TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xed19…83ba

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
865
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Euroleague, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Euroleague at 54 out of 100; worst Tennis at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT84736%305 W · 542 L-35.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 847 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bordeaux: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Roman Andres Burruchagabacked Roman Andres Burruchaga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$327Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$326.9
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Iga Swiatek vs Elina Svitolinabacked Iga Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.35
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Martin Landaluce vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+95.7%+$181.79
Valencia: Sebastian Baez vs Pablo Carreno Bustabacked Sebastian Baez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.56
Cordoba: Franco Roncadelli vs Nicolas Kickerbacked Nicolas Kicker · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.04
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Naomi Osaka vs Iga Swiatekbacked Naomi Osaka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$210
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Flavio Cobolli vs Thiago Agustin Tirantebacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$750Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$750
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$371Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$401.68
Parma: Lois Boisson vs Dominika Salkovabacked Lois Boisson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,978Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,977.74
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Frances Tiafoe vs Andrea Pellegrinobacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,970Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,970
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Brandon Nakashima vs Nikoloz Basilashvilibacked Brandon Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$3,230Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,229.81
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Anna Kalinskaya vs Jelena Ostapenkobacked Anna Kalinskaya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$590Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$590
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Sorana Cirstea vs Linda Noskovabacked Linda Noskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$480Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$480
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Matteo Arnaldi vs Rafael Jodarbacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$306Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$567.46
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Laura Siegemund vs Karolina Pliskovabacked Laura Siegemund · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$255.36
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Tommy Paul vs Luciano Darderibacked Luciano Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$379Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+489.2%+$1,854.05
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Learner Tien vs Alexander Bublikbacked Learner Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$191Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+252.7%+$482.86
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Lorenzo Musetti vs Francisco Cerundolobacked Francisco Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Casper Ruud vs Jiri Leheckabacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$807.69
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Tomas Etcheverry vs Mattia Belluccibacked Tomas Etcheverry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Corentin Moutet vs Pablo Llamas Ruizbacked Corentin Moutet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$381Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$380.71
Wuxi: Mark Lajal vs Soon-Woo Kwonbacked Mark Lajal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Jiujiang: Zhuoxuan Bai vs En-Shuo Liangbacked En-Shuo Liang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+190.7%+$262.45
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Yannick Hanfmann vs Luciano Darderibacked Yannick Hanfmann · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.15
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Ugo Humbert vs Vit Koprivabacked Ugo Humbert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$689Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+96.2%+$662.69
Showing 25 of 847 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST850%4 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-18.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 66-67°F on January 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$23.09
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 23°F or below on January 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+94.3%+$19.48
Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on January 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$105
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 42-43°F on January 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$19
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 40-41°F on January 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+57.1%+$28.54
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 39°F or below on January 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+56.6%+$56.26
Will the highest temperature in London be 6°C on January 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+43.9%+$22.71
Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on January 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$40.02
All 8 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$6.22
Heat vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$8.42
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.84per pick16cpaid+542%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Zalgiris Kaunas vs. Fenerbahcebacked Zalgiris Kaunas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+542%+$318.88
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$54.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.