MLB · resolved market
KBO: Kia Tigers vs. Lotte Giants
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xca1bfe4a2b11868636baa007e3001044475796c9e1ff818843e1f8514ab158f4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kia Tigersof Kia Tigers, Lotte Giants
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,681
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,741
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,681 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed Lotte Giants | 32c | 2,000$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 249 | 46.2%115 W · 134 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2613…12bdbacked Kia Tigers | 48c | 924.99$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481 | 213 | 48.4%103 W · 110 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a93…c3eabacked Kia Tigers | 49c | 822.5$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.5 | 265 | 45.7%121 W · 144 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…b20cbacked Kia Tigers | 48c | 699.97$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.99 | 184 | 49.5%91 W · 93 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe22a…cb75backed Lotte Giants | 50c | 428.03$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.02 | 269 | 48.7%131 W · 138 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…95d1backed Lotte Giants | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 95 | 53.7%51 W · 44 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…eee6backed Lotte Giants | 51c | 327.43$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.39 | 145 | 55.9%81 W · 64 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Kia Tigers | 48c | 239$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.28 | 143 | 28.7%41 W · 102 L | -11.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Lotte Giants | 47c | 214.99$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.94 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Lotte Giants | 6c | 207.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.49 | 856 | 35.7%306 W · 550 L | -24.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8dd…5672backed Kia Tigers | 49c | 171.43$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.43 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Lotte Giants | 52c | 139.07$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.32 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Lotte Giants | 21c | 135.08$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.15 | 5,812 | 43.7%2,541 W · 3,271 L | -188.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c59…ad51backed Lotte Giants | 52c | 133.35$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 215 | 45.6%98 W · 117 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Lotte Giants | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,201 | 49.1%590 W · 611 L | +20.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3626…3834backed Kia Tigers | 47c | 105$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.65 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46f0…fe05backed Lotte Giants | 53c | 105$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.65 | 175 | 45.7%80 W · 95 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e32…c821backed Kia Tigers | 49c | 102.81$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.81 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Kia Tigers | 48c | 99.98$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.99 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Kia Tigers | 76c | 95.84$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.9 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e7…4a56backed Kia Tigers | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4193…4853backed Lotte Giants | 51c | 81.09$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.36 | 846 | 51.5%436 W · 410 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa415…6fb9backed Lotte Giants | 52c | 65$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.8 | 770 | 52.1%401 W · 369 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Lotte Giants | 52c | 57.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.98 | 1,053 | 47.3%498 W · 555 L | -14.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Lotte Giants | 51c | 57.01$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.08 | 722 | 47.6%344 W · 378 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Kia Tigers | 63c | 53.36$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.74 | 103 | 38.8%40 W · 63 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Lotte Giants | 52c | 52.57$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.57 | 1,003 | 44.6%447 W · 556 L | -23.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…bb11backed Lotte Giants | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 559 | 53.1%297 W · 262 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01ae…55f8backed Lotte Giants | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 97 | 51.5%50 W · 47 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Lotte Giants | 34c | 43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.59 | 2,546 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,378 L | -74.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e0…47eebacked Lotte Giants | 52c | 41.23$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.44 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Lotte Giants | 56c | 38.5$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.57 | 290 | 47.6%138 W · 152 L | -11.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed Kia Tigers | 53c | 36.59$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.13 | 895 | 48.3%432 W · 463 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Lotte Giants | 52c | 35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 950 | 41.5%394 W · 556 L | -48.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Kia Tigers | 50c | 34.38$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.31 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4271…3f6dbacked Lotte Giants | 52c | 32.7$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 407 | 50.4%205 W · 202 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20c7…bc23backed Kia Tigers | 49c | 32.65$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.65 | 105 | 36.2%38 W · 67 L | -8.4wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd604…bd53backed Kia Tigers | 42c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1047…9e39backed Lotte Giants | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Kia Tigers | 49c | 23.03$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.65 | 408 | 46.1%188 W · 220 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb02…0f88backed Lotte Giants | 47c | 23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Kia Tigers | 68c | 22.83$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.27 | 825 | 51.6%426 W · 399 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Lotte Giants | 51c | 22.65$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1b6…614fbacked Kia Tigers | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5887…994ebacked Kia Tigers | 59c | 19.79$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.