,602.1 | 514 | 52.3%269 W · 245 L | +17.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e6…1dc1backed Senators | 53c | 9,400$4,982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,981.98 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Senators | 56c | 8,929$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 321 | 51.7%166 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Capitals | 46c | 8,525$3,896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,629.5 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Senators | 56c | 7,500$4,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,200 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Capitals | 46c | 7,500$3,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,064.92 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…d142backed Senators | 55c | 7,222$3,972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,972.1 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Capitals | 46c | 6,500$2,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,524.95 | 435 | 48.5%211 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Capitals | 45c | 6,303$2,809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,494.15 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebc7…4003backed Capitals | 44c | 6,000$2,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,359.99 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Senators | 54c | 6,000$3,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,239.93 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Senators | 53c | 5,833$3,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,080.42 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Capitals | 45c | 5,722$2,557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,164.66 | 457 | 51.6%236 W · 221 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Capitals | 77c | 5,627$4,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,269.4 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Capitals | 46c | 5,600$2,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,031.99 | 278 | 50.4%140 W · 138 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Senators | 55c | 5,500$3,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,024.95 | 157 | 49.7%78 W · 79 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Senators | 55c | 5,455$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000.24 | 151 | 45%68 W · 83 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x607d…53a1backed Capitals | 46c | 5,435$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,934.78 | 134 | 46.3%62 W · 72 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56be…57eebacked Capitals | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,749.96 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +6.3wins | +0.22per pick | 42cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…9858backed Capitals | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,749.92 | 291 | 46.7%136 W · 155 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Senators | 42c | 4,696$1,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,950.23 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Capitals | 44c | 4,545$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,545.2 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b35…5da2backed Senators | 12c | 4,167$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 220 | 43.2%95 W · 125 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Capitals | 45c | 4,063$1,828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,234.55 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Capitals | 44c | 4,000$1,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,240 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeffd…5a86backed Senators | 54c | 4,000$2,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,169.98 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Capitals | 45c | 3,333$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,833.33 | 315 | 50.8%160 W · 155 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff8…8a76backed Senators | 56c | 3,014$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Capitals | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,650 | 275 | 47.6%131 W · 144 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Senators | 55c | 2,938$1,616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,615.75 | 193 | 53.9%104 W · 89 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Capitals | 47c | 2,872$1,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,536.5 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Senators | 13c | 2,864$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.3 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161b…acc2backed Capitals | 46c | 2,804$1,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,514.35 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6195…b9e3backed Capitals | 46c | 2,781$1,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,501.74 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…8f46backed Senators | 55c | 2,700$1,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,485 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Capitals | 46c | 2,668$1,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,432.4 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Capitals | 45c | 2,603$1,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,431.65 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Capitals | 46c | 2,600$1,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,404 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…32c2backed Senators | 55c | 2,400$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,319.99 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Senators | 55c | 2,364$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2838…e27fbacked Capitals | 47c | 2,313$1,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,225.89 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5b…88acbacked Capitals | 47c | 2,228$1,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,180.66 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Capitals | 44c | 2,222$978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,244.32 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Senators | 25c | 2,166$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.78 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Senators | 12c | 2,083$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 437 | 43%188 W · 249 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Capitals | 47c | 2,018$948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,070.06 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Capitals | 45c | 2,000$895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,105 | 210 | 48.1%101 W · 109 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…75a0backed Capitals | 47c | 1,911$898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,012.62 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Senators | 55c | 1,869$1,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,027.95 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Senators | 42c | 1,833$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774.98 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Senators | 16c | 1,829$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.48 | 332 | 34.3%114 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed Senators | 52c | 1,780$926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$925.59 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Capitals | 61c | 1,762$1,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.46 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16bd…e288backed Senators | 47c | 1,711$803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803.05 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…e574backed Senators | 56c | 1,621$908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$907.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0338…04b7backed Senators | 48c | 1,602$769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768.77 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…5554backed Capitals | 46c | 1,600$732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$867.99 | 457 | 49.2%225 W · 232 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ff…24e3backed Capitals | 47c | 1,598$751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$846.87 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Capitals | 52c | 1,522$786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736.07 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Capitals | 66c | 1,505$986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.96 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x221d…e800backed Capitals | 52c | 1,464$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.6 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | 0%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86b0…a9e6backed Capitals | 44c | 1,314$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.58 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb145…df85backed Senators | 48c | 1,240$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +5.8wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…bbf9backed Senators | 56c | 1,150$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644 | 206 | 55.3%114 W · 92 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Senators | 55c | 1,111$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.01 | 428 | 47.2%202 W · 226 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Capitals | 47c | 1,092$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.44 | 622 | 49.4%307 W · 315 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa105…da58backed Capitals | 46c | 1,060$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.4 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +4.5wins | +0.32per pick | 46cpaid | +67.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Capitals | 47c | 1,056$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.62 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Capitals | 47c | 1,050$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.5 | 322 | 51.9%167 W · 155 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…f205backed Senators | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 242 | 0.8%2 W · 240 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Senators | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd0…865fbacked Senators | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Capitals | 44c | 999.99$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.99 | 129 | 47.3%61 W · 68 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Senators | 54c | 974.41$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.79 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Capitals | 46c | 969.57$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.57 | 295 | 51.9%153 W · 142 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ed…b5bcbacked Senators | 52c | 966.91$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.79 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacbe…85d4backed Capitals | 48c | 954$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.08 | 201 | 47.3%95 W · 106 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Capitals | 48c | 951$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.52 | 366 | 48.6%178 W · 188 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Capitals | 46c | 947.39$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.59 | 317 | 53.9%171 W · 146 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa10e…4ea1backed Senators | 56c | 932.65$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.87 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Senators vs. Capitalsthis page
- Senators vs. Capitals: O/U 4.5Over won
- Senators vs. Capitals: O/U 5.5Under won
- Senators vs. Capitals: O/U 6.5Under won
- Senators vs. Capitals: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Capitals (-1.5)Capitals won
- Spread: Senators (-1.5)Capitals won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.