TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3697…e574

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
88
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: NBA, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 54 out of 100; worst Tennis at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT7252.8%38 W · 34 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 72 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Madison Keysbacked Madison Keys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$874Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$874.1
Miami Open: Tommy Paul vs Raphael Collignonbacked Tommy Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$540Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+62.4%+$337.02
Elina Svitolina vs. Hailey Baptiste: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Under 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$682Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+32.7%+$223.11
Miami Open: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Jaqueline Cristianbacked Ekaterina Alexandrova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,271Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,271.49
Baena vs. Busta: Match O/U 21.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$536Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$535.54
Miami Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Marin Cilicbacked Brandon Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$228.28
Morelos: Michael Mmoh vs Tyler Zinkbacked Michael Mmoh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$575Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$470.25
Miami Open: Alycia Parks vs Coco Gauffbacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,643Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+25%+$410.8
Miami Open: Adam Walton vs Jakub Mensikbacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$972Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$457.28
Miami Open: Andrey Rublev vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$2,093Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,093.07
Miami Open: Rei Sakamoto vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,396Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+49%+$683.79
Miami Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Marton Fucsovicsbacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$975Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$438.03
Miami Open: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Quentin Halysbacked Alejandro Davidovich Fokina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Miami Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Learner Tienbacked Learner Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$559Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$558.6
Miami Open: Terence Atmane vs Arthur Rinderknechbacked Arthur Rinderknech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$930Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$930.33
Murcia: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Kimmer Coppejansbacked Pablo Carreno Busta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$471Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$148.8
Murcia: Jesper de Jong vs Roberto Carballes Baenabacked Jesper de Jong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$536Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$535.5
Zadar: Matej Dodig vs Stefano Travagliabacked Stefano Travaglia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$716Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+39.6%+$283.82
Miami Open: Luciano Darderi vs Martin Landalucebacked Luciano Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$826Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$825.89
Miami Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Alex de Minaurbacked Alex de Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$620Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$619.77
Miami Open: Caty McNally vs Xinyu Wangbacked Xinyu Wang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$540Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$540
Miami Open: Arthur Cazaux vs Tomas Barriosbacked Arthur Cazaux · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,092Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+60.9%+$665.57
Miami Open: Alexander Bublik vs Matteo Berrettinibacked Alexander Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$247Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$247
Miami Open: Gabriel Diallo vs Yibing Wubacked Yibing Wu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$248Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$248.5
Miami Open: Casper Ruud vs Ethan Quinnbacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$999.92
Showing 25 of 72 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick66cpaid+33.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bucks vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$760Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$760
76ers vs. Jazzbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,044Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+37%+$386.1
Cavaliers vs. Pelicansbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$348Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$252
Lakers vs. Magicbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$412Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$298.2
Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$240
Cavaliers vs. Bucksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,014Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$286
All 6 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid+108.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Penguins vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+525%+$840
Senators vs. Capitalsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$908Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$907.84
Sharks vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$293Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$293.25
All 3 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kayserispor win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+82.3%+$162.06
Kayserispor vs. Fatih Karagümrük SK: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$264Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$263.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Gen.G vs G2 Esports (BO5) - First Stand Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$782Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+58.6%+$457.97
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: DRX Academy vs FearX (BO3) - VCL Korea: Regular Seasonbacked DRX Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$999Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$998.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: AVULUS vs VP.Prodigy (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Play-In Group Abacked AVULUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.48
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$276Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$276
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: MINLATE vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #19 Group Stagebacked Bebop · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,056Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,056.46
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.