TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Miami Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Madison Keys

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Qinwen Zhengof Qinwen Zheng, Madison Keys
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$390,841

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $390,841 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 229 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd6a3…9489backed Madison Keys34c23,938$8,199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,199.422,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x67b4…19acbacked Madison Keys28c18,829$5,181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,180.888229.3%24 W · 58 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-24.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x246b…fb5bbacked Qinwen Zheng77c15,809$12,104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,705.234362.8%27 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Qinwen Zheng58c10,876$6,343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,533.498,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b60…5baabacked Qinwen Zheng57c9,956$5,675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,281.07540%2 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick64cpaid-37.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Madison Keys33c7,695$2,502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,502.387,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x844e…4efdbacked Qinwen Zheng56c7,186$4,024 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,161.963151.6%16 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Qinwen Zheng43c6,819$2,927 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,892.131,13250.3%569 W · 563 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ae5…ead2backed Madison Keys64c6,124$3,917 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,9174245.2%19 W · 23 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-14.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Qinwen Zheng63c5,933$3,733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,200.346,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Qinwen Zheng44c5,882$2,595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,287.1920336%73 W · 130 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+14.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7bc5…4626backed Madison Keys62c5,443$3,385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,384.5315444.2%68 W · 86 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Qinwen Zheng44c5,060$2,233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,826.9111,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Qinwen Zheng35c4,734$1,669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,065.11,26529.2%370 W · 895 L-13.3wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f35…95dabacked Qinwen Zheng19c4,500$855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,64545343.9%199 W · 254 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Madison Keys56c4,418$2,474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,473.951,44648.8%706 W · 740 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8816…7738backed Madison Keys57c4,386$2,494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,493.991,10650.3%556 W · 550 L-21.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d58…1aeabacked Qinwen Zheng41c3,700$1,517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,1838031.3%25 W · 55 L-0.1wins0.00per pick31cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed Qinwen Zheng52c3,658$1,912 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,746.4266139.3%260 W · 401 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4ee…47c8backed Madison Keys61c3,111$1,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,899.8420261.4%124 W · 78 L+11.4wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4042…0bdabacked Madison Keys45c2,840$1,278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,277.9698240.1%394 W · 588 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Qinwen Zheng37c2,760$1,016 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,743.8675748.6%368 W · 389 L+16.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x40f7…1f5ebacked Madison Keys61c2,750$1,668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,667.574743.6%326 W · 421 L-6.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked Qinwen Zheng56c2,692$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,192.2844754.4%243 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Madison Keys69c2,523$1,743 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,743.452,48945.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L-27.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x437c…f458backed Madison Keys57c2,523$1,438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,438.0912442.7%53 W · 71 L-7.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-16.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb875…68a8backed Madison Keys62c2,505$1,553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,552.573548.6%17 W · 18 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+20.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Madison Keys51c2,491$1,279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,278.7813351.9%69 W · 64 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4173…d3edbacked Madison Keys44c2,287$1,009 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00955646.4%258 W · 298 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a32…9f40backed Madison Keys44c2,281$1,011 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,010.8722949.8%114 W · 115 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bcf…327ebacked Qinwen Zheng53c2,250$1,184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,065.683548.6%17 W · 18 L-3.8wins-0.11per pick60cpaid-26.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd5d4…8b32backed Madison Keys1c2,111$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.111,2068%96 W · 1,110 L+17.2wins+0.01per pick7cpaid+80.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Madison Keys57c2,102$1,188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,188.362751.9%14 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Qinwen Zheng45c2,102$946 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,156.2719835.4%70 W · 128 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8df8…59ddbacked Qinwen Zheng39c1,726$673 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,052.6424438.9%95 W · 149 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Madison Keys58c1,718$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0006058.3%35 W · 25 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d3b…8389backed Madison Keys48c1,700$816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3697…e574backed Madison Keys52c1,674$874 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$874.17252.8%38 W · 34 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9346…cb76backed Madison Keys60c1,632$979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$979.19580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+79.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb31e…c120backed Madison Keys44c1,550$682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$682.1529654.4%161 W · 135 L+0.9wins0.00per pick54cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1eaf…9bf0backed Qinwen Zheng43c1,467$631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$836.156757.1%324 W · 243 L+13.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Qinwen Zheng44c1,424$627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$797.71,16137.6%437 W · 724 L-27.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9bcc…84c1backed Madison Keys55c1,289$709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$709.1210341.7%43 W · 60 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb31…7b95backed Madison Keys17c1,176$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20068026.2%178 W · 502 L-24.5wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-18.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Madison Keys12c1,171$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.9324229.8%72 W · 170 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70ac…0c7dbacked Madison Keys51c1,150$583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$582.862,53753.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L+61.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Madison Keys36c1,119$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.8937741.4%156 W · 221 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-7.