Tennis · resolved market
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Naomi Osaka vs Iga Swiatek
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8567e48ae1392a1d4a3a0bec655b5c8807843ffdd5638a8dfe8671dae17cc16e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Iga Swiatekof Naomi Osaka, Iga Swiatek
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $329,722
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $388,550
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $329,722 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 219 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Naomi Osaka | 16c | 21,862$3,524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,524.02 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd27c…c081backed Iga Swiatek | 74c | 11,000$8,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,871.85 | 156 | 65.4%102 W · 54 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Naomi Osaka | 24c | 10,157$2,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,478.1 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb7…a0f1backed Naomi Osaka | 27c | 10,021$2,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,749.77 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51e1…5ec9backed Naomi Osaka | 15c | 6,412$939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$938.84 | 440 | 18.9%83 W · 357 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Naomi Osaka | 12c | 6,392$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751.69 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Naomi Osaka | 10c | 5,388$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.06 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1da3…2f94backed Naomi Osaka | 17c | 5,375$914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$914.49 | 167 | 43.7%73 W · 94 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf07…c35cbacked Naomi Osaka | 28c | 4,564$1,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,278.03 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ebb…cb1abacked Naomi Osaka | 16c | 4,509$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 300 | 56.7%170 W · 130 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87ce…3ba3backed Naomi Osaka | 25c | 4,400$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Naomi Osaka | 17c | 4,251$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736.69 | 937 | 40.6%380 W · 557 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c3a…eb16backed Naomi Osaka | 25c | 3,734$937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$937.41 | 73 | 20.5%15 W · 58 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Naomi Osaka | 6c | 3,465$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.09 | 973 | 7.9%77 W · 896 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Iga Swiatek | 75c | 3,333$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833.33 | 620 | 61.9%384 W · 236 L | -18.7wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Naomi Osaka | 15c | 3,315$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.58 | 198 | 35.4%70 W · 128 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceb0…3036backed Iga Swiatek | 75c | 3,302$2,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825.9 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Iga Swiatek | 74c | 3,192$2,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830 | 1,267 | 56.6%717 W · 550 L | -18.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f35…95dabacked Naomi Osaka | 12c | 3,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 453 | 43.9%199 W · 254 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0267…7f7ebacked Naomi Osaka | 20c | 2,932$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 304 | 36.2%110 W · 194 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d4…8b32backed Naomi Osaka | 1c | 2,642$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.26 | 1,206 | 8%96 W · 1,110 L | +17.2wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…ef9ebacked Iga Swiatek | 76c | 2,631$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.98 | 940 | 68.1%640 W · 300 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3b0…23a1backed Iga Swiatek | 77c | 2,599$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.25 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 72cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Iga Swiatek | 75c | 2,529$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.06 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18de…7c92backed Iga Swiatek | 79c | 2,515$1,987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.07 | 147 | 54.4%80 W · 67 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f9…9419backed Naomi Osaka | 24c | 2,500$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.97 | 308 | 27.6%85 W · 223 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Iga Swiatek | 75c | 2,138$1,603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.43 | 647 | 55.2%357 W · 290 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce9…61e5backed Naomi Osaka | 28c | 2,060$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.48 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fae…0d19backed Naomi Osaka | 24c | 2,009$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.7 | 428 | 39.7%170 W · 258 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4698…d7a5backed Naomi Osaka | 25c | 1,920$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.97 | 536 | 55.4%297 W · 239 L | -28.6wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1b…de56backed Naomi Osaka | 26c | 1,846$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 125 | 36.8%46 W · 79 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Naomi Osaka | 15c | 1,716$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.41 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Naomi Osaka | 16c | 1,650$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 656 | 47.6%312 W · 344 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Iga Swiatek | 75c | 1,541$1,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.29 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Naomi Osaka | 18c | 1,383$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.57 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde76…7d17backed Iga Swiatek | 73c | 1,370$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.89 | 124 | 52.4%65 W · 59 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62ae…c975backed Naomi Osaka | 25c | 1,200$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 215 | 37.2%80 W · 135 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbef…0c11backed Naomi Osaka | 13c | 1,188$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 681 | 57.6%392 W · 289 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f13…6c78backed Iga Swiatek | 75c | 1,120$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 71cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf31…6575backed Naomi Osaka | 26c | 1,120$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.05 | 66 | 31.8%21 W · 45 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b30…46f2backed Iga Swiatek | 75c | 1,110$833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a9…7b35backed Iga Swiatek | 75c | 1,090$818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49b6…326cbacked Iga Swiatek | 75c | 1,080$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed19…83babacked Naomi Osaka | 20c | 1,063$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 847 | 36%305 W · 542 L | -35.