TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x37e7…4a56

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
155
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: World Politics, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category World Politics at 53 out of 100; worst Premier League at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT11637.1%43 W · 73 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Weather — the 116 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.81
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on July 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.99
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on May 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+119.8%+$119.82
Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on May 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 16°C on May 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.76
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on May 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 56-57°F on May 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 80-81°F on May 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+157.7%+$31.55
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+161.8%+$110.06
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on May 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on May 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+111.8%+$33.55
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 14°C on May 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on May 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on May 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on May 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+167.2%+$50.15
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on May 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C on May 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on May 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.5
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$147
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+94.6%+$37.82
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on May 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Showing 25 of 116 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT120%0 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$156
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.76
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.84
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.43
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$177.36
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 12 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-56.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLBlast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+45.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Girona FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$190
Will SD Eibar win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$72.41
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seattle Storm vs. Connecticut Sunbacked Seattle Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+96.2%+$96.24
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$200
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$114
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 July 13-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.48
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.