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaab8…a331backed Madison Keys45c1,111$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50018651.1%95 W · 91 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1da3…2f94backed Qinwen Zheng46c1,087$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.0716743.7%73 W · 94 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cc9…f0b3backed Madison Keys23c1,087$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25015117.9%27 W · 124 L-9.8wins-0.07per pick24cpaid-42.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Madison Keys30c1,086$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.782,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed Qinwen Zheng41c1,057$433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$623.671,11842.8%479 W · 639 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe394…289cbacked Qinwen Zheng43c1,000$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57028451.1%145 W · 139 L+8.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8374…4015backed Madison Keys56c964.29$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5407346.6%34 W · 39 L+4.8wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+9.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf75b…50b0backed Madison Keys46c861.11$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb69f…d51cbacked Madison Keys29c844.9$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.7714752.4%77 W · 70 L+0.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…d83abacked Qinwen Zheng43c840.53$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.113135.9%47 W · 84 L+0.4wins0.00per pick36cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d2a…d5d0backed Qinwen Zheng72c838.94$604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.2424762.3%154 W · 93 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x64ae…ead9backed Qinwen Zheng24c833.33$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$633.3360641.6%252 W · 354 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef46…b0eabacked Madison Keys60c800$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48039438.1%150 W · 244 L-16.4wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2fd6…cb53backed Qinwen Zheng62c741.94$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.94580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.21per pick59cpaid+38.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Qinwen Zheng43c664.65$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.442,46238.5%948 W · 1,514 L+93.1wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f04…6a54backed Madison Keys22c645.85$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.943732.4%12 W · 25 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa10e…4ea1backed Madison Keys32c625$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008331.3%26 W · 57 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7c32…d322backed Madison Keys66c610.31$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40012066.7%80 W · 40 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Qinwen Zheng38c600.07$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.744,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Qinwen Zheng53c599.35$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.983,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e59…1520backed Qinwen Zheng48c581.85$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.5630744.6%137 W · 170 L+0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Qinwen Zheng64c570.81$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.364,42651.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L+136.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Madison Keys38c567.98$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.539,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Qinwen Zheng62c560.5$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.645147.2%213 W · 238 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9694…b7adbacked Madison Keys55c545.45$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002,05859.5%1,225 W · 833 L-1.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c1e…fe89backed Madison Keys41c528$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.2420%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xed19…83babacked Madison Keys20c520.38$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.884736%305 W · 542 L-35.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe6d7…526dbacked Qinwen Zheng19c518.47$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$417.741118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.18per pick36cpaid-35.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0828…5cfebacked Qinwen Zheng40c516.08$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.6415147.7%72 W · 79 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-16.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2b6…d7cebacked Qinwen Zheng40c516.08$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.645749.1%28 W · 29 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Madison Keys36c513$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.684,60248.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L+34.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xedd0…731cbacked Madison Keys59c508.47$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30018156.9%103 W · 78 L-11.8wins-0.07per pick63cpaid-10.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf93f…f94bbacked Qinwen Zheng44c500$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2808337.3%31 W · 52 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Qinwen Zheng41c500$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2951,42128.6%407 W · 1,014 L+4.5wins0.00per pick28cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf5f…6851backed Madison Keys57c474.19$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.29955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82ca…da8dbacked Qinwen Zheng77c471.58$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.461776.5%13 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick67cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x53cd…11b3backed Qinwen Zheng43c465.12$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.123658.3%21 W · 15 L+7.7wins+0.21per pick37cpaid+79.7%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x1a8d…ab7ebacked Madison Keys47c449.99$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2106443.8%28 W · 36 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+5.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8ae3…3c15backed Madison Keys59c447.71$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.1568350.1%342 W · 341 L-25.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x39dc…fc23backed Qinwen Zheng48c400$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.261,86144.4%827 W · 1,034 L-15.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Madison Keys56c357.14$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,84148.5%892 W · 949 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Qinwen Zheng42c355.63$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.771,80943.8%793 W · 1,016 L-2.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x569e…4a85backed Madison Keys57c350.88$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008058.8%47 W · 33 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c94…2c0dbacked Madison Keys26c346.15$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+13.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe0ad…683fbacked Madison Keys58c344.86$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.0224852%129 W · 119 L+0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad88…3c1ebacked Madison Keys58c344.83$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20024747.4%117 W · 130 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd641…cd4bbacked Madison Keys61c341.29$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.42365.2%15 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Qinwen Zheng44c340.91$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.911,76843.2%764 W · 1,004 L+2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Madison Keys71c330$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.91,00846%464 W · 544 L-19.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf86…601fbacked Madison Keys61c327.87$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010134.7%35 W · 66 L-6.1wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-17.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6bff…267ebacked Madison Keys68c326$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.681650%8 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf731…4ae7backed Madison Keys60c324.25$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Qinwen Zheng44c321.05$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.7953058.1%308 W · 222 L+15.8wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.