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa363…46c8backed Naomi Osaka | 25c | 1,051$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.08 | 228 | 21.1%48 W · 180 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…0bdabacked Naomi Osaka | 28c | 1,050$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 982 | 40.1%394 W · 588 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551d…9326backed Naomi Osaka | 26c | 1,046$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272 | 277 | 39%108 W · 169 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Naomi Osaka | 24c | 1,019$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.02 | 372 | 30.4%113 W · 259 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c0c…a55dbacked Iga Swiatek | 75c | 1,010$758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.5 | 229 | 65.9%151 W · 78 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb2…f12fbacked Iga Swiatek | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 366 | 61.7%226 W · 140 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x422c…9840backed Naomi Osaka | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 234 | 29.9%70 W · 164 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Naomi Osaka | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,421 | 28.6%407 W · 1,014 L | +4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc661…610abacked Naomi Osaka | 18c | 1,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58b3…653cbacked Naomi Osaka | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 450 | 36%162 W · 288 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15e9…26bebacked Naomi Osaka | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 228 | 42.5%97 W · 131 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b1…e077backed Naomi Osaka | 26c | 999.99$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ee…47c8backed Iga Swiatek | 71c | 999.99$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 202 | 61.4%124 W · 78 L | +11.4wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Naomi Osaka | 25c | 999.98$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 809 | 38.8%314 W · 495 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Iga Swiatek | 75c | 953.67$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.42 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd6…5f62backed Iga Swiatek | 77c | 900$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207 | 454 | 57.9%263 W · 191 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…6c9fbacked Iga Swiatek | 74c | 900$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +119.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x287d…38febacked Naomi Osaka | 27c | 879.44$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.45 | 374 | 21.9%82 W · 292 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66d1…c18fbacked Iga Swiatek | 74c | 814.81$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.38 | 225 | 62.7%141 W · 84 L | +21.0wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Naomi Osaka | 15c | 811.29$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.18 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46fb…8eaebacked Naomi Osaka | 26c | 807.69$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8713…4007backed Iga Swiatek | 75c | 666.67$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.67 | 42 | 69%29 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 72cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24c7…77c4backed Naomi Osaka | 26c | 639.85$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.36 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6947…d21bbacked Iga Swiatek | 75c | 626.95$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.74 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae3…3c15backed Naomi Osaka | 27c | 555.56$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 683 | 50.1%342 W · 341 L | -25.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Naomi Osaka | 26c | 529.23$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.71 | 2,855 | 49.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff50…3679backed Naomi Osaka | 27c | 511.37$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Iga Swiatek | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.47 | 2,229 | 45%1,002 W · 1,227 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf677…0e56backed Naomi Osaka | 25c | 480$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 283 | 50.5%143 W · 140 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Iga Swiatek | 73c | 479.22$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.39 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked Naomi Osaka | 16c | 473.95$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.25 | 552 | 43.3%239 W · 313 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…aea6backed Naomi Osaka | 27c | 467.33$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.68 | 412 | 51%210 W · 202 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Iga Swiatek | 74c | 446.52$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.17 | 1,729 | 48.9%845 W · 884 L | +53.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed Naomi Osaka | 14c | 443.13$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.57 | 1,429 | 44.2%631 W · 798 L | -23.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e7…4a56backed Iga Swiatek | 75c | 440.57$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.39 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…eda7backed Naomi Osaka | 26c | 428.12$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.31 | 418 | 46.2%193 W · 225 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Naomi Osaka | 24c | 416.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.06 | 1,444 | 38%548 W · 896 L | -46.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9527…f108backed Naomi Osaka | 3c | 416.65$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 527 | 39.3%207 W · 320 L | +37.6wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Iga Swiatek | 74c | 400.01$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.83 | 1,679 | 48.1%808 W · 871 L | +36.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Naomi Osaka | 28c | 400$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 898 | 50.1%450 W · 448 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc29…422abacked Naomi Osaka | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 137 | 27.7%38 W · 99 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Iga Swiatek | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 281 | 41.6%117 W · 164 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe31a…adffbacked Iga Swiatek | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 252 | 44.4%112 W · 140 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9359…6aacbacked Iga Swiatek | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 157 | 51.6%81 W · 76 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf9…be26backed Iga Swiatek | 79c | 394.92$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.93 | 430 | 62.3%268 W · 162 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e7c…fe09backed Naomi Osaka | 15c | 388.41$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.37 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd3…43aebacked Naomi Osaka | 25c | 388$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x581f…9d8ebacked Iga Swiatek | 68c | 376.47$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.47 | 121 | 53.7%65 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Iga Swiatek | 78c | 367.09$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.42 | 803 | 41.8%336 W · 467 L | -20.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Naomi Osaka | 17c | 349.7$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.15 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Iga Swiatek | 73c | 345.17$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.09 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee9…1362backed Iga Swiatek | 74c | 342.7$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.1 | 725 | 42.6%309 W · 416 L | -20.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Naomi Osaka | 15c | 330.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 197 | 44.2%87 W · 110 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked Naomi Osaka | 23c | 317.41$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.7 | 1,276 | 30.4%388 W · 888 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Iga Swiatek | 74c | 317.1$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.45 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Iga Swiatek | 70c | 309.06$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Naomi Osaka vs Iga Swiatekthis page
- Naomi Osaka vs. Iga Swiatek: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Osaka vs. Swiatek: Match O/U 21.5Under won
- Osaka vs. Swiatek: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Under won
- Set 1 Winner: Osaka vs SwiatekSwiatek won
- Set Handicap: Swiatek (-1.5) vs Osaka (+1.5)Swiatek won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.